Topic: My instincts on the value of bitcoin from now to halving (Read 484 times)

Let's just assume that the OP was just making some instinctive predictions which other Investors has also been playing on.
The OP actually need to understand that on every halving
of a circle there is always a surge of ATH and the value would keep fluctuating until it reaches a period that actually can not be rightfully predicted before price flops for halving.
Good to you OP if your prediction was right depending on when you raised this motion. With the nature of the market today I don't know if we have batched in for halving already.

The current price is $65K after Bitcoin passed its ATH. It can be seen that the trend is no longer moving upwards to reach the crucial figure at $74K. The movement is always stagnant and ranges between $61K-$73K. It has not gone down once, and it doesn't want to increase again.
I think you are right that no one knows the exact price of Bitcoin in the future, but regarding the latest increase, I think it is too early to predict it because it has not yet entered the halving period where there will always be surprises there.
I think everyone also has high hopes that there will be an increase and there will be a renewable ATH for the second time in one period. Therefore, we have to be patient to wait for the time to enter the halving period, which will not be long, and we will see developments, whether the trend is improving or actually getting worse.

Do you mean you are contented with the current market price or do you mean to say being market sentimental would not make any different in the market value? So basically Investors are left with no choice than to accept whatever phases the market has to offer.
But if you ask me @rodskee I would say I personally is not contented with the market price because if wishes actually comes true in this Bitcoin investments I would say I will be contented with the market prices only when it hits over $100K at the current state of the market before bull-run. Lol

Indeed I want to make it big and quick in this Bitcoin industry but I do have no choice than hodl and accept whatever value the market has for me.

I guess no one actually holds the future price of bitcoin, whether this could be the last rise or not, we will only know once we get there. But to be honest, I still have high hopes that bitcoin will rise more even before halving. It could hit the price above $71k but probably lower than $75k, but if it will go beyond that, then it would be a lot better. In the end, what matters the most is how far this new all time high will be and we will know that when final bull run comes.

Bitcoin halving still creates a positive effect for its market that will lead to its bull run. The reason why it’s still crucial to reach an impressive price even before or after halving.

There is no point in looking negative at this point because the Bitcoin market is very promising. With the way the price is currently moving, it is showing positive signs and has high growth prospects. Bitcoin's recovery from the pause, an indicator of its strength and the ongoing bull market momentum, that strengthens people's confidence and paves the way for even higher values.

While I cannot predict what will happen in the future with 100% accuracy, certain technical analysis predictions can be made based on observable market patterns. Okay. Currently, 73k is considered a very strong resistance level and if Bitcoin manages to break it, it is very likely that the currency's rate will rise to much higher levels than those already observed.

Of course it's normal having different views towards bitcoin future prices based on our emotions.
I can only be worried towards your own emotions at your own instincts that we'd experience ATH before halving in this circle. I actually haven't gone through all times of bitcoin historical prices so I don't know if such event of ATH before halving has ever occured.
@BABY SHOES, If I'm not mistaking, isn't ATH determined after the bull run? Because If as you may assume, then certainly we'd encounter bull run before halving based on your lines.

Anything is possible to occur in this bitcoin industry anyways. We're only assuming until the future becomes and a past before we can be sure of the whole sceneros with all sorts of emotions we all have had along the lines.

Market is never been predictable on the first place and this is why you should really be quitting up yourself on having those kind of conclusions on trying out to tell on where it would be going. Never ever
make use of that instinct whenever you are really that dealing up with trading. Conclusive approach would really be just that making you desperate on the time that you would really be having
those kind of expectations and positivity that it could happen but due to the unpredictable behavior or manner of this market then there's no way that you could really be able to determine
on where things could really be actually going and this is something that you should really be putting up into your mind and your emotions that its not something that recommended for you to make use on.
Never ever make those kind of considerations because its never been that ideal on having that kind of approach. You should really be always backing up with those analysis on which this is something
that will really be  that ideal and something that would really be recommended on doing so.

The market can move in any direction but all I can say is we shouldn't be investing in Bitcoin based on just our opinion without backing the opinion with facts. We shouldn't invest because our instincts is whispering to us that the market will move in this direction because that might not happen and if we had invested because we thought it was going to happen, we'll lose and we aren't investing to lose therefore we should always make our analysis based on the technical and fundamental analysis and not our instincts. If we don't know how to analyze the market, we can hold Bitcoin and not think about when the market is rising or falling because if we keep thinking about them, the market can deceive us and we'll make mistakes to sell when the market is about to rise.

Bitcoin has hit $72k and was going to $73,k when the price came down again so it has passed your prediction already. And the halving is just few weeks to go but even as that we can't say bitcoin will not hit $80k because the movement is surprising and unpredictable. Right now the price is coming down and it is $69k buy it will still go up before the halving and nobody k ow the place bitcoin will be before the halving. And my instinct predict that bitcoin will be within the range of $50k to $60k in the halving before it go up again after the halving.
Everyone want to see bitcoin doing well so that their investments will be on the rising side.

I do not actually know which to believe right now, everyone kinds speculation and prediction maybe just as said but who knows,  nothing can be judged yet till it happens. We all want the best for ourselves, some people may want to see the price drop by half so they can accumulate more portions of Bitcoin while some aswell finds the satisfaction of the price of Bitcoin reaching their estimated price mark so they can make a lot of profits, it all depends but moreover whatever we tend to face we should make good use and take it to our own very advantage. Just to say, Bitcoin might certainly drop below it's current price but the whole truth is we expect many all time highs after the halving.

