The high volatility experienced by bitcoin in the last few days is actually strong evidence that anything can happen. It is possible for Bitcoin to reach a new ATH in a day if demand is very high, but it can also fall very deeply if there is an extraordinary influence on the market. We all expected a new ATH and a massive rise after the halving, but this has not happened yet.
Currently bitcoin is around $9k below its ATH, so it's certainly not too high to reach again. If buying interest surges, then bitcoin will very likely be at $70k again in no time. But what I'm hoping for is a steady rise instead of panic buying due to FOMO or something like that. This can prevent large falls in one day due to quick profit taking.
We're less than two months away from 2025, thus, I find it quite unlikely that we'll hit a new ATH in such a short period. Although that doesn't necessarily mean much, especially with the US elections on the way, things can swiftly change, either for the better or worse. From how I see things, except from the past few days to week, Bitcoin has been relatively stable, ranging in price between $58,000 at major drops, to $62,000, and sometimes up to $64,000 or $65,000, replicating this pattern over the last few months.
This isn't a speculation analysis nor am I trying to prove my point, but it seems to me that it's following a pattern of minor pumps and dumps over the last few months, before summer started.