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Topic: ̲ ▄ █ Overguess.com - FREE Professional Picks. Current ROI +12.90%. (Read 1699 times)

legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Hi guys,

I ended Nov with -116mBTC in FairLay and +105 mBTC in CloudBet, with a total ROI of -3.66% for Nov, and total ROI from start of +9.24%.

From my point of view, I still cannot move to BTC betting as there aren't enough competition between bookies and a lot of lines I'm taking in a fiat is missing here.
My fiat betting blog in BlogaBet is with a yield of +6% on over 1050 picks for last two month (total ROI > +60%), but there aren't BTC bookies offering same lines line Over/Under total goals on dog team. Even FairLays who are copying Pinnacle odds are excluding them for some reason.

So I will offer you a Parlays soon, as you seems all of you love them. But for now I'm on a testing phase and will not publish anything. As If things goes wrong to be only for my pocket.

Good Luck to all of you!


legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Summary of 24.11:

The day started with -2 units when BATE    vs Bayer Leverkusen and Zenit Petersburg vs Valencia ended with by just 2 goals total. Bayer was humbled by BATE...
Then everything went well with ~ +8 full units won, losing 3 bets at Nitrogen, but winning all in Cloudbet:



And a lot of in FairLay. But later on the night American action was a dispaointment... all NBA picks was lost.

Even with all those NBA loses, Total for the day: +0.5 10/10 unit
/4 winning bets are still not graded in FairLay/



Picks for daily action are added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.


And some Cloudbet lines, as other BTC bookies doesn't have it:
For those whom are betting in Fiat, exact lines which I'm using are Pinnacle Away Over 0.75.

These are direct links to events:

Por. Other   11/25 16:00   Atletico Clube de Portugal - Gil Vicente

Por. Other   11/25 16:00   GD Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B

Por. Other   11/25 18:00   Penafiel - Sporting Farense

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Daily action won us few full 10/10 units! Hopefully the Night American Action picks will repeat it Smiley

Night American Action picks are added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Summary of 23.11:

Was a great betting day with ~+9 full 10/10 units Cheesy Almost everything went perfect. Estecially the night American action.

Picks for daily action are added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.


And some Cloudbet lines, as other BTC bookies doesn't have it:
For those whom are betting in Fiat, exact lines which I'm using are Pinnacle Away Over 0.75.

These are direct links to events:

Fra. Ligue 2   11/24 20:00   Bourg en Bresse Peronnas 01 - Paris FC   

Fra. Ligue 2   11/24 20:00   Lens - Chamois Niortais   

Fra. Ligue 2   11/24 20:00   Valenciennes - Nimes





And ending with few Nitrogen Sports hockey picks:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/da35c53N2loQlMvTDBsc2kxc24vWmc5QXFhZz09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/a2a9234RGI4RmlST1BHdFZ6djU2bjRoc3E5UT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/840111fWkMxdWhraGNTRkl4SzhNVThTYy9vUT09/r/560391/


Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Few more picks for today added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.


And some Cloudbet lines, as other BTC bookies doesn't have it:
For those whom are betting in Fiat, exact lines which I'm using are Pinnacle Away Over 0.75/1.

Market name: Away Team Total Goals Over/Under

Those are direct links to events:


Romania   11/23 17:00   Botosani - Voluntari

Greece   11/23 18:30   Veria - Iraklis

Ger. Bundesliga II   11/23 20:15   Nurnberg - Eintracht Braunschweig






Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
First picks for today added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Weekend summary:

It was heavy betting weekend as usual, with bets on more than 100 events total.
Result is unlucky ~-9 full 10/10 units. We had a lot of last minute pushes like Indiana State lost with exactly 8 points. Or Rams lost with 3 with a field goal in very very last second.
And a lot of very unlucky games, f*cked in very last minute like Greuther Furth with a goal in 90'+3'.

But we are moving forward and hopefully will have a little more luck Smiley



legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Some of your odds on nitrogen or fair lay are worse than odds you can get on smarkets/matchbook.
I know they are fiat exchanges ( alternatives to betfair) but its worth looking at both of those to get best possible value.

