Topic: Method of calculating possible earnings in a subscription bounty - page 2. (Read 253 times)

Thank you, corrected) I do not have such statistics. But with your rank, you can participate for example in this company https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.31282035. Avirunes manager of this company, honest responsive. Very little chance that he will lead a scam project.
Here is an example of his country https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bounty-utrust-token-the-future-of-online-payments-is-here-2078526 and here is a token that from the price of ICO to the current moment made X4. https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/utrust/
look at the project tables, see the subscription companies and see how many people earned your rank)

I like poker too
So u made good start!

May be u have some statistic?
% of bounty that hit hardcap
% of bounty that go scum
Those numbers may be improve formulas.

PS
intresnoe, sardnym - not wery english words too.

"And now the most intresnoe begins."
"From here, you can manipulate sardnym earnings.."

Thank you. Fixed
 
Sorry, but not strong in the excel. Simply playing poker experience suggests that it is better to imagine all the pros and cons.

Great Explanation! Going further your even can even download excel spreadshit and add some formulas in excel.

P.S. Please fix sentence "In the cap is not skazano that 700000 when collecting hardap."

How to calculate the possible number of earned staks in a bounty?

This question tormented me for a very long time. It is difficult to answer it. But you can. To some extent, approximately. Without the theory of games there is nothing. And of course we need examples. So let's try.
But, there is no definite answer. There is only supposed profit. As in poker)))
So.
There are bounties with a total amount of coins equivalent to $ 700,000
In the bounty there is a subscription company for which 35% of the total number of awards have been allocated.
So we have $ 245,000 that will be distributed by all participants to the subscription company.
OK, let's go further.
Everyday rewards in the subscription (this information for the youngest) are measured in stacks. Stacks accrue every week. The size of the stack depends on the number of participants in the company. The number of stacks per week depends on the rank. Let's assume in our company such distribution of stacks:

Jr. Member: 1 stake / week
Member: 2 stakes / week
Full Member: 3 stakes / week
Sr Member: 5 stakes / week
Hero / Legendary: 7 stakes / century

Presumably, the company will last 10 weeks
Suppose we started participating in the company from the very beginning and our rank is Member
In this case, we will get 20 stacks at the end of the company if we do everything by the rules.
And now the most intresnoe begins.

In the first week in the subscription company, there were not many people joining in. But still you can draw some conclusions. Everyone thinks for himself.
But let's assume that in the first two weeks 50 companies joined the company. Since the company's average rank is Full Member,
then we will count from him.
Earned these 50 Full Member 150 stacks /
We multiply them by 5 = 750
take in the next 2 weeks, and suppose that they will be joined by about 50 people, in which case we can add 150 * 4 = 600 to this 750secs
In total, we hypothetically cover a total of 1350 chips at week 4.
We do the same with the others.
6 week +50 participants and earned chips + 450 total 1350 + 450 = 1800
8 week +50 participants, earned +300. Total 2100.
10 week +50 participants earned 150 total 2250.
So, the calculations are made and we got the HtPothetic value of the total number of stacks of 2250 with an average weekly gain of 3.
From here, you can manipulate the average earnings and the number of participants to draw all sorts of conclusions.
For example, you can see that the average earnings are not equal to 3 with a minimum of 0 and a maximum of 7, and is equal to 3.5. In this case, you need to divide by 2250 into 3 and multiply the result by 3.5. The result is even closer to the truth. 2625. Once again I repeat that the results are very approximate. Nobody knows, how will the percentage of the participant be blacklisted?)))

Okay, let's all count how much this is in $$$
everything is simple: (245000/2625) * 20 = !!!!!!! do not faint)))
Now the most important thing is to read the hat again. There you can see that 700,000
will be paid when collecting hardcup. And then vsam may be disappointed.
Do not despair. This is just another variable for your manipulations. You can calculate how much you can snatch when collecting software. We know that Harkap is 21000000 and the software is 1,000,000. Ok, divide 21,000,000 by 700,000, get 30 and now divide 1000000/30 = get more real threes))) 33 333.3. It's not so rosy.

But there is a catch.
The cap indicates that 700,000 when collecting hardcap. But not a word is said about what will happen if this hardcard is not collected. Therefore, it is better to ask the manager in advance about this issue.
In short
All these dances with a tambourine will help you determine the amount of HYPOTHETIC profit.
Nobody canceled the scum and a simple underpayment to the hunters.
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Thank you all for Attention. Who was interesno and useful please evaluate the works of the maestro sharing merit.