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Topic: MPOE Bonds. The largest loaning operation in BTC. (Read 2370 times)

sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
firstbits 1LoCBS
How'd the bonds perform in February?

Update: I have received a payment equivalent to 4.8% of the bond's principal.

sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
firstbits 1LoCBS
How'd the bonds perform in February?
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 522
Mp. Why is you pr woman handling support requests. Hmmm.

It is because there is no PR woman. It is the pornographer himself. Read the MP post on OTC-assets, it is the same person.

That MP/MPOE-PR is SOOOOOO sneeky.

Just the person to whom I'd be glad to send all my hard earned bitcoins for secure investing.

By the way, How do I volunteer for a ROTA??

If you bother reading up on it, it's all there.
hero member
Activity: 490
Merit: 500
... it only gets better...
Mp. Why is you pr woman handling support requests. Hmmm.

It is because there is no PR woman. It is the pornographer himself. Read the MP post on OTC-assets, it is the same person.

That MP/MPOE-PR is SOOOOOO sneeky.

Just the person to whom I'd be glad to send all my hard earned bitcoins for secure investing.

By the way, How do I volunteer for a ROTA??

I recommend BCB he's good deal.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 522
My coins would be the first to go on the event of a security breach.

Wouldn't that be the laugh of all time, some hacker owning a box with a bunch of BTC in wallets and simply using it to comment spam....
BCB
vip
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1002
BCJ
Mp. Why is you pr woman handling support requests. Hmmm.

It is because there is no PR woman. It is the pornographer himself. Read the MP post on OTC-assets, it is the same person.

That MP/MPOE-PR is SOOOOOO sneeky.

Just the person to whom I'd be glad to send all my hard earned bitcoins for secure investing.

By the way, How do I volunteer for a ROTA??
donator
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
Mp. Why is you pr woman handling support requests. Hmmm.

It is because there is no PR woman. It is the pornographer himself. Read the MP post on OTC-assets, it is the same writing style.
BCB
vip
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1002
BCJ
Mp. Why is you pr woman handling support requests. Hmmm.
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1227
Away on an extended break
Thanks for the clarifications, everyone.

PS: I can't seem to access the polimedia site. I'm getting:

Quote
Forbidden

You don't have permission to access /trilema/2012/sa-ne-jucam-de-a-investitiile-n-bitcoini/ on this server.

Additionally, a 404 Not Found error was encountered while trying to use an ErrorDocument to handle the request.

The site works through a proxy, though.

It sounds like you are IP banned. This is almost always because that IP has been sending comment spam. I recommend running a strong anti-virus to find any trojans/rootkits/etc on your system after which please PM me your IP.
My ISP is a dynamic IP provider, so there might be problems like this. Are you banning the entire Malaysia region in your IP tables? I'll PM you my IP too - half of my computers here run on Linux, the other quarter Mac and the last quarter PC. The two of my Windows PC's are always running in VM mode so a cold reboot clears everything, not to mention the scanners present.
My coins would be the first to go on the event of a security breach.  Grin
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 522
Thanks for the clarifications, everyone.

PS: I can't seem to access the polimedia site. I'm getting:

Quote
Forbidden

You don't have permission to access /trilema/2012/sa-ne-jucam-de-a-investitiile-n-bitcoini/ on this server.

Additionally, a 404 Not Found error was encountered while trying to use an ErrorDocument to handle the request.

The site works through a proxy, though.

It sounds like you are IP banned. This is almost always because that IP has been sending comment spam. I recommend running a strong anti-virus to find any trojans/rootkits/etc on your system after which please PM me your IP.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 522
Thanks for the explanation

So even if the maximum delta position is only necessary for 1 day out of the month, the bondholders get paid as if the risk on their BTC was there the entire month. It's not time weighted.....

Thats mighty generous I must say! (and I am not trolling)

The formula is being refined as time goes by, and possibly a time weighing might in the future be added.

