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History has shown us that bitcoin always makes new ATHs, but that doesn't mean history will definitely repeat itself. I also hope history repeats itself, but we should not speak with such certainty and certainty, when talking about the future, anything can happen.
Furthermore, those who buy high in 2021 may not suffer losses but will take a lot of time to break even before thinking about making a profit. Meanwhile, bear season buyers made huge profits as bitcoin returned to its old ATH. It's a waste of time and I also call it an investment failure, because while everyone else is making big profits, you're just breaking even or making a small profit.
I only see it from the scarcity side of things where the number of bitcoins mined has greatly reduced.
When something becomes scarce, the price "will probably go up high" so I think bitcoin will be like that when it goes up high in the future.
Indeed, we don't know anything about the future because anything can happen, but at least we have seen what has happened to the bitcoin cycle so far. Hence, there is a possibility that history will repeat itself.
Those who bought in 2021 will experience losses and some won't and it depends on how well they hold their bitcoin and if they can hold their bitcoin through this bear season, they will start to see those profits coming.
But if those who bought bitcoin in 2021 continue to buy bitcoin throughout this year when the price is still under $30k, it will be very worth doing, especially when they bought a lot of bitcoin when the price was under $19k some time ago.
Obviously, the average price at which they buy bitcoin will also decrease a lot.
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How will you learn to deal with the risks and volatility of bitcoin if you don't invest in it? I always see people advising newbies to research everything before investing in bitcoin including learning the risks and volatility. But if we don't invest in it, how can we experience the volatility of the market? Just like in trading, you will never become a real trader if you only learn theory and use a demo account. Because when you use a real account and real money to trade, everything will be very different from what you learn from theory. Theory and practice must always go together to be effective.
They can learn to face the risks by looking at the volatility of bitcoin prices and from there, they can find out what they need to do and when they finally decide to invest in bitcoin, they already know how to adapt themselves to face the risks.
Investing in bitcoin without knowing or seeing the course of the bitcoin price so far only creates confusion for them because they cannot yet describe what they should do.
If it is trading, you need to read and learn about indicators and trends and look for information related to trading before you try trading using a demo account.
It's better to read and study the theory before we practice because if it's together, it will create confusion but come back to each person about what he thinks can be effective to do.