This prediction is still on track....
Strap yourself in people. This will be a year to remember.
CHOO CHOO!
lol, optimist like you allways take the grim of my face.
But lets be objective for a second here, as you are talking about increasing the marketcap from roughly 8 billion to 64 billion usd.
Fast increase in price also means thinner support lines holding that price, and when u loose those due to some guy's cashout, you also loose trust.
It is much better to return to 1k area and sit there for atleast few months , before considering higher numbers.
A company that has a yearly revenue of $50+ billion just started accepting bitcoin for payment.
That should be a clear sign that Bitcoin can hit $50 billion easily as other merchants will flock to support bitcoin payments in the near future.
Bitcoin marketcap is ~$8 billion now. You do the math.
Except every new major vendor that accepts Bitcoin actually puts downward selling pressure on the price, as they sell received Bitcoin for fiat. Going to take a while before all the big vendors stop doing that. Investors in your average company wouldn't be too happy about them holding company profits in a volatile investment instrument (BTC).
Long term I believe we're going way up. But I also believe it's going to take longer than people think.
Yes but you can't assume they sell 100% of their coins they collect either.
Dell's yearly revenue shows how big Bitcoin can grow.
You clearly are ignoring this glaring fact.
I'm not talking about the distant future of how big Bitcoin can grow. That is irrelevant. I'm talking about the present and immediate future. Some of these companies may hold a small amount of Bitcoin but you have to admit you are living in a Bitcoin bubble fantasy if you think most of these big vendors are holding onto their coins.
It's going to be a long while before the majority of big vendors don't auto trade most of their bitcoins into fiat. That's just a simple fact.
What we are going through is a painful transition period that I don't think many people saw coming a year ago, where each new major vendor announcement is actually ironically adding to Bitcoin selling pressure.
That said, everything I've written is of course moot if something causes an epic spike in buying pressure. Some say the ETF's and Wallstreet could spearhead the pump - myself, I am not so sure.
You may misinterpret me as bearish, I'm not. I have significant BTC holdings (all I will say is greater than 3 digits) and I'm a true believer in the long term which is why I hold. But I have a lot of uncertainty about the short term. I will be the first to go nuts if we hit $5k anytime in the next couple of years. I just don't see much happening in 2014 in terms of another crazy price rise like we've seen so many times in the past.
We shall see.