This is way too much complicated. I don't want to do all this analysis and come up with a strategy that may or may not work in the future depending on the situation. I will try to stick to my old buddy DCA method. Keep on accumulating Bitcoin until the bull run starts, and my target is reached.
shit that prediction overlooked the ETF effect. are you not consider the BTC halving anymore?
because afaik when there is halving, the prices will already be going up after months or right when it's happening. but if this is going to be how BTC price goes, and the altcoins are skyrocketing, i would be disappointed to what ORDI had done that investors are already skipping BTC.
Wait, as far as I know the bull market does not start immediately or during the Bitcoin halving event. It takes more than a year for Bitcoin to create a new all-time high. During the event of few weeks after the event, we can see potential growth in Bitcoin price but it's not the final result. The price pump will happen, which could take more than a year. But the recent pump in altcoins market does indicate a different story.