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Topic: ̲ ▄ █ Overguess.com - FREE Professional Picks. Current ROI +12.90%. (Read 1699 times)

legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Hi guys,

I ended Nov with -116mBTC in FairLay and +105 mBTC in CloudBet, with a total ROI of -3.66% for Nov, and total ROI from start of +9.24%.

From my point of view, I still cannot move to BTC betting as there aren't enough competition between bookies and a lot of lines I'm taking in a fiat is missing here.
My fiat betting blog in BlogaBet is with a yield of +6% on over 1050 picks for last two month (total ROI > +60%), but there aren't BTC bookies offering same lines line Over/Under total goals on dog team. Even FairLays who are copying Pinnacle odds are excluding them for some reason.

So I will offer you a Parlays soon, as you seems all of you love them. But for now I'm on a testing phase and will not publish anything. As If things goes wrong to be only for my pocket.

Good Luck to all of you!


legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Summary of 24.11:

The day started with -2 units when BATE    vs Bayer Leverkusen and Zenit Petersburg vs Valencia ended with by just 2 goals total. Bayer was humbled by BATE...
Then everything went well with ~ +8 full units won, losing 3 bets at Nitrogen, but winning all in Cloudbet:



And a lot of in FairLay. But later on the night American action was a dispaointment... all NBA picks was lost.

Even with all those NBA loses, Total for the day: +0.5 10/10 unit
/4 winning bets are still not graded in FairLay/



Picks for daily action are added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.


And some Cloudbet lines, as other BTC bookies doesn't have it:
For those whom are betting in Fiat, exact lines which I'm using are Pinnacle Away Over 0.75.

These are direct links to events:

Por. Other   11/25 16:00   Atletico Clube de Portugal - Gil Vicente

Por. Other   11/25 16:00   GD Chaves - Sporting Lisbon B

Por. Other   11/25 18:00   Penafiel - Sporting Farense

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Daily action won us few full 10/10 units! Hopefully the Night American Action picks will repeat it Smiley

Night American Action picks are added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Summary of 23.11:

Was a great betting day with ~+9 full 10/10 units Cheesy Almost everything went perfect. Estecially the night American action.

Picks for daily action are added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.


And some Cloudbet lines, as other BTC bookies doesn't have it:
For those whom are betting in Fiat, exact lines which I'm using are Pinnacle Away Over 0.75.

These are direct links to events:

Fra. Ligue 2   11/24 20:00   Bourg en Bresse Peronnas 01 - Paris FC   

Fra. Ligue 2   11/24 20:00   Lens - Chamois Niortais   

Fra. Ligue 2   11/24 20:00   Valenciennes - Nimes





And ending with few Nitrogen Sports hockey picks:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/da35c53N2loQlMvTDBsc2kxc24vWmc5QXFhZz09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/a2a9234RGI4RmlST1BHdFZ6djU2bjRoc3E5UT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/840111fWkMxdWhraGNTRkl4SzhNVThTYy9vUT09/r/560391/


Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Few more picks for today added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.


And some Cloudbet lines, as other BTC bookies doesn't have it:
For those whom are betting in Fiat, exact lines which I'm using are Pinnacle Away Over 0.75/1.

Market name: Away Team Total Goals Over/Under

Those are direct links to events:


Romania   11/23 17:00   Botosani - Voluntari

Greece   11/23 18:30   Veria - Iraklis

Ger. Bundesliga II   11/23 20:15   Nurnberg - Eintracht Braunschweig






Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
First picks for today added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Weekend summary:

It was heavy betting weekend as usual, with bets on more than 100 events total.
Result is unlucky ~-9 full 10/10 units. We had a lot of last minute pushes like Indiana State lost with exactly 8 points. Or Rams lost with 3 with a field goal in very very last second.
And a lot of very unlucky games, f*cked in very last minute like Greuther Furth with a goal in 90'+3'.