 :)

keep up the good work



Thanks :)

I'm betting mainly in fiat for now :D Here is a trial for BTC betting.
And keep in mind that all exchanges have fees, and BF are worst of all.
newbie
Activity: 12
Merit: 0
Some of your odds on nitrogen or fair lay are worse than odds you can get on smarkets/matchbook.
I know they are fiat exchanges ( alternatives to betfair) but its worth looking at both of those to get best possible value.

 Smiley

keep up the good work

legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002

More busy weekend picks added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Also few in Nitrogen Sports:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/aebc233ZU1CbGk0ZWlLMEQ5ZXlZaXFDZDU4Zz09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/f3199a8RlM3Wlp0d21RakJndHRJMGp0MjdUZz09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/a5c288fbERBOFhQVFl6TlVVdTU3SEtFOUgrUT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/ed170f5NzZKeW94WUZnUkVVYlpGeWpkQ0VaQT09/r/560391/


Later on will add and NFL games as today they starts early.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002

woah those are some nice pciks OP congrats on getting the thread up and running too ! Cheesy


Thanks! Then - Double Luck Smiley

===

Italian Soccer picks added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Also 1 in Nitrogen Sports:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/beab0ebS0VDbHhkdkp6VEJDY3ZwRVVtZEttdz09/r/560391/


Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
[...]

Why don't you bet with DirectBet or other On-chain bookies?

Short: Because I don't want to end up loosing money. On betting size <0.1BTC

Long: Because of the transaction fees. Let's assume we are making 500 bets per month and we won 250 of them. This mean we will need to pay 500+250 = 750 x 0.0001 BTC = STUNNING 0.075 BTC or a whole 25% of our bankroll!

If you are following my picks with a bigger bankroll and have a bet size of at least 0.1 BTC, then if you prefer you could use on-chain betting without any substantial loss.

Actually, I think you can now avoid this issue in DirectBet by using their on-site Playing Wallet. According to their description:

You can also use it to fund your Sport bets in our award winning Sportsbook. This will ensure that all your bet transfers arrive and confirm instantly so you won't miss any action.

By the way, FrueGreads and I are running a small tipster competition on the forum, sponsored by DirectBet, and we would like to invite you to join us. The tournament has seven paid places (where participants can win up to 3.5 BTC), plus consolation prizes for everyone else.

If you would like to check it out, these are the relevant links:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/xii-free-tipster-competition-sponsored-by-directbet-registration-thread-1248467 - Registration thread (today is the last day)
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/xii-free-tipster-competition-sponsored-by-directbet-main-thread-1159253 - Main competition thread
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/free-betting-competition-2000-in-prizes-sponsor-betkingio-discussion-thread-1256522 - Discussion thread
https://directbet.eu/Competition.cshtml - Competition leaderboard


Thanks, I know about the competition, but DirectBet odds on main lines are not sustainable for a long run winning... Directbet site is better than FairLay as user experience, but their odd are just low vs FairLay and Nitro in almost all cases.

====

Few more bets added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Also have and 3 Nitrogen Sports:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/8939353VGxreHZ2OW5ldVVIZkxYZHAwbS9jdz09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/312c9ddcDRNMTdCNDJQbFlIRGd2c0JFTDdYdz09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/257b57cRDBEc0phanQ5WEpzb0wxZ3JtV29NUT09/r/560391/



Good Luck!


legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1071
[...]

Why don't you bet with DirectBet or other On-chain bookies?

Short: Because I don't want to end up loosing money. On betting size <0.1BTC

Long: Because of the transaction fees. Let's assume we are making 500 bets per month and we won 250 of them. This mean we will need to pay 500+250 = 750 x 0.0001 BTC = STUNNING 0.075 BTC or a whole 25% of our bankroll!

If you are following my picks with a bigger bankroll and have a bet size of at least 0.1 BTC, then if you prefer you could use on-chain betting without any substantial loss.

Actually, I think you can now avoid this issue in DirectBet by using their on-site Playing Wallet. According to their description:

You can also use it to fund your Sport bets in our award winning Sportsbook. This will ensure that all your bet transfers arrive and confirm instantly so you won't miss any action.

By the way, FrueGreads and I are running a small tipster competition on the forum, sponsored by DirectBet, and we would like to invite you to join us. The tournament has seven paid places (where participants can win up to 3.5 BTC), plus consolation prizes for everyone else.

