yes---if we follow the 2014 path. based on our very limited history that's the best guess, but chances are the market will form a different model than past cycles. they say history often rhymes but never repeats, and i think that applies to these cycles well.
Absolutely. Just a guess of course. I think Wall St could accelerate the bubble so that it comes in 2020 if they buy up millions of Bitcoin in 2019 so that when the next surge of retail traders comes in the supply is very thin and prices skyrocket. I think it depends how much Wall St buy up, because if institutional investors and traditional retail investors through like ETFs start thinking "hey let's put 10% of our portfolio in this Bitcoin thing", and if they all rush in to get cheap prices before the rest come in, that would start a serious bull run and then a public craze would quickly ensue again plus lots of news about the halving come 2020 and people start hearing about how the supply of new Bitcoin is cut in half yeah 2020 could be the next boom. Or we could see a 2013 type thing where Wall St rushes in and it shoots to say $40k but crashes before the general public can really get all frothy on it and then there's a short crash of less than a year before the general public finally rushes in and raises it much higher.
Just educated guesses. The only thing I'm very confident in is there will be another crypto boom within the next few years. The details of that boom, when, why, and how high, are of course educated guesswork.