But we are moving forward and hopefully will have a little more luck Smiley



legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Some of your odds on nitrogen or fair lay are worse than odds you can get on smarkets/matchbook.
I know they are fiat exchanges ( alternatives to betfair) but its worth looking at both of those to get best possible value.

 :)

keep up the good work



Thanks :)

I'm betting mainly in fiat for now :D Here is a trial for BTC betting.
And keep in mind that all exchanges have fees, and BF are worst of all.
newbie
Activity: 12
Merit: 0
Some of your odds on nitrogen or fair lay are worse than odds you can get on smarkets/matchbook.
I know they are fiat exchanges ( alternatives to betfair) but its worth looking at both of those to get best possible value.

 Smiley

keep up the good work

legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002

More busy weekend picks added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Also few in Nitrogen Sports:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/aebc233ZU1CbGk0ZWlLMEQ5ZXlZaXFDZDU4Zz09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/f3199a8RlM3Wlp0d21RakJndHRJMGp0MjdUZz09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/a5c288fbERBOFhQVFl6TlVVdTU3SEtFOUgrUT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/ed170f5NzZKeW94WUZnUkVVYlpGeWpkQ0VaQT09/r/560391/


Later on will add and NFL games as today they starts early.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002

woah those are some nice pciks OP congrats on getting the thread up and running too ! Cheesy


Thanks! Then - Double Luck Smiley

===

Italian Soccer picks added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Also 1 in Nitrogen Sports:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/beab0ebS0VDbHhkdkp6VEJDY3ZwRVVtZEttdz09/r/560391/


Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
[...]

Why don't you bet with DirectBet or other On-chain bookies?

Short: Because I don't want to end up loosing money. On betting size <0.1BTC

Long: Because of the transaction fees. Let's assume we are making 500 bets per month and we won 250 of them. This mean we will need to pay 500+250 = 750 x 0.0001 BTC = STUNNING 0.075 BTC or a whole 25% of our bankroll!

If you are following my picks with a bigger bankroll and have a bet size of at least 0.1 BTC, then if you prefer you could use on-chain betting without any substantial loss.

Actually, I think you can now avoid this issue in DirectBet by using their on-site Playing Wallet. According to their description:

You can also use it to fund your Sport bets in our award winning Sportsbook. This will ensure that all your bet transfers arrive and confirm instantly so you won't miss any action.

By the way, FrueGreads and I are running a small tipster competition on the forum, sponsored by DirectBet, and we would like to invite you to join us. The tournament has seven paid places (where participants can win up to 3.5 BTC), plus consolation prizes for everyone else.

If you would like to check it out, these are the relevant links:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/xii-free-tipster-competition-sponsored-by-directbet-registration-thread-1248467 - Registration thread (today is the last day)
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/xii-free-tipster-competition-sponsored-by-directbet-main-thread-1159253 - Main competition thread
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/free-betting-competition-2000-in-prizes-sponsor-betkingio-discussion-thread-1256522 - Discussion thread
https://directbet.eu/Competition.cshtml - Competition leaderboard


Thanks, I know about the competition, but DirectBet odds on main lines are not sustainable for a long run winning... Directbet site is better than FairLay as user experience, but their odd are just low vs FairLay and Nitro in almost all cases.

====

Few more bets added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Also have and 3 Nitrogen Sports:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/8939353VGxreHZ2OW5ldVVIZkxYZHAwbS9jdz09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/312c9ddcDRNMTdCNDJQbFlIRGd2c0JFTDdYdz09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/257b57cRDBEc0phanQ5WEpzb0wxZ3JtV29NUT09/r/560391/



Good Luck!


legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1071
[...]

Why don't you bet with DirectBet or other On-chain bookies?

Short: Because I don't want to end up loosing money. On betting size <0.1BTC

Long: Because of the transaction fees. Let's assume we are making 500 bets per month and we won 250 of them. This mean we will need to pay 500+250 = 750 x 0.0001 BTC = STUNNING 0.075 BTC or a whole 25% of our bankroll!

If you are following my picks with a bigger bankroll and have a bet size of at least 0.1 BTC, then if you prefer you could use on-chain betting without any substantial loss.

