I'll repeat what I thought in April when we did have a sell but it recovered, which is that 200 day average is possible and will likely always occur sooner or later. Thats where we are, though I've lost the train of thought my conclusion also was 30k is about the bottom of my estimates for negative move to mirror the frothy highs and anywhere in 30 to 20k area was a blind buy. I dont know if anyone can be more negative then me but I keep an estimate I set on a sunny day for when its raining.
I dont rate this price action as 'new' it was a feasible scenario, we are revising prices compacting and losing weak holders especially those with leverage and now the biggest moving average is here. Prices dont move in straight lines so I consider further selling with caution, it can rise because some of the lower prices is from short selling type action or leverage trades that will close and result in action resulting in demand.
This is just the 1hr bars for a 2 day average and seems a good guide to measure, its been a ceiling capping any buying. All averages converge with price eventually and this is a pretty fast one to challenge, I'll watch it for a good measure of how we progress. Obviously there is always news, always other factors but the truest action is on charts imo