This is what I notice in the little time I have been here.
Apart from few months after halving, I have noticed that news is one important factor that will increase or decrease the price of bitcoin. And when price affect bitcoin, it gradually affects altcoins and you see red all the places. For example, when the recent deep happened, all altcoins also went down.
I realize also that at every bull or bear, the market is waiting for a news to change the direction. Like such news from Elon musk is capable to do that and now I realize the power of such influence on the market. The fud gradually caused huge dump because it created panic, though price is recovering as bitcoin is appreciating.
Also that anytime that there is adoption news by influencial personality or institution, price increase because it means more investors would leverage on that. I remember this when PayPal announced the use of 4 cryptocurrency including bitcoin, it gave an increase in price and that pushed for the current ATH.
My conclusion therefore is to take note of these factors as they have shown to be indicators of direction of where price may move to.
First,
I'm surprised that you still call yourself new with an activity of 1300+. In principle, you are an old hand
Lol can you point me to where I called myself new in the post you quoted
Experience is different from saying new
However, human are still learning and we can't stop learning because the day we stop learning we start dying.
Because if you could remember back then in February when Elon Musk bought Bitcoin worth $1.5billion, and accepted it to be used as a means of payment for his electric cars, which resulted to much demand and led to it's value reaching $63000 per bitcoin..
And likewise, when that same Elon Musk made a statement of stopping the use of bitcion for the sells of his electric cars, the price went the opposite, as it's demand decreased, resulting to it's price to fall to almost $35,000..
So, That's how it works...
News really matters...
You get the point on it and these are the two (PayPal and Elon musk) major news in recent times that have changed the direction of the market, one for bull and the other for bear. The news from my observation force the market to change direction while technical continues from the direction.