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Topic: My Sports Betting Prediction Thread - page 2. (Read 733 times)

legendary
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Life, Love and Laughter...
November 01, 2016, 08:14:50 AM
#6
Hello sports fans!  After having a couple of straight losses I have decided to stay away from betting for a week and just watch and enjoy the games.  But now, being a Manchester City fan, I will have to make a bet in their game vs Barca.  I bet for City to win draw no bet at 2.06.

In the first game everything went fine until Bravo made that stupid mistake practically giving Suarez the ball and then committing the handball.  Also Fernandinho slipped causing the first goal by Messi.  I really felt that my under 3 goals bet had value there.  In the match later, City has home field advantage, has learned their lesson from the first game, and Aguero looks like he's back in form.  They possibly could have a small edge vs Barca this time.
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
October 21, 2016, 02:41:49 AM
#5
This weekend I'm betting on Man United, draw no bet at 2.55.  I really think Mourinho and his squad will edge out Chelsea in this match.  Their confidence is slightly up from the win vs Febernahce and they have shown to be motivated to chase for points when they played vs Liverpool.  The score line could end up being 0 - 1 for United.  This is a must win for United to remain contenders for the top 4 places.

I know you're thinking "oh hey here's the guy who made a bet of under 3 goals in Barca vs City and was wrong".  Well to my defense it was on its way to be 1 - 0 or maybe even be 1 - 1 up until Bravo's blunder.

Good luck on your bets!  Smiley
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
October 19, 2016, 01:04:14 AM
#4
Hello sports fans.  I was gonna make a gamble for Man City vs Barca as the City line seems to have value at 6.24 for them to win.  If the line starts to move higher beyond 6.50 then I might have to.  I cannot not make a bet when my club is playing.  Cheesy

Anyway for now I just bet the under 3 goals at 2.46.  I think it has a bit of value as I could foresee Pep trying to overwhelm Barca in the midfield to cut the supply lines going to Suarez, Neymar and Messi.  City has the quality to press Barca and then pass the ball at the back and start the play from there.  The effect of this is twofold, maintain possession and to take the momentum away from Barca.  So expect for a low scoring game if it happens as expected.

Edit:  I would like to add that Pep has no intention for this to be a low scoring game.  Pep is idealistic and wants to play 'beautiful football'.  But it will be a low scoring one due to the reason stated above.
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
October 17, 2016, 08:58:54 PM
#3


As predicted, Mourinho was going to park the bus vs Liverpool.  It looks like that Mourinho's methods are sinking in as shown how Man United played.  It was boring and it lacked intensity, but hey it was Liverpool's match to win.  It was a positive outcome for Mourinho imo.

I won my under 2.5 goal bet with LFC vs Man U but I lost my Crystal Palace bet this weekend.  I'll be having no bets for the CL as I can't find any value, although gambling on Man City to win vs Barca at 5.87 is tempting.  City has to win one if the match was played 5 times right?  I'll decide later.
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
October 11, 2016, 09:01:50 PM
#2
Hey guys.  First of all a warning.  I'm making these bets from my POV so if you have any opinions or you think I'm wrong, let's discuss them.  But I suggest reading what I post with an open mind.  Thanks.

This week I have only two bets that I'm really comfortable with.  The first one is the Crystal Palace vs West Ham game this Saturday.  I think Crystal Palace has the edge here because they are at home, they have a decent attacking front with Chadli, Townsend, Zaha and Benteke and also West Ham seems to be struggling in defense.  I don't know how much the international break will affect each team but I assume it would not be that much.  So for a little bit of safety and to reduce variance my bet is Crystal Palace to win, 0, -0.5 at 1.88.

My second bet is in the Liverpool vs Man United game.  This is the most exciting game of the week and everyone seems to be expecting LFC to demolish United since LFC is in form and United is still looking for it.  Imho, in this match, Mourinho will be parking the bus.  He's good at this strategy and used it in various games vs good attacking squads.  He did it in big games with Chelsea, Inter Milan and Real Madrid to great effect.  Although I expect United to lose, the scoreline might be 1 - 0.  They will give Liverpool a hard time scoring.  I can already see Blind being positioned at left back again to neutralized Mane.  That would be fun to watch.  So my bet is under 2.5 goals at 2.13
 
legendary
Activity: 3976
Merit: 1421
Life, Love and Laughter...
October 07, 2016, 12:15:45 AM
#1
Hey guys!  Just like my Speculation Thread I'm also going to start my own sports betting prediction thread.

I'm doing this to get me more motivated in doing more thorough research in before making bets and avoid making impulsive ones at the same time.  I will share my thought process on why I think the bet is good relative to the line movement, the relevant news involved and other relevant factors involving the bet.

The sports I mostly bet on are Premier League football, Champions League football, the UFC, Formula 1 and sometimes other European football leagues.  

I would also like to point out that I'm not an expert at sports betting but maybe thru this thread and with your help we could all become decent at it.  Smiley

Edit:  I'll be posting only the bets that I feel that have value so that means I won't posting bets week in and week out.  There will be times that I'll have no bets open.

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