Actually, I think you can now avoid this issue in DirectBet by using their on-site Playing Wallet. According to their description:

You can also use it to fund your Sport bets in our award winning Sportsbook. This will ensure that all your bet transfers arrive and confirm instantly so you won't miss any action.

By the way, FrueGreads and I are running a small tipster competition on the forum, sponsored by DirectBet, and we would like to invite you to join us. The tournament has seven paid places (where participants can win up to 3.5 BTC), plus consolation prizes for everyone else.

If you would like to check it out, these are the relevant links:

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/xii-free-tipster-competition-sponsored-by-directbet-registration-thread-1248467 - Registration thread (today is the last day)
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/xii-free-tipster-competition-sponsored-by-directbet-main-thread-1159253 - Main competition thread
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/free-betting-competition-2000-in-prizes-sponsor-betkingio-discussion-thread-1256522 - Discussion thread
https://directbet.eu/Competition.cshtml - Competition leaderboard
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
First 12 Bets added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

For more information about bankroll management and 10/10 stakes - check the 1st post of the thread.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
American Night action picks:

As few of the games are staring soon, to save some time, please check:

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

15 Bets added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

And the rest are at Nitrogen Sports


https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/26871e7ZWt5Ykxaa1k5aWhOcVZmUHlRNm5lUT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/212e365YldBazJ6QUFXQjZaZnFuanpkN1M0UT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/a6654bbWmtnbzByakNtMlkvQy9kY2wyVGFaUT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/430417fVDhyR21lUnhXa2RmZ2o1MGIzNzJCUT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/ce033cbWFNhQzdQcDZsK3AwU3BaY1JMVkFxQT09/r/560391/

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/6819e5dS2REeDJ5NGNpZkhkaVF4bUhRVzlFQT09/r/560391/

Sorry about this format of the best, but weekends are too busy for bettors. And I first need to bet in fiat and then enter bets on BTC bookies and then publish them.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002

As per bets above:

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

16 Bets added in FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile

For Nitrogen Sports:

Game: Soccer - Spain - La Liga   11/21 18:15   Barcelona v Real Madrid
Pick: Barcelona +0 AH  | Odd: 2.053  | Stake: 5/10 
Pick: Barcelona +0.5 AH  | Odd: 1.589  | Stake: 5/10 
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/49f7e61ei91R3FtV0o0UGxSZUVDejFrM0JzQT09/r/560391/
Nitrogen Sports Direct Market Link

Game: Soccer - Spain - La Liga   11/21 18:15   Barcelona v Real Madrid
Pick: Under 3  | Odd: 2.122  | Stake: 5/10 
Pick: Under 3  | Odd: 1.661  | Stake: 5/10 
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/49f7e61ei91R3FtV0o0UGxSZUVDejFrM0JzQT09/r/560391/
Nitrogen Sports Direct Market Link

legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Let's start the Weekend action:


Game: Soccer - England Premier   11/21 14:00   Watford vs. Manchester United
Pick: : Under 1.5  | Odd: 2.821  | Stake: 6.66/10
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
FairLay Direct Market Link


Game: Soccer - Germany - Regionalliga South West   11/21 14:00   Eintracht Trier v SV Spielberg
Pick: Eintracht Trier -1 AH  | Odd: 2.063  | Stake: 10/10  
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/4929cceNm9xQXp2NEZ3OGNwNk9RL2s0RXQrUT09/r/560391/
Nitrogen Sports Direct Market Link


Game: Soccer - Germany - Regionalliga - Bavaria   11/21 14:00   Nurnberg Am vs. FC Amberg
Pick: : Over 2.5  | Odd: 1.685  | Stake: 6.66/10
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
FairLay Direct Market Link



Game: Soccer - Germany - Bundes III   11/21 14:00   SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs. Magdeburg
Pick: : Over 3  | Odd: 2.693  | Stake: 3.33/10
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
FairLay Direct Market Link

Game: Soccer - Germany - Bundes III   11/21 14:00   SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs. Magdeburg
Pick: : Over 2.5  | Odd: 1.963  | Stake: 3.33/10
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
FairLay Direct Market Link

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
I have checked some of your bets on nitrogenbet can't find the wining one. What is the point of following you? Sorry if i missed something to understand.

