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Topic: Next bubble forecast for 2014 (Read 3340 times)

sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
April 19, 2014, 07:01:44 AM
#25
No major bubble in 2014. However, in 2015, we will have at least 2 or 3 BIG bubbles.
legendary
Activity: 1106
Merit: 1005
April 18, 2014, 07:13:51 PM
#24
So, various people think the 2014 bubble may go as high as $6k, what's everyone's prediction for the 2015 bubble (assuming there is one of course  Grin ).

hard to say because we're not at the start of the current bubble.

Definitely 5 digits though. Probably 20k~30k or so, but maybe much higher. Way too early to make an educated guess on it though.
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
April 18, 2014, 05:31:35 PM
#23
So, various people think the 2014 bubble may go as high as $6k, what's everyone's prediction for the 2015 bubble (assuming there is one of course  Grin ).
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
April 16, 2014, 11:07:59 AM
#22
Last summer's $50 -$100 prices were low relative to adoption. I don't think that's the case now. $500 is more likely ahead of adoption due to speculation.

I still think there will be a speculative bubble mid to late summer (July-Sept timeframe), but only to the $2k to $2.5k range.

I'm thinking along the same lines, although I do think if we get another speculative bubble, we are going to see $3k plus quickly.  The amount of people and money paying attention now is much more vast than it was last November.

It is wrong to think that the only factor determining bitcoin price is end-user adoption. It seems much more logical to also include the power of the hashing network and the businesses and enhancements which are in the works - i.e., capital transfer capacity and future adoption capacity. And these are at least an order of magnitude higher now than a year ago.
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
April 16, 2014, 10:50:35 AM
#21
Last summer's $50 -$100 prices were low relative to adoption. I don't think that's the case now. $500 is more likely ahead of adoption due to speculation.

I still think there will be a speculative bubble mid to late summer (July-Sept timeframe), but only to the $2k to $2.5k range.

I'm thinking along the same lines, although I do think if we get another speculative bubble, we are going to see $3k plus quickly.  The amount of people and money paying attention now is much more vast than it was last November.
full member
Activity: 862
Merit: 100
April 16, 2014, 10:21:47 AM
#20
On November 19, 2013, Bitcoin had a low of 378 but reached $755 all in one day. Anything can happen and it'll be fast. My advice is to not take the risk selling Bitcoin. The up trend has been there for years. I personally won't fight the trend unless there is an unfixable flaw in the protocol.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
April 16, 2014, 09:16:27 AM
#19
Last summer's $50 -$100 prices were low relative to adoption. I don't think that's the case now. $500 is more likely ahead of adoption due to speculation.

I still think there will be a speculative bubble mid to late summer (July-Sept timeframe), but only to the $2k to $2.5k range.
hero member
Activity: 496
Merit: 500
Spanish Bitcoin trader
April 16, 2014, 05:42:06 AM
#18
$3700, second half of July.

Triple the current ATH, allowing for 6 months delay, and then a bit more time given how deteriorated the market came to be last week.

The reason for the rise: When people discover Bitcoin's correlation to stocks is negative... Oh, boy. Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
April 16, 2014, 03:47:39 AM
#17
I for some reason think 500 is the new 5, i.e. we will be around for some more time. Momentum is not there to push the rocket over 1200, so if it launches now it will just fall onto some neighbours lawn. Summer rally sounds right.
legendary
Activity: 2114
Merit: 1015
March 13, 2014, 09:00:47 AM
#16
If we hit $800 by the end of March that will be the first doubling with 3 or 4 after that with half time in between each.

Meaning:
price double
1: $400-$800   1 month
2: $800-$1600  2 weeks
3: $1600-$3200  1 week
4?: $3200-$6400  somewhere in this range will be the top a few days after $3200

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hcJ1lrllZ7o
LET'S DO IT!!!

hero member
Activity: 552
Merit: 501
March 13, 2014, 06:50:14 AM
#15
Historically, bitcoin price surges have occurred at intervals of between 7 and 20 months. The past is no guarantee of the future but it is a start. So on that basis, we might expect the price to surge past US$ 1,200 sometime between Summer 14 and Autumn 15.

Well shit that narrows it down!

I know the exact date but I'm keeping it to myself
hero member
Activity: 811
Merit: 1000
Web Developer
March 12, 2014, 05:14:42 PM
#14
My wild guess:

member
Activity: 63
Merit: 10
Bitcoins Gold Silver
March 12, 2014, 04:41:02 PM
#13
New all time highs at the end of June 2014
sr. member
Activity: 266
Merit: 250
March 12, 2014, 12:05:21 PM
#12
Historically, bitcoin price surges have occurred at intervals of between 7 and 20 months. The past is no guarantee of the future but it is a start. So on that basis, we might expect the price to surge past US$ 1,200 sometime between Summer 14 and Autumn 15.

Well shit that narrows it down!
hero member
Activity: 552
Merit: 501
March 12, 2014, 09:01:01 AM
#11
Historically, bitcoin price surges have occurred at intervals of between 7 and 20 months. The past is no guarantee of the future but it is a start. So on that basis, we might expect the price to surge past US$ 1,200 sometime between Summer 14 and Autumn 15.
legendary
Activity: 3598
Merit: 2386
Viva Ut Vivas
March 12, 2014, 01:32:23 AM
#10
If we hit $800 by the end of March that will be the first doubling with 3 or 4 after that with half time in between each.
quite skeptical about hitting 800$ mark by the end of march. But I think this is in speculation section for some reason.. ! being optimistic I hope we get there.

We are already over half way to $800 in less than half a month. I would say we are right on track.
legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
March 11, 2014, 02:05:59 PM
#9
I am too skeptical to believe it will grow up to $800 by the end of March

I am too skeptical to believe it will grow up to $800 by the end of 2014.

I am too skeptical to believe it will ever reach dollar parity. or am i late with that?
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
March 11, 2014, 01:07:07 PM
#8
I am too skeptical to believe it will grow up to $800 by the end of March

I am too skeptical to believe it will grow up to $800 by the end of 2014.
member
Activity: 73
Merit: 10
March 11, 2014, 10:15:11 AM
#7
I am too skeptical to believe it will grow up to $800 by the end of March
newbie
Activity: 33
Merit: 0
March 11, 2014, 09:07:34 AM
#6
If we hit $800 by the end of March that will be the first doubling with 3 or 4 after that with half time in between each.

Meaning:
price double
1: $400-$800   1 month
2: $800-$1600  2 weeks
3: $1600-$3200  1 week
4?: $3200-$6400  somewhere in this range will be the top a few days after $3200

Sounds great! Wink
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