The thinking is that it's better for the capital pool to be slightly larger than what is strictly needed because that allows eventual losses more cushion. The upper bound on that slightly is of course the total BTC available, as it's not practical to lock down too high a % of it in MPOE's trade.
hero member
Activity: 868
Merit: 1000
Thanks for the explanation

So even if the maximum delta position is only necessary for 1 day out of the month, the bondholders get paid as if the risk on their BTC was there the entire month. It's not time weighted.....

Thats mighty generous I must say! (and I am not trolling)
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 522
Leads me to another question: can you give any transparency as to how this capital need is calculated.

Originally, the capital need was calculated simply as the sum of all CALLs sold + all PUTs value. Thus if during a month MPOE sold 100 CALLs and 50 ATM PUTs the capital need would be 150 BTC. This formula was significantly overstating needed capital (for intance, on the most current month it would have resulted in capital needs of over 200,000 BTC), and in April 2012 it was amended, as follows:

Is it a capital need for the past month or for the month to come

For the past month.

but how bondholders verify that their capital was not at risk in the case they don't get interest for that month....

Maybe I'm not exactly understanding your question, but it is trivial to verify: if a bond isn't accepted then the address associated with that bond does not show in the bondholder list published in that month's report. If the bond's address isn't shown then that bond can't be allocated losses. If a bond isn't allocated losses then it's not changed. No?
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1227
Away on an extended break
Thanks for the clarifications, everyone.

PS: I can't seem to access the polimedia site. I'm getting:

Quote
Forbidden

You don't have permission to access /trilema/2012/sa-ne-jucam-de-a-investitiile-n-bitcoini/ on this server.

Additionally, a 404 Not Found error was encountered while trying to use an ErrorDocument to handle the request.

The site works through a proxy, though.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 522
Is it possible to lose money with this? Can the bonds default? Is there any guarantee?

Yes. If the option bot makes a loss, the bonds' capital covers it. If the option bot makes a gain but it is less than what the bonds are due in interest, the bonds' capital covers the difference.

Some (fictional) examples to understand things better:

A. Bot makes a 100 BTC loss on 500 BTC of capital at 5%. Bonds are paid 25 BTC in interest. 125 BTC loss is distributed to 500 BTC of capital, resulting in a 0.25 loss per BTC. This means that if someone had 100 BTC in a bond they will now have 75 left.

B. Bot makes a 10 BTC gain on 500 BTC of capital at 5%. Bonds are paid 25 BTC in interest. 15 BTC loss is distributed to 500 BTC of capital, resulting in a 0.03 loss per BTC. This means that if someone had 100 BTC in a bond they will now have 97 left.

On the page you provided I saw a big red line with a 4000% loss... what's that about? Shouldn't that have wiped everyone out?

That wasn't a percentile loss but an absolute figure loss. The results for August 2012 (pirate month) were: gross receipts 10,110.90263456 BTC; expenditure 14,651.32416421 BTC (of which 466.66966642 BTC interest owed on 9,333.58 BTC capital at 4.9999%.

Thus the net was -4,540.42152965 BTC, resulting in a loss per BTC of 0.48646087. (~48%).

Let's say I wanted to participate and I asked for 5% monthly interest. If everyone else asked for 10%, do I get the 10% rate or do you pay out each person what they asked for?

You get the same interest as everyone else, equal to the highest interest asked for an accepted bond. Some examples to illustrate this. Suppose the bonds are as follows: A 100 BTC at 1%; B 100 BTC at 2%; C 100 BTC at 3%; D 100 BTC at 4%; E 100 BTC at 5%.

If the capital needed is 185 BTC, then A gets 2% on his 100 BTC = 2 BTC interest, and B gets 2% on 85 of his 100 BTC = 1.7 BTC interest.

If the capital needed is 435 BTC, then A, B, C and D each get 5% on their 100 BTC = 5 BTC interest for each. E gets 5% on 35 of his 100 BTC = 1.75 BTC interest.