Actually Nitrogen Bets are W2:2L full stakes and 1L 1/2 stake.

And a winning or losing day mean nothing. Important is in a long run to be a winner.

I can easily put 1.01-1.4 bets like all others here to have "impressive stats". But that's not the point.
My average Odd is over 2.0. And I'm making money in a long run.

If you are a recreational gambler and doesn't care about at what Odds you are posting your bets, you are not keeping a proper bankroll management, there are no point to follow me.
This thread is for people who are at least a little dedicated to betting and are looking for a long term profit.
legendary
Activity: 1120
Merit: 1008
CryptoTalk.Org - Get Paid for every Post!
I have checked some of your bets on nitrogenbet can't find the wining one. What is the point of following you? Sorry if i missed something to understand.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Last picks for tonight's American Action:


Game: Hockey - NHL OT Included  11/21 03:10   Chicago Blackhawks v Calgary Flames
Pick: Chicago Blackhawks ML  | Odd: 1.746  | Stake: 10/10  
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/6de5123VFo2Z3p4MzliYXIyczZnQ3ZrY21PZz09
Direct Betting Link: Nitrogen Sports


Game: Hockey - NHL OT Included  11/21 03:10   Chicago Blackhawks v Calgary Flames
Pick: Over 5.5  | Odd: 2.12  | Stake: 5/10
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/3a67b76TUdXeUZVLzdFMC9FSXlFTStMb21HZz09
Direct Betting Link: Nitrogen Sports


Game: Hockey - NHL   11/21 03:05   New Jersey Devils @ Edmonton Oilers
Pick: : Edmonton Oilers  | Odd: 1.88  | Stake: 10/10  
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
Direct Betting Link: FairLay Direct Link


Game: Hockey - NHL   11/21 03:05   New Jersey Devils @ Edmonton Oilers
Pick: : Will Devils vs Oilers go to OT? - YES  | Odd: 3.71  | Stake: 3.33/10  
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
Direct Betting Link: FairLay Direct Link



Game: Basketball - NBA   11/21 02:30   San Antonio Spurs @ New Orleans Pelicans
Pick: : San Antonio Spurs (-7.5) Asian Handicap  | Odd: 2.022  | Stake: 10/10  
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
Direct Betting Link: FairLay Direct Link


Game: Basketball - NBA  11/21 03:10   Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
Pick: Denver Nuggets ML  | Odd: 2.316  | Stake: 10/10  
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/b428052WktxdHJTQmQxcGUvZWVJTEJ0TEljUT09/
Direct Betting Link: Nitrogen Sports


Game: Basketball - NBA   11/21 03:45   Chicago Bulls @ Golden State Warriors
Pick: : Chicago Bulls (+9) Asian Handicap  | Odd: 1.985  | Stake: 10/10  
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
Direct Betting Link: FairLay Direct Link


Game: Basketball - NBA   11/21 03:45   Toronto Raptors @ Los Angeles Lakers
Pick: : Under 203.5 Asian Handicap  | Odd: 1.929  | Stake: 10/10  
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
Direct Betting Link: FairLay Direct Link


Game: Basketball - NBA   11/21 03:45   Toronto Raptors @ Los Angeles Lakers
Pick: : Los Angeles Lakers  | Odd: 3.444  | Stake: 3.33/10  
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
Direct Betting Link: FairLay Direct Link


Game: Basketball - NBA   11/21 03:45   Toronto Raptors @ Los Angeles Lakers
Pick: : Los Angeles Lakers (+6) Aisan Handicap  | Odd: 2.041  | Stake: 6.66/10  
My Bet: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
Direct Betting Link: FairLay Direct Link

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Adding another game @ 30 mins:

Game: Basketball - NBA   11/21 02:05   Detroit Pistons @ Minnesota Timberwolves
Pick: : Over 204 | Odd: 2.002 | Stake: 10/10
My Bet: https://www.fairlay.com/user/public/overguess/
Direct Betting Link: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/detroit-pistons-minnesota-timberwolves-45/

There will be just one more post for tonight for the rest of American action. Just need some more time for analyzing.

