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Topic: - negative diff hike - (Read 3467 times)

sr. member
Activity: 427
Merit: 251
- electronics design|embedded software|verilog -
December 02, 2014, 06:59:15 PM
#32
And here we go:

Dec 02 2014    40,007,470,271    -0.73%    286,384,627 GH/s

legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1005
ASIC Wannabe
November 27, 2014, 05:30:06 PM
#31
My favorite thing is that a bitfury system from last September continues to churn out bitcoins at ~1.2w/gh profitably. When I bought the device almost Noone expected it to be profitable past 6-9 months of use.

You must not pay that much for electricity if its still profitable. Are you out in Washington?

$0.15/kwh    IIRC the breakeven point for me right now is around 1.5w/GH - Ive been trying to sell off some of the older hardware to make sure i have only 1w/GH or better gear
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1005
ASIC Wannabe
November 27, 2014, 05:28:38 PM
#30
Somebody pointed me to this site a little while back:

http://nextdifficulty.com/

Waiting (and mining) with anticipation!

seems a bit high. 2.5% movement downwards is my best guess
full member
Activity: 143
Merit: 100
Using some expensive heaters
November 27, 2014, 10:00:48 AM
#29
Somebody pointed me to this site a little while back:

http://nextdifficulty.com/

Waiting (and mining) with anticipation!
sr. member
Activity: 427
Merit: 251
- electronics design|embedded software|verilog -
November 27, 2014, 09:42:24 AM
#28
Estimated Next Difficulty:    40,248,405,371 (-0.13%)

I never saw this before:)
The difficulty declined twice last year, one of which was ~this time.

With those two exceptions there was only one other time that the difficulty decreased in the history of bitcoin, although it did stay the same for several months (at "1") in the very early days of mining.
^Had to correct this.
I counted 18 times that the diff decreased on adjustment, just some of that:
8 times in august - november 2011,
4 times in april - may 2012
2 times in december 2012
and once in january 2013


I wasn't around at that time, so I never saw this before;)


hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
November 27, 2014, 09:33:26 AM
#27
Estimated Next Difficulty:    40,248,405,371 (-0.13%)

I never saw this before:)
The difficulty declined twice last year, one of which was ~this time.

With those two exceptions there was only one other time that the difficulty decreased in the history of bitcoin, although it did stay the same for several months (at "1") in the very early days of mining.
^Had to correct this.
I counted 18 times that the diff decreased on adjustment, just some of that:
8 times in august - november 2011,
4 times in april - may 2012
2 times in december 2012
and once in january 2013
sr. member
Activity: 297
Merit: 250
November 27, 2014, 09:26:06 AM
#26
Negative diff hike should stay for long time, assuming bitcoin price don't suddenly sky rocket. So time to buy cloud mining!!
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
November 27, 2014, 08:59:45 AM
#25
Estimated Next Difficulty:    40,248,405,371 (-0.13%)

I never saw this before:)
The difficulty declined twice last year, one of which was ~this time.

With those two exceptions there was only one other time that the difficulty decreased in the history of bitcoin, although it did stay the same for several months (at "1") in the very early days of mining.
sr. member
Activity: 443
Merit: 250
November 27, 2014, 12:29:42 AM
#24
we do prediction markets on the bitcoin difficulty: basically you predict (bet) if some difficulty is reached by a time or not.

What might be interesting for everyone are the resulting data: you get probabilities:
https://www.fairlay.com/event/category/bitcoin/difficulty/

Currently people are not 100% convinced of the decrease: the probability for a decrease this year is only 76%
(so if you predict on the decrease you still can make money if it actually happens)
hero member
Activity: 562
Merit: 506
We're going to need a bigger heatsink.
November 26, 2014, 03:44:43 PM
#23
My favorite thing is that a bitfury system from last September continues to churn out bitcoins at ~1.2w/gh profitably. When I bought the device almost Noone expected it to be profitable past 6-9 months of use.

You must not pay that much for electricity if its still profitable. Are you out in Washington?
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1005
ASIC Wannabe
November 26, 2014, 01:43:37 PM
#22
My favorite thing is that a bitfury system from last September continues to churn out bitcoins at ~1.2w/gh profitably. When I bought the device almost Noone expected it to be profitable past 6-9 months of use.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
November 26, 2014, 07:11:12 AM
#21
Well as long as i break even I will continue to mine next year save the bitcoin and hope for a price rise in months ahead.
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
November 26, 2014, 07:04:48 AM
#20
GO GO GO DIFFICULTY GO ...... down!!!


nice one I am on board with this!

 Grin and as well as we need the prices of BTC to go UP UP UP!!!

Honestly seems too low at the moment ... not trying to go to deep on price speculation in this thread but just my opinion.

Although surely everyone wants the prices to be as HIGH as possible Tongue


If we strung/or averaged   -1% from now until my birth day in late Jan.  the price could stay at 350 usd.
member
Activity: 99
Merit: 10
-All Investment Has its Risks and Rewards-
November 26, 2014, 02:15:33 AM
#19
GO GO GO DIFFICULTY GO ...... down!!!


nice one I am on board with this!

 Grin and as well as we need the prices of BTC to go UP UP UP!!!

Honestly seems too low at the moment ... not trying to go to deep on price speculation in this thread but just my opinion.

Although surely everyone wants the prices to be as HIGH as possible Tongue
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
November 25, 2014, 11:06:47 PM
#18
well the diff. went to -10, cold season + dropping of difficulty. A nice season it is Smiley

this is a big point for me.

the   winter power cost drops from 16 cents to 13 cents.

saving on the heat drops me to 10 cents.  At 10 cents my 5.6th uses 4k and will make 575 a month

in the summer 313 a month. 

but there were times last year I was making 2k a month mostly nov dec jan 2013-2014.

unless we see a decent price jump mining may end for my tis spring.  these  -1 and -2 diff jumps or drops will help for a bit. but I can't see me mining past may 1 - july 1 of 2015

and I have sp20's and s-3's I am doing just under .7 watts for all of my gear combined
sr. member
Activity: 294
Merit: 250
November 25, 2014, 09:26:01 PM
#17
well the diff. went to -2, cold season + dropping of difficulty. A nice season it is Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 427
Merit: 251
- electronics design|embedded software|verilog -
November 25, 2014, 04:25:08 PM
#16
Estimated Next Difficulty:    40,248,405,371 (-0.13%)

I never saw this before:)

Estimated Next Difficulty:    39,891,564,019 (-1.01%)


Estimated Next Difficulty:    39,621,045,932 (-1.68%)
I'm seeing this:
7.47 days left until -2.83% growth

Estimated Next Difficulty:    39,465,146,903 (-2.07%)

Taken from https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

(Down boy, down!...

www.youtube.com/watch?v=aKfbSHW9uGA&t=1m29s Smiley

hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
November 25, 2014, 03:08:40 PM
#15
Estimated Next Difficulty:    40,248,405,371 (-0.13%)

I never saw this before:)

Estimated Next Difficulty:    39,891,564,019 (-1.01%)


Estimated Next Difficulty:    39,621,045,932 (-1.68%)
I'm seeing this:
7.47 days left until -2.83% growth
legendary
Activity: 4326
Merit: 8950
'The right to privacy matters'
November 25, 2014, 08:07:33 AM
#14
GO GO GO DIFFICULTY GO ...... down!!!


nice one I am on board with this!
member
Activity: 99
Merit: 10
-All Investment Has its Risks and Rewards-
November 25, 2014, 12:25:20 AM
#13
GO GO GO DIFFICULTY GO ...... down!!!
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