Netflix (Options) | Bitcointalksearch.org

CryptoTrout

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Quote from: ajaxmoor on January 26, 2015, 08:22:44 PM

Quote from: Wendigo on January 23, 2015, 06:23:15 PM

Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 23, 2015, 06:11:43 PM

Place a put order for 360 at 1.50 bid for March 20, 2015

Thank me later.

If you want me to explain further into this speculation, just ask.

Which stock exchange do you use please? Is it supposed to go up in price? Thanks.

Is there any good stock exchange that allows you to use bitcoin ?
Came across a thread today but can't find it anymore.

you can leverage trade some stocks on 1broker

Somekindabitcoin

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Quote from: cysive on January 27, 2015, 06:26:19 PM

Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 27, 2015, 05:01:06 PM

I see though, that after I close my short, I am going to go long on a 2017 Call for 600. I see 600 as a possibility within the next 2 years. I actually see 1200 as a possibility in 2 years.

I absolutely agree that options are the way to go here. But I would wait for a new all time high over $480 before shorting.

Good luck,

-C.

This is exactly what i'm waiting for. I have made a fortune when I did this same strategy last year. This time though, I do plan to hold a long after my put.

cysive

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Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 27, 2015, 05:01:06 PM

I see though, that after I close my short, I am going to go long on a 2017 Call for 600. I see 600 as a possibility within the next 2 years. I actually see 1200 as a possibility in 2 years.

I absolutely agree that options are the way to go here. But I would wait for a new all time high over $480 before shorting.

Good luck,

-C.

Somekindabitcoin

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Activity: 518

Merit: 500

I see though, that after I close my short, I am going to go long on a 2017 Call for 600. I see 600 as a possibility within the next 2 years. I actually see 1200 as a possibility in 2 years.

Somekindabitcoin

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Activity: 518

Merit: 500

Quote from: cysive on January 27, 2015, 02:15:26 PM

After the recent earnings report and reaction, shorting Netflix with March 360 puts is an insane idea.

The stock doesn't trade on PE it trades on subscriber numbers, and the company just announced it will grow their subs internationally and remain profitable doing it. The market loved that.

Nothing in that analysis is likely to change before the March 20 put expiration recommended in the op.

-C.

You are right. April is actually the put I am actually going to make.

I always read through all the news through the year and future news. The price swings are massive on this thing. The hype should finish by April which would be the time they will have their 1st Quarter earnings for the year.

cysive

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Activity: 96

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After the recent earnings report and reaction, shorting Netflix with March 360 puts is an insane idea.

The stock doesn't trade on PE it trades on subscriber numbers, and the company just announced it will grow their subs internationally and remain profitable doing it. The market loved that.

Nothing in that analysis is likely to change before the March 20 put expiration recommended in the op.

-C.

ajaxmoor

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Activity: 1372

Merit: 1000

Quote from: jaberwock on January 27, 2015, 04:24:06 AM

Quote from: ajaxmoor on January 26, 2015, 08:22:44 PM

Quote from: Wendigo on January 23, 2015, 06:23:15 PM

Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 23, 2015, 06:11:43 PM

Place a put order for 360 at 1.50 bid for March 20, 2015

Thank me later.

If you want me to explain further into this speculation, just ask.

Which stock exchange do you use please? Is it supposed to go up in price? Thanks.

Is there any good stock exchange that allows you to use bitcoin ?
Came across a thread today but can't find it anymore.

No, probably due to regulatory things.

Even if one opens, I guess the trades will be in USD and you might have the option to withdraw using BTC

That will do for me as well. Just want to find one that does. Do you know f any existing exhcnage ?

jaberwock

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Quote from: ajaxmoor on January 26, 2015, 08:22:44 PM

Quote from: Wendigo on January 23, 2015, 06:23:15 PM

Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 23, 2015, 06:11:43 PM

Place a put order for 360 at 1.50 bid for March 20, 2015

Thank me later.

If you want me to explain further into this speculation, just ask.

Which stock exchange do you use please? Is it supposed to go up in price? Thanks.

Is there any good stock exchange that allows you to use bitcoin ?
Came across a thread today but can't find it anymore.

No, probably due to regulatory things.

Even if one opens, I guess the trades will be in USD and you might have the option to withdraw using BTC

twiifm

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Activity: 784

Merit: 500

Quote from: Stringer Bell on January 27, 2015, 02:26:33 AM

I looked at their financials over 2 years ago and thoughts "holy fucking crap, how is this stock price anywhere NEAR where it is today"?

And thought, this is obvious, easy money, I am going to short this stock. 3 month, 6 month, 12 month even and I think some 24 month (was sure it couldn't possibly last 2 more than years, and it would correct significantly lower towards a more realistic value).

Great company, horrible stock, the most creative accounting i've ever seen in my life. Who the heck actually knows how to put a fair value on it. But I am warning you, as somebody who thought PUT options were a slam-dunk and got burned, 2 years ago or so - be careful, that price could stay high for who knows how long(years and years more even maybe..), it has NO basis in reality anymore. The market's prices today are totally disconnected from reality in many areas in general (long story).