Good Luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Let's start with 1st night action bets:

Game: Am. Football - NCAA  11/21 03:30   Air Force v Boise State
Pick: Air Force (+10.5) Asian Handicap  | Odd: 1.931  | Stake: 10/10 
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/038916eb1RpeWM5K2h3UVZOSjlQd21HRTkvZz09
Direct Betting Link: https://nitrogensports.eu/sport/football/ncaa



Game: Hockey - NHL OT Included   11/21 02:05   Buffalo Sabres v Dallas Stars
Pick: Buffalo Sabres (+1.5) Asian Handicap  | Odd: 1.657  | Stake: 10/10 
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/26871e7ZWt5Ykxaa1k5aWhOcVZmUHlRNm5lUT09
Direct Betting Link: https://nitrogensports.eu/sport/hockey/nhl-ot-included

Game: Hockey - NHL OT Included   11/21 02:05   Nashville Predators @ Columbus Blue Jackets
Pick: : Nashville Predators  | Odd: 1.625  | Stake: 10/10 
My Bet: https://www.fairlay.com/user/public/overguess/
Direct Betting Link: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/nashville-predators-columbus-blue-jackets/

Game: Hockey - NHL OT Included   11/21 02:35   Los Angeles Kings @ Detroit Red Wings
Pick: : Detroit Red Wings  | Odd: 2.024  | Stake: 10/10 
My Bet: https://www.fairlay.com/user/public/overguess/
Direct Betting Link: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/los-angeles-kings-detroit-red-wings/


Game: Basketball - NBA   11/21 01:35   Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics
Pick: : Under 202  | Odd: 2.091  | Stake: 10/10 
My Bet: https://www.fairlay.com/user/public/overguess/
Direct Betting Link: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/brooklyn-nets-boston-celtics-36/

Game: Basketball - NBA   11/21 01:35   Brooklyn Nets @ Boston Celtics
Pick: : Brooklyn Nets (+8) Asian Handicap | Odd: 2.091  | Stake: 10/10 
My Bet: https://www.fairlay.com/user/public/overguess/
Direct Betting Link: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/brooklyn-nets-boston-celtics-35/



Game: Basketball - NCAA   11/21 01:30   Va Commonwealth v Duke
Pick: : Va Commonwealth (+9) Asian Handicap  | Odd: 2.079  | Stake: 10/10 
My Bet: https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/26d0e10QW9VN05sK2I5TlBLcEQyZFArcVYvdz09
Direct Betting Link: https://nitrogensports.eu/sport/basketball/ncaa


Good luck!
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Reserved.

Detailed FAQ.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
Reserved.

Detailed stats and Bookies review.
legendary
Activity: 1162
Merit: 1002
FREE Professional Tips

Let's beat bookies again!

Picks for 25 November - Click Here

--

Hello,

I'm a professional gambler and I'm gambling for a living for 6-7 years. I'm making my money from betting, surebets, middles, poker and gambling affiliates.

As I want in next months to move completely to BTC betting instead of fiat, here will try to show you what is to be a professional bettor. How much time and determination is needed. But at the end and how much freedom it's giving.

I have a lot of thoughts how to continue this thread (Link to OLD ONE). With a huge bankroll to show you how to win big, with a mid size or with a small to be able all of you to follow me without change anything.

And I finally decide to start it with a small bankroll of 0.3 BTC (~100$), keep the service free for next 2-3 month and to grow together. I think the amount of 0.3 BTC is possible for anybody who want to make some money and is at least a little bit serious about betting.

