Topic: NBA 2019-2020 betting - page 66. (Read 125784 times)

Updated record 28-30 (48%)

Resuming today.

Cavaliers +1
With their impressive home record I'm confident they will win.  Though Mitchell is still out but this squad is capable of winning as they have a good system. The same with the Wolves, no KAT but they are on the road, so I like the home team because of their advantage.

Miami +8.5
They will test the OKC. Last time they met, OKC beat them on the road, now it's their turn to try to win.

Bucks -1
I don't trust the Lakers anymore as they loss in a winnable game, so not with Bucks with Giannis probably playing.

I'm gonna sit this one out. Both teams needs a win here since they are at the number 9 rank, and Bulls have been so competitive recently, if they loss they'll cover. This is a tough call mate, so I have to say good luck. My bet would be the the Kings winning and covering the spread against the Spurs, and the Nuggets winning at home vs the Celtics.

It's all good, these bad beats happen once in a while and it might be the last time i'll be betting on the Wizards.  

---

After the Warriors took care of the Bucks yesterday, i'd expect they'll continue to win again by a decent margin and cover the spread even though they're both playing b2b, the Warriors still have the advantage as they're playing in their home court. The bad part about the Warriors is their tendency to give up too many points, and maybe that's why they're not so hot in covering spreads as a favorite despite being the third-best team in terms of ATS.

Haven't bet in a couple of nights but just dropped down 3 bets:

Dallas -4.5.  Small spread at home, I expect some Luka and kyrie magic tonight with some home cooking.  Dallas by 10.

Warriors -7.5 at home vs bulls.  Warriors got dredged in Boston and expect a comeback and right the ship.  Every game is a must win for them, dubs by 10.

Last game Phoenix-10.5 against the rapters.  In Phoenix don't think this is a good matchup for the rapters.  Suns are gonna sneaky climb the charts and become favorites here again at the end of the year.  Suns 127 - rapters 109

We got 7 games today so here is my pick for today's game

Detroit Pistons VS Brooklyn Nets - The game will commence at Little Caesars Arena home for the Detroit Pistons, Quentin Grimes can not play for the Detroit Pistons while Cameron Thomas, Cameron Johnson, and Day'Ron Sharpe can not play for the Brooklyn Nets, now Lonnie Walker IV will have limited time to play for the Nets, for this game the Detroit Pistons has 3 consecutive losses and is not doing well while the Brooklyn Nets even though they have many injuries they still have Cam Thomas, Dorian Finney Smith, and Mikal Bridge to the team that can turn the tide and eventually won that fight, so my pick is the Brooklyn Nets.

Indiana Pacers VS Minnesota Timberwolves - The game will commence at Bainbridge Fieldhouse home for the Indiana Pacers, Doug McDermott, and Bennedict Mathurin can not play for the Indiana Pacers while Karl-Anthony Towns, and Jaylen Clark can not play for the Timberwolves, right now the Indiana Pacers has a great game right now winning against the mavericks but the Timberwolves has injuries that may change their game so my pick is the Indiana Pacers.

Dallas Mavericks VS Miami Heat - The game will commence at American Airlines Center, Luka Doncic and Maxi Kleber will have a hard time and can play just a limited game against the Heat, while Tyler Herro and Kevin Love can play for the Heat and so the Mavericks even though there is no Luka Doncic for this game but still I think the Mavericks will use him strategically so my pick is the Dallas Mavericks.

After taking a look at the schedule for today I decided to go with a couple of my hometown teams.    Not much to work with as far as odds, but hopefully this will get me a parlay win and a couple of my home teams some wins.  Given my record as of late, I need this.  LOL.  I am concerned how the Kings will fare against Wemby.  They're sort of a short team.  Either Wemby will be a problem or Sabonis will bully him into irrelevance. 

Phoenix Suns - Toronto Raptors
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Phoenix Suns

Sacramento Kings - San Antonio Spurs
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Sacramento Kings

Odds
1.42

Washington Wizards - Orlando Magic - Orlando Magic (-5.5) - Win! Magic is strong but the Wizards did give them a hard time to win.
Philadelphia 76ers - Memphis Grizzlies - Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5) - Loss!
Atlanta Hawks - Cleveland Cavaliers - Atlanta Hawks (-1.5) - Win! Finally, I thought I was not going to win a game betting for the Hawks.
Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-4.5) - Win! It was a close game but I got lucky the Fred reacted so much and was called for a technical foul. PG13 got three free throws in the process instead of two.
Over 221.5. - Win!
Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-11.5) - Win!
Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks - Golden State Warriors (-3.5) - Win! Warriors showing some strength in numbers.