If you would like to check it out, these are the relevant links:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/xii-free-tipster-competition-sponsored-by-directbet-registration-thread-1248467 - Registration thread (today is the last day)
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/xii-free-tipster-competition-sponsored-by-directbet-main-thread-1159253 - Main competition thread
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/free-betting-competition-2000-in-prizes-sponsor-betkingio-discussion-thread-1256522 - Discussion thread
https://directbet.eu/Competition.cshtml - Competition leaderboard
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
First 12 Bets added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
American Night action picks:

As few of the games are staring soon, to save some time, please check:

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

15 Bets added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

And the rest are at Nitrogen Sports


https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/26871e7ZWt5Ykxaa1k5aWhOcVZmUHlRNm5lUT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/212e365YldBazJ6QUFXQjZaZnFuanpkN1M0UT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/a6654bbWmtnbzByakNtMlkvQy9kY2wyVGFaUT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/430417fVDhyR21lUnhXa2RmZ2o1MGIzNzJCUT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/ce033cbWFNhQzdQcDZsK3AwU3BaY1JMVkFxQT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/6819e5dS2REeDJ5NGNpZkhkaVF4bUhRVzlFQT09/r/560391/

Sorry about this format of the best, but weekends are too busy for bettors. And I first need to bet in fiat and then enter bets on BTC bookies and then publish them.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002

As per bets above:

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

16 Bets added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For Nitrogen Sports:

Game: Soccer - Spain - La Liga   11/21 18:15   Barcelona v Real Madrid
Pick: Barcelona +0 AH  | Odd: 2.053  | Stake: 5/10 
Pick: Barcelona +0.5 AH  | Odd: 1.589  | Stake: 5/10 
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/49f7e61ei91R3FtV0o0UGxSZUVDejFrM0JzQT09/r/560391/
Nitrogen Sports Direct Market Link

Game: Soccer - Spain - La Liga   11/21 18:15   Barcelona v Real Madrid
Pick: Under 3  | Odd: 2.122  | Stake: 5/10 
Pick: Under 3  | Odd: 1.661  | Stake: 5/10 
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/49f7e61ei91R3FtV0o0UGxSZUVDejFrM0JzQT09/r/560391/
Nitrogen Sports Direct Market Link

legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Let's start the Weekend action:


Game: Soccer - England Premier   11/21 14:00   Watford vs. Manchester United
Pick: : Under 1.5  | Odd: 2.821  | Stake: 6.66/10
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
FairLay Direct Market Link


Game: Soccer - Germany - Regionalliga South West   11/21 14:00   Eintracht Trier v SV Spielberg
Pick: Eintracht Trier -1 AH  | Odd: 2.063  | Stake: 10/10  
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/4929cceNm9xQXp2NEZ3OGNwNk9RL2s0RXQrUT09/r/560391/
Nitrogen Sports Direct Market Link


Game: Soccer - Germany - Regionalliga - Bavaria   11/21 14:00   Nurnberg Am vs. FC Amberg
Pick: : Over 2.5  | Odd: 1.685  | Stake: 6.66/10
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
FairLay Direct Market Link



Game: Soccer - Germany - Bundes III   11/21 14:00   SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs. Magdeburg
Pick: : Over 3  | Odd: 2.693  | Stake: 3.33/10
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
FairLay Direct Market Link

Game: Soccer - Germany - Bundes III   11/21 14:00   SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs. Magdeburg
Pick: : Over 2.5  | Odd: 1.963  | Stake: 3.33/10
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
FairLay Direct Market Link

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
I have checked some of your bets on nitrogenbet can't find the wining one. What is the point of following you? Sorry if i missed something to understand.

Actually Nitrogen Bets are W2:2L full stakes and 1L 1/2 stake.

And a winning or losing day mean nothing. Important is in a long run to be a winner.

I can easily put 1.01-1.4 bets like all others here to have "impressive stats". But that's not the point.
My average Odd is over 2.0. And I'm making money in a long run.

If you are a recreational gambler and doesn't care about at what Odds you are posting your bets, you are not keeping a proper bankroll management, there are no point to follow me.
This thread is for people who are at least a little dedicated to betting and are looking for a long term profit.
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