Bets will be published two to four times per day and all times will be in CET (Central European Time). For my American friends:NY is -6h of CET and LA is -9h of CET :)

Usually around 14:00 will be published first daily action bets. Then around 17:00 the rest of daily action bets, if any.
Usually around 23:00 will be published first night action American bet. Then around 02:00 the rest, if any.
Then in the beginning in the next day I will grade all past picks and make a short review of the past day.


I will do my best to publish every bet at least 30-60 minutes before start so all of you to have enough time to follow it.
For Nitrogen Sports and CloudBet will publish in format will My bet and Direct Betting link to save you time and dodge misunderstanding in betting lines:

Game: NHL   10/31 18:05   New Jersey Devils - New York Islanders
Pick: Away (OT Incl)  | Odd: 1.79  | Stake: 10/10  
Link: My Bet  | Link: Direct Betting

For FairLay you could follow our: FairLay - OverGuess Public Profile
There are written all info like Game, Direct Betting link, Odd and Stake.

To reduce thread spam, if there is no reply in the thread, I will add new bets in my last post.
And till my site is still Under Construction, bets will be also published in plain text Overguess.com/currentbets.

So feel free to follow my picks or all bets I made or whatever you want with whatever amount you want - it's FREE for now :D
Like I'm following other people - nobody is perfect :)

Here is a brief stats till now:

Picks: 939
Profit: +124, +12.4% ROI


Main 10/10 bets are at 5% yield, and still >30% ROI:

Number of picks: 628
Profit: +316
ROI: 31.6%
Yield:+5%
 
Win-Loss-Void:   311-273-44
Win rate:   53%
Stake avg.:   10.0
Odd avg.:   2.02
Staked:   5840
Returned:   6596



At 2nd post you will find a detailed stats.

=== And some FAQ:

Why are you making so many bets?

Short: Because this is the way to make money.

Long: Every tipster have an yield. Simply, yield is how much is your expected gain in a whole bankroll turnover. After bad last days, mine is just 2% on all bets, but >6% on main 10/10 bets. Everything >3% in a long run is considered as good. Everything >6% in a long run is considered as exceptional.

Now let's check two examples:

Tipster 1 have an yield of 7% and made 80 picks this month. Following him with a proper bankroll management, you should expect at the end of the month to have a 5.6% ROI (7 x 0.8).

Tipster 2 have an yield of 3% and made 430 picks this month. Following him with a proper bankroll management, you should expect at the end of the month to have a 12.90% ROI (3 x 4.3).

So it's clear that not only yield is important but and the volume you made/follow.


Bankroll management:

A good bankroll management is crucial in every gambling initiative.
We will bet with flat stake. 10/10 on pick mean 1% of our bankroll per bet. Without any increases for loss chasing, no martingale or similar bulls*its. Loss chasing is the straight way to bust.

So we will start with bets of 3 mBTC (0.3 BTC / 100).

If you want to follow me with a bankroll of 1 BTC, your bet size should be 10 mBTC (0.01 BTC).
For 2 BTC bankroll, bet size should be 20 mBTC (0.02).
For 2 BTC bankroll, bet size should be 20 mBTC (0.1) and so on.

Which bookies are you using for betting?

I will bet mainly at these three sites:

1. FairLay, because of their best odds.
2. Nitrogen Sports, because they have very decent odds, parlays and live games.
3. Cloudbet, because they have many more lines than other two like Both Teams To Score.

Current bankroll distribution is FairLay - 50%, Nitrogen Sports - 25% and Cloudbet - 15%. The rest 10% are kept for depositing when needed.

Why don't you bet with DirectBet or other On-chain bookies?

Short: Because I don't want to end up loosing money. On betting size <0.1BTC

Long: Because of the transaction fees. Let's assume we are making 500 bets per month and we won 250 of them. This mean we will need to pay 500+250 = 750 x 0.0001 BTC = STUNNING 0.075 BTC or a whole 25% of our bankroll!

If you are following my picks with a bigger bankroll and have a bet size of at least 0.1 BTC, then if you prefer you could use on-chain betting without any substantial loss.

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