---

7 games later.
Here are my picks.
Detroit Pistons - Brooklyn Nets - Brooklyn Nets (-1.5)
Indiana Pacers - Minnesota Timberwolves - Indiana Pacers (-1.5) - The Pacers as favorite, that's rare.
Dallas Mavericks - Miami Heat - Miami Heat (6.5) - This is high risk. I don't know, I just trust the Miami Heat right now after they gave me consecutive wins.
Phoenix Suns - Toronto Raptors - Phoenix Suns (-10.5) - In their last game, it was said that Booker is near back. I hope it will be now.
Sacramento Kings - San Antonio Spurs - Sacramento Kings (-10.5) - No Wemby, yes problem. -10 should be covered.

Good luck everyone.

Clippers and Magic have been trailing in the early periods of the game, but they were able to come back and win the game. The same with Cavaliers, they were trailing, able to comeback but still fall short in the end. Parlay looking good but you know, one mistake will ruin it all. Failed last night, let's make a  new one for the upcoming games, I'm watching and waiting to tail @OgNasty . 

Almost, not quite, as the Hawks won against the Cavs, after their big win and huge comeback from the Celtics the other night, they seems to be exhausted.
Dean Wade only scored 9 points in 30 minutes as compare to his performance against Boston.

Really hard to hit this kind of parlay and even though it's no handicap and just ML, still, there will be just one game that will really messed it up and destroy your multi-bet. Clippers game though is very close, they've been trailing the whole game and finally found their range in the 4th quarter and erases the first quarter lead of 20 points by the Houston Rockets.

This team is so bad... Damn, I thought they are gonna have a blowout win at home, up 20 points IIRC but ended up losing 10 points. That's why they can't criticize the Pistons because they are now on the same level. Kuzma once said " at this level, I don't want to be in that team", referring to the Pistons. LOL.

Sorry mate, you bet on the wrong side, there's no safe bet now although it looks like a winner early.

I somehow find it unusual to like the spread on the Wizards and regardless of their terrible ATS record, i'd hope the rest advantage is enough to hold the Orlando Magic by 7 or less.



I wouldn't say most of the time, but it happens more frequently than expected even in the previous seasons. Sometimes I would see other bettors start saying it ironically because of how common it is.  

Edit: Another second-half collapse from leading to losing double-digits. 

The Houston Rockets won against the San Antonio Spurs with aggressive defense and team play. While the Rockets showed that they have potential even if they are not in great shape, the Los Angeles Clippers have been up and down since the All-Star break and have been inconsistent in their recent games. But the Clippers have plenty of individual talent to win games. The Clippers won both games this season, but this time on the road. Houston's defense could give them trouble, but I expect the Clippers to win.

Both teams are dealing with significant injuries, but both teams want to keep winning. The Cavaliers, without key players like Mitchell, Strus and Mobley, beat the Boston Celtics. The Hawks defeated the New York Knicks despite injuries to Trae Young and Onyeka Okongwu. Both teams have roster deficiencies. That's why I expect a low scoring and competitive game, with both teams on a downward trend. Therefore, I expect the total score to be below par in this game as well.

I lost yesterday's parlay by a single point as the Cavs beat the Celtics by 1...  Today I'm going with a little longer odds in hopes to make up for some of the recent catastrophe that is my gambling picks.

I feel good about the Magic and the Thunder.  The Cavs are the only underdog in this parlay, but they've been playing great lately and the Hawks have been playing without ice trae, so maybe the Cavs will get them today.