If the capital need is 600 BTC then A, B, C, D and E each get 5% on their 100 BTC = 5 BTC each, and MP (creditor of last resort) contributes the remainder (600 - 500 total = 100) at the same interest (5%). (There is an exception in that if the previous month interest was higher than 5%, in which case everyone gets that last month's interest.)

Could I be guaranteed a position by just asking for 0% and then take the market rate (whatever the auction comes out to)?

Yes.

If my funds are not accepted in the auction, when are they sent back to me? What are the timeframes like?

Funds are never sent back to you unless you ask for them. If your funds are not accepted in the auction they just sit there and wait the next month. This works as insurance for you, because if the funds aren't accepted this also means they aren't at risk. Revisiting the examples above, in the case where capital needs were 185, if the bot actually made a loss then C, D and E would still have their 100 capital untouched, wheras A and B will have paid whatever shortfall from their capital.

This is how the incentives for bond holders balance: on one hand, they have an incentive to ask for as little interest as possible, to make sure they make it into the auction. On the other hand, they have an incentive to not ask for less interest than the fair market value of the risk they undertake is. Because of this, bondholders are actually required to price risk, and because of this market effort the calculated MPBOR is a valuable signal for the entire lending market.

Do I need to be an MPEx member to participate (i.e. the 30 BTC fee)?

No.

Also, thanks to all others who have answered. The answers offered were correct and helpful, but I wanted to make a full pass through the OPs post to have the record clear. Most of this stuff was stated long ago in the article which introduced the entire thing, back in February 2012, and which is to this day the chief reference point for pretty much everything to do with MPOE/MPEx.
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
firstbits 1LoCBS
Hi,

Some questions:

Is it possible to lose money with this? Can the bonds default? Is there any guarantee?

On the page you provided I saw a big red line with a 4000% loss... what's that about? Shouldn't that have wiped everyone out?

Let's say I wanted to participate and I asked for 5% monthly interest. If everyone else asked for 10%, do I get the 10% rate or do you pay out each person what they asked for?

Could I be guaranteed a position by just asking for 0% and then take the market rate (whatever the auction comes out to)?

If my funds are not accepted in the auction, when are they sent back to me? What are the timeframes like?

Do I need to be an MPEx member to participate (i.e. the 30 BTC fee)?

I asked some similar questions, and I might be able to help with a few of those:

"Let's say I wanted to participate and I asked for 5% monthly interest. If everyone else asked for 10%, do I get the 10% rate or do you pay out each person what they asked for?"
 -- You'd get the 10%

"Could I be guaranteed a position by just asking for 0% and then take the market rate (whatever the auction comes out to)?"
 -- Yes. For a smallish bond, this seems to me to be a smart strategy
      (since your bond won't likely be the one to determine the final rate anyway)

"If my funds are not accepted in the auction, when are they sent back to me? What are the timeframes like?"
 -- They remain with MPEx.


"Do I need to be an MPEx member to participate (i.e. the 30 BTC fee)?"
 -- No.

Disclaimer: These answers are simply my interpretation of the process.


Thanks for the clarification. I'm still confused by the bolded part though....Does this mean you're not getting your funds back?  Huh

You send your funds in before the start of the month, along with your quoted rate-request.

Towards the end of the month, if your funds were utilized as capital (due to your rate-bid being sufficiently low) then you get paid interest. If your funds were "not needed" (your rate-bid was too high) then you get no interest.

In either circumstance, you may request your funds be returned. By default, they'll remain with MPEx for possible inclusion the following month.

Disclaimer: These answers are simply my interpretation of the process.

hero member
Activity: 868
Merit: 1000
You only get your funds back if/when you ask for them.

In months where you set the interest too high, your funds are an interest free loan to MPOE

Leads me to another question: can you give any transparency as to how this capital need is calculated.

