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Topic: Mining contract: raw RPC mining, or zero-variance delivery (Read 4211 times)

mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1027
The price is now 2.48 BTC per Ghash/s per day (valid from May 27 00:01 UTC).
legendary
Activity: 2618
Merit: 1006
Current price is 7.92 BTC per Ghash/s per day.
Zero variance output per day currently (without even taking into account that difficulty will rise to ~240000 very soon) is just ~6.39 BTC/day (soon: ~4.2 BTC/day).
You loose over 1.5 BTC/day if you pay for this service...
mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1027
Current price is 7.92 BTC per Ghash/s per day.

I have made my model more flexible so you can rent for any number of days, from 1 to 365 days. For example you can rent 10 Ghash/s for just 1 day, if you want so.
legendary
Activity: 2618
Merit: 1006
What's the current price for 1 GH/s?
mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1027
270? What happened to 245?

It is an either/or choice I offer you:

1. Month-to-month contract: 331 BTC the first month, then (assuming a 40% difficulty increase every month) 236 BTC the 2nd month, 169 BTC the 3rd -> average 245 BTC/month
2. Or 4-month contract, fixed price of 270 BTC/month

Either way, I am less expensive than BitcoinRigs or vladimir (~280 BTC/month).

You pick #1 or #2 depending on your own prediction of the difficulty. Again I can't promise the exact price for option #1 as I modify the prices on a monthly basis, but you can cancel at the end of any month. And a 40% difficulty increase is really conservative: the average increase in the last 2 months was 60%, from 36k to 92k (36k*1.60*1.60 = 92k). That's why I am pretty certain I can say even option #1 will end up cheaper than my competitors.
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1193
So 1 Gh/s generates 326.7 BTC at today's difficulty. Those 2 are offering 326.7 BTC for the cost of about 280 BTC. Nice deals!
331 BTC on the other hand sounds way too high. You should update the FAQ in the first post. You no longer are offering a cheaper deal.

Yes, I do offer the cheaper deal ("my price will be an average of 245 BTC per Ghash/s/month over the next 3 months" -- a conservative estimate.)
That is your estimate of what may happen. That is not, today, a cheaper deal.

Quote
As I said, both BitcoinRigs and vladimir lock you in for 3-4 months (you will generate much fewer than 326.7 BTC/month by then.)

Edit: if you prefer their kind of flat pricing over 3-4 months, I can match that! 1 Ghash/s for 4 months at a price of 270 BTC/month. What do you think?
270? What happened to 245?
mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1027
I'm confused.  You are selling 1 Ghash/s for 1 month for 331 btc?  1 Ghash/s at current difficulty nets ~10.1 btc/day, this gives ~300btc for a month.  So I'd be paying 331 btc for the creation of >300 btc (less than 300 because difficulty will increase).  Am I missing something or is this really that pointless?

Also, people value "new" coins over old ones? are you serious?

Your math is correct (more precisely you generate ~330 BTC/month at current difficulty). My offer is not pointless: see posts from Raulo and jgarzik in this thread who explain how it can be useful.

Yes some people value new coins more than old ones: here is someone asking to pay in Bitcoins to get Bitcoins.

You can also buy my services as a charitable act if only to make the Bitcoin network stronger, or to rank high in public mining pools statistics and impress your friends :-)

Whatever the customer demand is, I am here to satisfy it!
member
Activity: 60
Merit: 10
I'm confused.  You are selling 1 Ghash/s for 1 month for 331 btc?  1 Ghash/s at current difficulty nets ~10.1 btc/day, this gives ~300btc for a month.  So I'd be paying 331 btc for the creation of >300 btc (less than 300 because difficulty will increase).  Am I missing something or is this really that pointless?

Also, people value "new" coins over old ones? are you serious?
mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1027
So 1 Gh/s generates 326.7 BTC at today's difficulty. Those 2 are offering 326.7 BTC for the cost of about 280 BTC. Nice deals!
331 BTC on the other hand sounds way too high. You should update the FAQ in the first post. You no longer are offering a cheaper deal.

Yes, I do offer the cheaper deal ("my price will be an average of 245 BTC per Ghash/s/month over the next 3 months" -- a conservative estimate.)
As I said, both BitcoinRigs and vladimir lock you in for 3-4 months (you will generate much fewer than 326.7 BTC/month by then.)

Edit: if you prefer their kind of flat pricing over 3-4 months, I can match that! 1 Ghash/s for 4 months at a price of 270 BTC/month. What do you think?
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1193
I am correct:

* BitcoinRigs: 1337 (USD for 3 months for 1 Gh/s) / 3 (months) / 1.60 (USD/BTC) = 278 BTC
* vladimir: 4444 (GBP for 4 months for 4 Gh/s) / 4 (months) / 4 (Gh/s) * 1.65 (USD/GBP) / 1.60 (USD/BTC) = 286 BTC

(1.60 USD per BTC was the average these last few days - the run up to 1.90 USD is unlikely to last.)
Ah, I misunderstood.