If you are for the long term, there's no need to put some worries on your mind on how much it is going to be at the end of April. Because that's really not going to conclude the bull run as it is going to be composed of several months. Yes, just enjoy the flow of the market and the upcoming month because it's the month of halving and with that, there will be more motion that we'd likely to see and also prepare your hearts because at this rate we'll see a lot of impacting news whether they'll be positive or not. We're starting seeing a bunch of them while having our hearts looking forward to just some positive outlook for this halving but as we know, these institutions can be much impactful through making rounds of FUD for everyone to sell cheaply as their response for those panicking hands.

As long as you are sure to keep it well, I think that is also good and it doesn't matter to anyone because what is being saved is Bitcoin. Because Bitcoin could still experience a higher price increase than this year's ATH level, which could even happen before the halving or after the halving this year. So it really doesn't matter to anyone if they still want to keep it for greater profits because a positive and wise attitude will always be good for ourselves in the future.

I'm not disputing your own instincts as well as much as we're all just guestures towards the prices of bitcoin. I'm actually insinuating that there could be this last time continues rises but I can't actually predict the maximum volume before the halving.
But talking about how you expect bitcoin not to go below $70,000 is something I can argue about with how how bitcoin has been at this period of time and also considering how it has beaten the previous bull run ATH. I'm believing to see there'd be about a half slash of the total volume bitcoin has risen at its maximum volume within this period. So literally I'm assuming the halving would fall within the range of $35,00 to $45,000 just  at its halving.

Price going up is not really that surprising so I think it will just keep going higher and higher. I get the idea that some people expect it to be not like that, but we are seeing it do well enough that we should not worry about it.

I hope that we could see changes here and there, and we could maybe make it work somehow, but if there is a drop then I am just going to buy more, that's about it. I get that you may fear it, and there is nothing wrong with that at all, you should fear it if your money depends on it, but you should not trade based on your fear neither. Just be aware that the drop is possibility and just focus on making as much money as you possibly could, that would make everything much better for you.

Right. Bitcoin will definitely move following its own path, and so we don’t have to stress ourselves thinking if it will continue to move forward or not. After all, what we are actually after is to experience bull run at its best advantage so we can maximize our selling profits. So just enjoy the current flow of bitcoin.

While bitcoin halving could bring some positive effects for bitcoin, but the end goal is still to witness finally the bitcoin bull run, and definitely enjoy the profits that we only come to experience once there is bull run.

It doesn't really matter if it's going to be the last up before the halving. The market has been moving from time to time and this halving has got a deadline for this upcoming month of April. So what's next? That's the question probably on your mind and halving isn't the last day of Bitcoin and it will continue to go on no matter what happens. What matters is the long term effect of the halving and not before it happens. That's why there is no need to stress yourself out if you're also waiting for the halving, so take your time and relax and let Bitcoin do itself and move on its own course.

keep it to you mate because it is not instinct instead you just wanted to make yourself
believe that there will be another growth in the coming days(as you may be planning to sell
your bitcoins) but I am not looking so much now because I am contented in my position but
yeah lets be positive in every possible ways.

I agree with you, we will see a sharp increase in bitcoin price to welcome the halving. Bitcoin has recovered and at one point surpassed $71k, however in the past 2 days it is having a slight correction but it is a healthy correction in preparation for the next price increase. I believe that bitcoin will make new ATHs before and after the halving, and people continue to have more confidence in the impact of the halving causing bitcoin to increase in price.

When everyone is going crazy over the rising price of bitcoin and expecting higher increases is also the time when market makers dump the price of bitcoin. Market makers will reuse the same script they used when news broke of an ETF being approved.

You seem to be mistaking some words as you misused conscience and emotion here, they are used for different purposes in the market in relation to trader's psychology. You might probably want to use instinct in their stead, regardless, traders should be more practical than psychological/emotional about the market. I advise you to always talk to your trading chart and make adequate analysis to weigh the economic data/events surrounding the asset you are dealing with rather than resolving to your feelings alone, this has always put a lot of traders in trouble. Fine, our instinct can tell us something, but have you used the fundamental happenings around Bitcoin and its chart conditions to back it up? That's how a true trader should think, we shouldn't just act blindly based on how we feel.

As it is, I will not predict anything serious before halving but just follow what my trading chart tells me even as I manage my portfolio correctly. Yet, the only thing I can see for now since the market is even getting more unpredictable daily is the $67,629 of TrendMagic. The level has been so helpful in making me gain from Bitcoin these days. I easily get between 250-350 pips from it using only that level as a reference point, and with the use of the price action in addition.

However, at present, since the market is above the level, I am still bullish today until further notice.

Thats pretty much where I stand also, the big run up to a new ATH was kind of unprecedented
and unexpected somewhat by me early on. The Bitcoin market from the halving and after passing
the ATH will be charting new territories - very exciting.


There may be a lot of shorting happening ATM with the expectations that there will be a panic sell
off around the halving. I know its not panic selling but if those short trades get realised it will
cause a further dip and could then lead to panic selling. Who know's?