It doesn't really matter anymore. The price was bound to go down anyway, so whether it's the speculation about MtGox dumps, or just the lower overall demand, it's the same in the end. If one thing became clear over the last months, the ranges have only gone lower and lower. People for now need to adjust their expectations to significantly lower levels, because the support of the last weeks wasn't able to maintain $11,000/$10,000/$9000, and perhaps not even the $8000 level. The less you expect from the short term market, the less disappointment you'll face. In other words, don't even dare to speculate about $50,000 this year.
A single tweet could destroy all technical analysis, for instance, Trump making a positive tweet about bitcoin, Jeff Bezos making a positive tweet about Bitcoin, or anyone with influence could pump the price and end the bear market, and technical analysts would say that their TA predicted it...
Bitcoin is too new of an asset, people can't properly value it, it's impossible to call the start or end of bull or bear markets.