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Topic: Official Bitcoin Price Prediction for Dec 31, 2015 - page 2. (Read 3550 times)

newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
I will predict a conservative $400. Just a few days ago that would have sounded overly optimistic, now it sounds on par, haha.

I like the $100,000 predictions in the poll, I wish  Grin
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 1000
Move On !!!!!!
Crap, for the first time I don't know what to put. Everything is really possible the way Bitcoin has moved the last few weeks.

But before this movement, if someone has offered me $500 at the new year's eve I would have taken it without even thinking, so I will say that I would be happy if we get to the stable $500.
sr. member
Activity: 369
Merit: 250
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.

If you look at how Huobi is imitating MtGox then it might very well be possible. Huobi exchange price is $360 at the moment!! $30 higher than all other exchanges!! This is just insane.

Reminds me of 2013, when Gox was leading the other exchanges up into the stratosphere. Hopefully we don't run into any 'mechanical failures' this time around Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2170
Merit: 1427
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.

If you look at how Huobi is imitating MtGox then it might very well be possible. Huobi exchange price is $360 at the moment!! $30 higher than all other exchanges!! This is just insane.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1058
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.

Yes with current price rally we can see $500 to $600 levels by the end of this year 2015. But new need more good news to push the bitcoin price further to make it possible with ease. But when we are considering the halving, at least $500 levels are very much possible.
sr. member
Activity: 369
Merit: 250
If the current trend of the past 2 weeks continues, then we may hit $500+ by the year's end, although I doubt that'll happen until 2016.
sr. member
Activity: 350
Merit: 250
Honest 80s business!
I'll just re-state what I said in the other thread: I think it will be $2.3k. We will have seen another bubble, but most likely have gone down quite a bit again. The bubble will be caused by the next block-reward halving everyone anticipates.
hero member
Activity: 854
Merit: 503
Legendary trader
My wild guess is $457 USD per coin so I voted 250+.
sr. member
Activity: 1246
Merit: 261
★ Investor | Trader | Promoter
Most bullish scenario, another spike to $450, and deflating toward low $200s, or 100s by the end of the year
double digits - realistic scenario
single digits or abandonment - bearish scenario
legendary
Activity: 1470
Merit: 1000
Want privacy? Use Monero!
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 100
I see others are starting identical threads, so this needs bumping...
legendary
Activity: 1029
Merit: 1000
500$+
2016 becuse of halving will be a year of new ATH. Earlier we will see price movements up and down due to more and more adoption and propably due to ETF.
sr. member
Activity: 316
Merit: 250
$7,500+

I predict we are at the start of a new rocket ride because of all the despair here.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1000
sr. member
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
What will the price be at the end of the year?

I will bump this thread at the end of the year to display the % of whom were correct.


Here were the results from last year 2014: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=394762.0;topicseen

Less than $50   - 20 (4%)
$50+           -   5 (1%)
$100+   - 66 (13.3%)
$500+   - 68 (13.7%)
$1,000+   - 24 (4.8%)
$1,500+   - 23 (4.6%)
$2,000+   - 41 (8.2%)
$3,000+   - 70 (14.1%)
$5,000+   - 63 (12.7%)
$7,500+   - 26 (5.2%)
$10,000+   - 91 (18.3%)

Total Voters: 497



I'd like to see over $600 at the end of this year.
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 100
140,000

We don't need that many respondents for a good sample.
legendary
Activity: 2576
Merit: 1087
140,000
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 100
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.


How many votes is sufficient to get over statistical variability and produce a good sample?

It depends on your desired level of precision in the results. Pollsters usually go for at least 1,000 respondents, but we don't need such precision.
I would say that the 497 votes achieved last time is plenty.
Less than 200 would be dodgy.
member
Activity: 66
Merit: 10
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.


How many votes is sufficient to get over statistical variability and produce a good sample?
sr. member
Activity: 433
Merit: 250
Come on people, get your votes in. 43 isn't enough to get over statistical variability, particularly given how many categories there are in the poll.


I hope we get more than the 497 votes last year.
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