Isnt NXT price decline solely by selling pressure from original whales? All that needs to happen is them stop selling. NXT has tech, projects, community, there is no reason to be declining. Everytime there was some big news or new feature, there was always dip in price, because whales where trying to cash out on big volumes. Coins have to change hands, than price will go up.
I'm suspicious that it is actually the NXT AE that is killing the price. It seems like the success of AE has been inversely related to the NXT marketcap.
Now that sounds counter intuitive, but one scenario could explain it. If people are creating assets on NXT and then transferring them off market direction for BTC, but then when those get sold, they get sold for NXT on AE and then dumped.
So for instance, I create a "jabohld" asset. And it has 1,000,000 units. And then I tell CfB that I will give him 10% if he sends me 50 btc to my btc account. He does and then I send him 10% off AE market. Later on CfB gets involved in Jinn and needs some cash. He can't just try to find somebody to buy those directly for btc, but he can sell them on AE dumping them. He then takes all the NXT he got and then dumps it. This is one scenario where value bleeds directly out of the NXT ecosystem killing the market cap out of the success or pump of AE assets.
Now I don't have any proof this happened. It is just a theory of mine to try to explain the strange phenomena where NXT marketcap goes down while at the same time as the AE asset sum total marketcap continually goes up. It might also be said that the exact opposite scenario could also be true. In which case assets could be pumping the marketcap, but I find the theory way more likely that it is hurting, especially if there are questionable and shady assets. The reason why is that a shady asset would be far more likely to leach money out of the NXT marketcap than a good one. Lots of money their to be reaped by a good scammer.
Nice that you thought this through... but it's the latter...
The value of the zero revenue NXT Asset Bubbles has kept the value of NXT afloat for the last year...
While the former "dumping" scenario is not realistic because NXT AE is illiquid ($10,000/day in the Top 50 Assets total).
Assumption: One can sell all Assets on the Nxt AE for NXT at a single point in time.
If one accepts even a rough version of the Assumption...
Then the NXT ecosystem can be viewed as a Balance Sheet (I did this one 2-3 months ago).
When documented (or hyped) revenues actually start rolling in (InstantDEX, etc)...
Many Asset values will rise dramatically... and since both sides of Balance Sheet must be equal... NXT will rise...
If fact, even a few millions $$$ of revenue (real or hyped) could push NXT 500-1000% higher quickly.
With people willing to throw money at anything with a pulse... more NXT big moves are almost inevitable...
And you don't have to pick the right Assets... just load up on NXT, baby.
If fact, during the course of the recent 30 day rally NXT has risen about 40%...
Which pretty much mirrors or surpasses the rise of key Assets like SuperNET and InstantDEX and Jinn and BTCD.