I am sure many have come to the same conclusion only do discover the price behaves in a manner which defies reality.

This stock is a turd which just won't flush.

When buying options you have to get timing pretty perfect or you get killed on theta. I suggest doing something like an at the money vertical for directional play or sell out of the money call so theta is in your favor

Stringer Bell

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I looked at their financials over 2 years ago and thoughts "holy fucking crap, how is this stock price anywhere NEAR where it is today"?

And thought, this is obvious, easy money, I am going to short this stock. 3 month, 6 month, 12 month even and I think some 24 month (was sure it couldn't possibly last 2 more than years, and it would correct significantly lower towards a more realistic value).

Great company, horrible stock, the most creative accounting i've ever seen in my life. Who the heck actually knows how to put a fair value on it. But I am warning you, as somebody who thought PUT options were a slam-dunk and got burned, 2 years ago or so - be careful, that price could stay high for who knows how long(years and years more even maybe..), it has NO basis in reality anymore. The market's prices today are totally disconnected from reality in many areas in general (long story).

I am sure many have come to the same conclusion only do discover the price behaves in a manner which defies reality.

This stock is a turd which just won't flush.

Somekindabitcoin

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Merit: 500

At least, no trusted exchange. I have no idea.

ajaxmoor

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Quote from: Wendigo on January 23, 2015, 06:23:15 PM

Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 23, 2015, 06:11:43 PM

Place a put order for 360 at 1.50 bid for March 20, 2015

Thank me later.

If you want me to explain further into this speculation, just ask.

Which stock exchange do you use please? Is it supposed to go up in price? Thanks.

Is there any good stock exchange that allows you to use bitcoin ?
Came across a thread today but can't find it anymore.

Somekindabitcoin

hero member

Activity: 518

Merit: 500

I'll get back here when it's time. I haven't actually shorted yet. I'm waiting for the price to get a bit higher so that my short will cost less, reaping more gains for me. If the short goes under a buck, that's around a 50x gain for me.

freedomno1

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Learning the troll avoidance button :)

Quote from: twiifm on January 26, 2015, 02:27:13 PM

Quote from: freedomno1 on January 26, 2015, 02:18:43 PM

Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 23, 2015, 06:46:11 PM

I use options express. I predict a huge drop for Netflix which means a huge gain for this put.

I guess my question is where do you see the fundamentals breaking, the movement of Canadian netflix users to the American version of it or the constant awesomeness of Plex and Xbmc

What fundamental? P/E ratio is like 130. It only beat ER by 1c. I agree that you should short NFLX. I'm not sure the timing but soon. Look for an "M" pattern when you short

Sorry I shouldn't have said fundamental, was talking about it but not under fundamental analysis but under growth.
I meant the metrics that underlay the sentiment in the stock and what would make it crash, that said I would short netflix as well it's ratios are overvalued at present given the economic changes.
However one could argue that this is an alternative to a vacation so we might see more netflix users.

That said Jpmorgan calls $511 that makes me suspicious
http://www.bidnessetc.com/33319-heres-why-jpmorgan-revised-target-price-on-netflix-nflx-stock-to-511/

OP has a short due in two months so this is worth observation

twiifm

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Quote from: freedomno1 on January 26, 2015, 02:18:43 PM

Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 23, 2015, 06:46:11 PM

I use options express. I predict a huge drop for Netflix which means a huge gain for this put.

I guess my question is where do you see the fundamentals breaking, the movement of Canadian netflix users to the American version of it or the constant awesomeness of Plex and Xbmc

What fundamental? P/E ratio is like 130. It only beat ER by 1c. I agree that you should short NFLX. I'm not sure the timing but soon. Look for an "M" pattern when you short

freedomno1

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Activity: 1806

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Learning the troll avoidance button :)

Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 23, 2015, 06:46:11 PM

I use options express. I predict a huge drop for Netflix which means a huge gain for this put.

I guess my question is where do you see the fundamentals breaking, the movement of Canadian netflix users to the American version of it or the constant awesomeness of Plex and Xbmc

twiifm

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Activity: 784

Merit: 500

Quote from: koinvict on January 26, 2015, 11:37:19 AM

Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 23, 2015, 06:11:43 PM

Place a put order for 360 at 1.50 bid for March 20, 2015

Thank me later.

If you want me to explain further into this speculation, just ask.

Explain.

He just did.

Quote

I predict a huge drop for Netflix which means a huge gain for this put.

koinvict

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Activity: 23

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Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 23, 2015, 06:11:43 PM

Place a put order for 360 at 1.50 bid for March 20, 2015

Thank me later.

If you want me to explain further into this speculation, just ask.

Explain.

Somekindabitcoin

hero member

Activity: 518

Merit: 500

I use options express. I predict a huge drop for Netflix which means a huge gain for this put.

Wendigo

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Quote from: Somekindabitcoin on January 23, 2015, 06:11:43 PM

Place a put order for 360 at 1.50 bid for March 20, 2015

Thank me later.

If you want me to explain further into this speculation, just ask.

Which stock exchange do you use please? Is it supposed to go up in price? Thanks.

Topic: Netflix (Options) (Read 1919 times)