You are apparently only thinking about those who already must transact (because you think miners have no long-term focus). What about all those who sour on Bitcoin because they hear the fees suck and always increasing. It squelches the growth of Bitcoin.
My idea is that sooner or later, bitcoin's growth has to stop. A greater fool game always comes to an end, but of course, there is still a whole planet of greater fools to be taken.
Readers I swear that @dinofelis and I have not colluded to make this point. He and I are genuinely debating/discussing. He and I often have different viewpoints.
If you had a system that scaled to any level of transactions on chain, and the world was going to end up doing all of its transactions on that blockchain (including all the database transactions that are currently done on centralized databases not just related to payments, e.g. StackExchange must die) then the growth could go on indefinitely. That is what my project is about. Steem/Ark (Graphene DPoS) is probably the other closest to what I am working on, but DPoS is controlled by the whales. Ethereum also in the similar field of innovation, yet it seems to encourage apps to make their own token and ICO (which I think is not the ideal funding model for apps). Yet it is alleged those were fraudulently distributed, e.g. an ICO enables the issuers to borrow BTC and buy the ICO from themselves and Steem had a sneaky stealth mine so 80% of the supply is concentrated in a few whales. Note Ark.io's ICO apparently failed (or I am not really sure what happened there). I hear Dan Larimer is preparing to issue another ICO soon. I wasn't talking about near-term speculation. Near-term it looks like all the quality small caps are being pumped round-robin since Bitcoin started to have this existential crisis. And Ethereum allegedly has USG.MIT as backers so we'll see a lot of mass media greater fool news for it and there are some important developments such as Raiden, the clone of LN.
I hope the gravity of the prior paragraph is not lost on readers. I'm talking about replacing all the centralized databases on the Internet, e.g. Facebook, Twitter, etc..
However, bitcoin's on chain design doesn't allow for orders of magnitude upscaling in the near future.
Well with centralization of the miners into a tightly organized cartel, it could scale as much as Visa scales. But it still couldn't scale to putting every database transaction from the Internet on a blockchain. I don't know if readers understand that Visa's infrastructure is entirely inadequate for the level of scale that some of us are thinking about. We want to change the world. (Okay I am hyping a bit yet serious)
And most people don't know (apparently Blockstream doesn't even know, lol) Sidechains are
insolubly flawed and can never be secure (you can find a debate about that between @ArticMine and myself recently).
If you go to off-scale, in other words banking (with eventually, unavoidably, fractional reserve banking) you:
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2) you will get effective coin IOU creation offline (fractional reserve banking) that will stop the individual coin price pump.
So even if the whole planet were using "bitcoin" as a reference, there would be so many IOU bitcoin that the VALUE of an individual on chain bitcoin wouldn't rise accordingly. Like in the fiat system: 95% of bank dollars are not FED dollars but bank IOU. This is NOT cheating, contrary to what naive monetary theories claim. The issuing of IOU that are not entirely covered by originals, but are so by debt, is not cheating, and it the origin of fractional reserve banking.
But without a FED backstopping the banking system, we'll have bank runs like we did in the 1800s with private banking and periodically have Bitcoin depressions. The Bitcoin economy could not survive this. Thus the banksters probably intend to fold LN into a world bank fiat system. This is why I have always stated that Bitcoin was created by Rothschild (and Wikileaks is also controlled by Rothschilds, just look at where Assange slept in the UK before he went to the Ecuadorian embassy).
As I wrote about
a deflationary crypto-currency (which is where I think we are headed), afaics the knowledge age is not going to support a debt-based economy. The debt-based economy was for the fixed capital industrial age. Given those assumptions are correct, I conclude Bitcoin is the wrong paradigm.
So at a certain point, if there are secondary layers on top of bitcoin, fractional reserve banking WILL emerge, and what people are then using as a currency is denominated in bitcoin, but is not bitcoin, but rather partially covered IOU from institutions that use bitcoin on the lower layer to *settle their differences* --> reserve currency.
A reserve currency without a central bank can't support a widespread (overly indebted) debt-based economy such as the one we have now. (Which is a good thing since we no longer need the socialism governance model that we required when laborers were fungible and capitalists could replace workers with cheaper workers)
However, on-chain bitcoin OWNERS are the guys they want to milk somewhat more. In as much as these on-chain owners are exactly the banks issuing fractional reserve bitcoin-collateral IOU, they will HAVE TO settle on-chain between them. But then, the current volume is already enough (SWIFT). So if there is any hope to squeeze that fee market, blocks mustn't be larger than today. Those to be milked, are the whales who need to transact. And honestly, they won't mind too much: if you have to settle 10000 BTC with another bank twice a day, you don't mind paying 10 BTC for the transaction, do you ?
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Ironically, bitcoin is a dream for bankers !
1. The whales might be the banksters.
2.
I explained upthread that the whales can be their own miners and prevent non-whales from mining (if the whales are sufficiently organized).
It's funny how people rather be controlled by banks than by miners.
Guess there's too many noobs to bitcoin who don't even understand what bitcoin is.
We already explained upthread that the miners can't take control if the whales are sufficiently organized.
And even if they could, then they could do evil such as mint a billion tokens and gouge us for fees.