So 1 Gh/s generates 326.7 BTC at today's difficulty. Those 2 are offering 326.7 BTC for the cost of about 280 BTC. Nice deals!

331 BTC on the other hand sounds way too high. You should update the FAQ in the first post. You no longer are offering a cheaper deal.
mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1027
I am correct:

* BitcoinRigs: 1337 (USD for 3 months for 1 Gh/s) / 3 (months) / 1.60 (USD/BTC) = 278 BTC
* vladimir: 4444 (GBP for 4 months for 4 Gh/s) / 4 (months) / 4 (Gh/s) * 1.65 (USD/GBP) / 1.60 (USD/BTC) = 286 BTC

(1.60 USD per BTC was the average these last few days - the run up to 1.90 USD is unlikely to last.)
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1193
Edit: the trial was a success. I will continue this offer.

I operate a 15 Ghash/s mining cluster, and offer selling mining capacity at a price of 331 BTC per Ghash/s per month.

  • BitcoinRigs who sells 1 Ghash/s/month for 278 BTC (1337 USD for 1 Ghash/s for 3 months, 1.60 USD/BTC)
  • vladimir who sells 1 Ghash/s/month for 286 BTC (4444 GBP for 4 Ghash/s for 4 months, 1.65 USD/GBP, 1.60 USD/BTC)


I think you need to look at your calculations again. Your prices for your competitors USD/BTC are incorrect.
mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1027
I have lowered the price to 331 BTC per Ghash/s per month.
mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1027
Pure JSON-RPC mining service is an option I do offer.
As Austin Powers would say: Smashing, baby!  Kiss
legendary
Activity: 1596
Merit: 1091
A typical service converts bitcoins to something else, or something else to bitcoins. A service that converts bitcoins to bitcoins? That sounds like a laundering service. Is that what's being offered?

No, this service converts bitcoins for almost certainly less bitcoins. But as added bonus, it is doing it significantly cheaper than competition.

I "offered" such a service (as a proof that it is not worth it) in this thread:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.72471

To be fair, such a service is not completely useless. It can be used for hedging difficulty changes (a bet what the future difficulty is going to be) but priced above 440 BTC a month, you are almost guaranteed to lose money because at current difficulty it pays 439 BTC a month and the average difficulty going down is very unlikely and going down by more than 10% is almost impossible. If there were a liquid market for such contracts, the price of such a contract would be about 410-420 BTC for the next month and likely about 350 BTC/month if bought upfront for the next 3 months.

Well, my weekend project for last month or two has been building a useful bitcoin P2P backbone, on top of which I hope to provide services such as smart payment processing, transaction services, private wallets (private bitcoind nodes), private pool servers and other gadgets.  Buying mining capacity makes sense for this microbiz, even if the generation comes at a slight loss.

This is of course assuming that it is even possible to negotiate with the provider to obtain RPC mining to my own servers, rather than simply a zero-variance payout (some providers are zero-variance only, which is not useful to me).

Anybody with reliable > 1 Gh/s to sell, with stable power and not in mom's basement or next to the cat's litter box, feel free to post on Marketplace forum...  If Raulo is right, surely there will be offers under 500 BTC/month...

mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1027
Edit: FAQ moved to the original post.
mrb
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1027
Where are you seeing .82? I'm seeing .88 and up on MtGox.

The "last" price on MtGox at the time of my post (7:21pm PDT) was 0.823 USD/BTC.
full member
Activity: 238
Merit: 100
A typical service converts bitcoins to something else, or something else to bitcoins. A service that converts bitcoins to bitcoins? That sounds like a laundering service. Is that what's being offered?

No, this service converts bitcoins for almost certainly less bitcoins. But as added bonus, it is doing it significantly cheaper than competition.

I "offered" such a service (as a proof that it is not worth it) in this thread:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.72471

To be fair, such a service is not completely useless. It can be used for hedging difficulty changes (a bet what the future difficulty is going to be) but priced above 440 BTC a month, you are almost guaranteed to lose money because at current difficulty it pays 439 BTC a month and the average difficulty going down is very unlikely and going down by more than 10% is almost impossible. If there were a liquid market for such contracts, the price of such a contract would be about 410-420 BTC for the next month and likely about 350 BTC/month if bought upfront for the next 3 months.
 
legendary
Activity: 3878
Merit: 1193
maybe he's buying coins daily from the market, no need for him to "truly mine" them.
He's selling "mining capacity", implying that they are new coins like BitcoinRigs and vladimir. If he's doing something else, I want to know.

we should be glad that here's one more service-offer for bitcoins, instead of dollars, isn't that exactly what the bitcoin-economy needs?
A typical service converts bitcoins to something else, or something else to bitcoins. A service that converts bitcoins to bitcoins? That sounds like a laundering service. Is that what's being offered?

and what's the point in converting dollars to bitcoins by leasing hardware and wait for months,
if you can buy them cheaper within a few days (if it takes that long to transfer your dollars to LR- , or MTG-dollars)?
Mined coins are anonymous and untraceable. Buying on the open market is risky and complicated.
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