Is it a capital need for the past month or for the month to come, it makes more sense if it is for the past month, but how bondholders verify that their capital was not at risk in the case they don't get interest for that month....
legendary
Activity: 1288
Merit: 1227
Away on an extended break
Hi,

Some questions:

Is it possible to lose money with this? Can the bonds default? Is there any guarantee?

On the page you provided I saw a big red line with a 4000% loss... what's that about? Shouldn't that have wiped everyone out?

Let's say I wanted to participate and I asked for 5% monthly interest. If everyone else asked for 10%, do I get the 10% rate or do you pay out each person what they asked for?

Could I be guaranteed a position by just asking for 0% and then take the market rate (whatever the auction comes out to)?

If my funds are not accepted in the auction, when are they sent back to me? What are the timeframes like?

Do I need to be an MPEx member to participate (i.e. the 30 BTC fee)?

I asked some similar questions, and I might be able to help with a few of those:

"Let's say I wanted to participate and I asked for 5% monthly interest. If everyone else asked for 10%, do I get the 10% rate or do you pay out each person what they asked for?"
 -- You'd get the 10%

"Could I be guaranteed a position by just asking for 0% and then take the market rate (whatever the auction comes out to)?"
 -- Yes. For a smallish bond, this seems to me to be a smart strategy
      (since your bond won't likely be the one to determine the final rate anyway)

"If my funds are not accepted in the auction, when are they sent back to me? What are the timeframes like?"
 -- They remain with MPEx.


"Do I need to be an MPEx member to participate (i.e. the 30 BTC fee)?"
 -- No.

Disclaimer: These answers are simply my interpretation of the process.


Thanks for the clarification. I'm still confused by the bolded part though....Does this mean you're not getting your funds back?  Huh
sr. member
Activity: 364
Merit: 250
firstbits 1LoCBS
Hi,

Some questions:

Is it possible to lose money with this? Can the bonds default? Is there any guarantee?

On the page you provided I saw a big red line with a 4000% loss... what's that about? Shouldn't that have wiped everyone out?

Let's say I wanted to participate and I asked for 5% monthly interest. If everyone else asked for 10%, do I get the 10% rate or do you pay out each person what they asked for?

Could I be guaranteed a position by just asking for 0% and then take the market rate (whatever the auction comes out to)?

If my funds are not accepted in the auction, when are they sent back to me? What are the timeframes like?

Do I need to be an MPEx member to participate (i.e. the 30 BTC fee)?

I asked some similar questions, and I might be able to help with a few of those:

"Let's say I wanted to participate and I asked for 5% monthly interest. If everyone else asked for 10%, do I get the 10% rate or do you pay out each person what they asked for?"
 -- You'd get the 10%

"Could I be guaranteed a position by just asking for 0% and then take the market rate (whatever the auction comes out to)?"
 -- Yes. For a smallish bond, this seems to me to be a smart strategy
      (since your bond won't likely be the one to determine the final rate anyway)

"If my funds are not accepted in the auction, when are they sent back to me? What are the timeframes like?"
 -- They remain with MPEx.

"Do I need to be an MPEx member to participate (i.e. the 30 BTC fee)?"
 -- No.

Disclaimer: These answers are simply my interpretation of the process.

member
Activity: 63
Merit: 10
Hi,

Some questions:

Is it possible to lose money with this? Can the bonds default? Is there any guarantee?

On the page you provided I saw a big red line with a 4000% loss... what's that about? Shouldn't that have wiped everyone out?

Let's say I wanted to participate and I asked for 5% monthly interest. If everyone else asked for 10%, do I get the 10% rate or do you pay out each person what they asked for?

Could I be guaranteed a position by just asking for 0% and then take the market rate (whatever the auction comes out to)?

If my funds are not accepted in the auction, when are they sent back to me? What are the timeframes like?

Do I need to be an MPEx member to participate (i.e. the 30 BTC fee)?
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