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Topic: Nights Watch by Afrikoin - page 47. (Read 303310 times)

legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 17, 2017, 05:09:48 AM
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Outlook Not as Bearish as It Seems

https://bitcoinmagazine.com/articles/bitcoin-price-analysis-outlook-not-bearish-it-seems/
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 17, 2017, 04:57:08 AM
Make or break time

legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 17, 2017, 01:51:28 AM
4h Follow-Through: XRP, BTC, ETH, STR/XLM, GNO, LTC Ep. 18

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CbWCHA1tRoM
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 17, 2017, 01:45:33 AM
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 17, 2017, 12:46:05 AM
Saving in Bitcoins Beats saving in Mshwari hands down http://wp.me/p8hE44-3ar
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
sr. member
Activity: 289
Merit: 252
bagholder since 2013
May 16, 2017, 04:36:03 PM
Wait for the final shakeout, profits will flow back into BTC.
sr. member
Activity: 392
Merit: 250
May 16, 2017, 04:25:06 PM
Because of ICO spam, fake circulating supply, fake volume an much more. Only thing that counts is the community backing it and the volume (+ circulating supply). Those things indicates how healty a crypto is.
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 16, 2017, 04:17:33 PM
sr. member
Activity: 462
Merit: 263
The devil is in the detail.
May 16, 2017, 02:10:17 PM
My Trading Blunders: A Lesson in Overconfidence and Risk Management from 2008

https://hacked.com/trading-blunders-lesson-overconfidence-risk-management-2008/

Don't beat yourself up Afrikoin, everyone makes mistakes. Just get back in before its too late  Wink
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 16, 2017, 08:47:46 AM
My Trading Blunders: A Lesson in Overconfidence and Risk Management from 2008

https://hacked.com/trading-blunders-lesson-overconfidence-risk-management-2008/
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 16, 2017, 04:56:15 AM
Final

Thanks again guys!

legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 15, 2017, 09:06:09 PM
Thank you secousa and Wexlike!

Loooking at charts now>

Awesome!
full member
Activity: 203
Merit: 151
May 15, 2017, 06:47:25 PM

Inflation rate for Kenya has been 7% 2014, 8% 2015, 9% 2016, 10% 2017


I took these values into account and got similar results to wexlike. I believe wexlike's was done with a straight 10% inflation, what I did was applied the proper inflation per year to only those cells and then created my charts.

Here you go:



and an extra, to show the effect of inflation (since the other one its not very prominent). you can see the lines begin to diverge over 3 years

legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 15, 2017, 05:32:56 PM
Norway’s Largest Online Bank Integrates Bitcoin Accounts https://news.bitcoin.com/norways-online-bank-bitcoin-accounts/
full member
Activity: 203
Merit: 151
May 15, 2017, 05:22:09 PM
To short time frame for compunding interest to have an impact on the slope imo

This is exactly the case. Compounding interest tends to have a noticeable impact when the period of time is around 10 years or greater, OR if the compounding is happening on a much smaller time frame (such as daily)
The longer the time between compounding periods, the more time you need in order to see a significant difference
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 15, 2017, 04:57:03 PM
^ Looks nice! However the 7% interest account can't be a straight line (compounding interest, snowball effect).

You're right, found an error. Trying to fix it now. Smiley

Edit: Well actually not sure if there is an error.

I have 7% interest rate paid out every quarter. For example:

3000
6000
9000
12000 + 0,07/4*9000 = 12157,5

Should be correct ?

And its not a line on longer timescale:
https://i.imgur.com/zdfWcgA.jpg

But if you find any error, you can easily fix it in my file. Smiley

A=P(1+(r/n)^(nt))

where

P= 3000 KES ($30 at USD/KES 100)
r=0.07
n=4
t=?
hero member
Activity: 665
Merit: 500
May 15, 2017, 04:50:29 PM
To short time frame for compunding interest to have an impact on the slope imo
legendary
Activity: 1540
Merit: 1003
alan watts is all you need
May 15, 2017, 04:50:24 PM
Ok. Thanks for the positive feedback!

here is how it works

Every 1st day of the month, since 1st January 2014 to 1st May 2017, Alice sets aside 3,000 KEs to save

for ease of calculation, use USD/KES rate of 100. $1 = 100 KES

Bob OTOH decided to save the same 3,000 KES on the 1st day of each month from 1st January 2014 to 1st May 2017 into Bitcoin


Alice puts 3,000 into a KES Mshwari savings account that pay 7% interest per annum compounded annually quarterly

bob puts 3,000 KES into Bitcoin at whatever price on that day


Inflation rate for Kenya has been 7% 2014, 8% 2015, 9% 2016, 10% 2017


I would like to know on 1st May of 2017 how much does Alice and Bob have?


Does this make sense?


Besides the total amount,

i would like to see how the savings progressed over time

For this you might consider using the Coindesk price index, and the price of bitcoin on the 1st day of each month since January 1st 2014


Thank you
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