Washington Wizards - Orlando Magic
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Orlando Magic

Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Clippers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Los Angeles Clippers

Atlanta Hawks - Cleveland Cavaliers
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Cleveland Cavaliers

Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder
Winner (Incl. Overtime)
Oklahoma City Thunder

Odds
4.58

Charlotte Hornets - Orlando Magic - Orlando Magic (-7.5) - Won! Covered.
New York Knicks - Atlanta Hawks - New York Knicks (-1.5) - Loss! Just when I thought the Hawks would lose again. Damn it.
Toronto Raptors - New Orleans Pelicans - New Orleans Pelicans (-7.5) - Won! Covered. It's a blowout game.
Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat (-10.5) - Loss! A good fight was shown by the Pistons. But Jimmy Butler was just too much for them. Did not cover the spreads.
Cleveland Cavaliers - Boston Celtics - Boston Celtics (-6.5) - Loss! Wow. The Cavs somehow found a way to win.
Dallas Mavericks - Indiana Pacers - Dallas Mavericks (-2.5) - Loss! 3rd quarter is when Indiana put a gap between them.

---

8 games later.
Here are my picks.

Washington Wizards - Orlando Magic - Orlando Magic (-5.5)
Philadelphia 76ers - Memphis Grizzlies - Philadelphia 76ers (-3.5)
Atlanta Hawks - Cleveland Cavaliers - Atlanta Hawks (-1.5) - Both are playing back-to-back games but the Cavs may be undermanned today as Mobley and Max Struss might not play. So it will all depend on their bench.
Houston Rockets - Los Angeles Clippers - Los Angeles Clippers (-4.5) - After that loss against the Bucks even if they are Giannis-less, the Clippers will probably force to win this one. I am expecting a high volume of shots so I am also betting for the Over 221.5.
Portland Trail Blazers - Oklahoma City Thunder - Oklahoma City Thunder (-11.5)
Golden State Warriors - Milwaukee Bucks - Golden State Warriors (-3.5)

Good luck everyone!

This kind of expectation hasn't been happening for games like this in this season. We should be more careful with betting against a team that does not have best player as most of the time they'll cover the spread, and if they got lucky they can win the game. Happened many times already, but you are right, that was a total collapse for the Celtics, they have been dominant but that kind of scenario cannot happen again otherwise, it will be exploited.

So now, this championship team that we are seeing still has its weakness, they loss two times already against a team that have miss their best player/s.

No one really expected it mate, it was a total collapse for the Celtics, no one can hit their shots, Tatum had a good look but it was short, same with KP, very hot in the first half, squared for a 3 and I think it will go in, unfortunately it just bounce back.

On the other hand DWade can't missed, Niang as well known for his outside shooting, contributed with that one big 3 in the corner. Really hard to see this outcome specially for Celtics backers, no Donovan Mitchell, so it should be easy double digit win.

At some point, it looks like a blowout win by the Celtics again; that was supposed to be money, but that huge run by the Cavaliers gave the Celtics another defeat. Just a one-point victory by the Cavaliers, too bad the Celtics were unable to hold their lead. Now we can say that the Celtics are a real playoff threat. I think all the teams that have beaten the Celtics on their home court. No Mitchell, no problem.

This is also why I picked the Celtics today as my main bet and the Cavs lost their last game against a Knicks team that is missing their best players.

Now against a team with more firepower like the Celtics, surely it'd be another loss and the Celtics are likely to extend their win streak. Hopefully, they can dominate with a big lead in the first half since they don't always score much in the second half.



Edit: What a throw by the Celtics in the fourth quarter. 

Was looking for a match in the NBA to place a bet on today since when I had San Antonio on the +9.5 and under last week.
Seems that most are on the Pelicans playing the Raptors tonight so will back New Orleans since Zion Williamson hasn't been playing so bad lately, and scored over 20+ points in his last game I watched last month.
-7.5 pts for the handicap seems like a alot so might as well take the over as well for my bet.

∆ RJ Barrett 25+ PRA / RJ Barrett 1+ 3pt / I. Quickley 10+ RA @1.80 ∆  X

My play revolves around Scottie Barnes' injury and the implications it has for the rest of the team going forward. Quickley will now be responsible for nearly all of the Raptors' playmaking duties. He had 11 assists in the game Barnes went down, followed by another 11-assist performance against the Hornets. Pels give the sixth most assists to opposing point guards this season, and Quickley has covered 10+ RA in 4/L5.

The same goes for Barrett, who must be the guy and lead the team on offense. He's coming off four consecutive 20-point games and is averaging slightly over 30 PRA /L5. The Raptors will also be without B. Brown and J. Poeltl, which should allow Barrett to grab a few extra rebounds here and there.