6 months ago, my savings went down because of the FTX debacle. I've never used FTX, I've never been a customer of this company, but my savings are in BTC, and because of that failure, BTC's value went down, and so went my savings.
Today, bis repetita. I've never used Binance. I've never been a customer of this company, but because the SEC sues Binance, BTC is down, and so are my savings, so I have a message to all bitcoiners out there.
Exchanges and BTC are 2 different things. One exchange going down doesn't mean BTC must follow.
Binance will disappear? I don't give a damn.
you have been around long enough to know this stuff
firstly never measure your "SAVINGS" based on the volatility of the market price because the market price is indeed controlled by exchanges..
instead if your a long term holder stop caring about the market price. and just remember its volatile..
instead remember this simple fact
there is always a periodic BOTTOM that the markets refuse to sell below. set that as your "savings value" per coin per 6 month period
the bottomline value is almost like the guarantee minimum return.
yes the speculative market can swing up above this and you can get temporary opportunities to sell higher then the periodic bottom. but if you are not in a selling mood dont care about the temporary prices
for instance late 2022 saw the bottom at $15k
early 2023 saw it at $17k (even when temporary market prices were over $20k)
now the bottomline value is over $20k (even when the market prices are over $25k)
knowing you would get a minimum of $15k late 2022 and now $20k in 2023 is much more relaxing though then daily worrying about the daily speculation and volatility of the markets that sit above the bottomline value
if you want to calculate the bottomline value.. take about 6 months of average network hashrate.
calculate the cheapest most efficient asic to work out how many asics are needed, how much electric and the cheapest effective electric of prominent mining farms. to then calculate the cost to mine most efficiently on the planet per btc
that there is the effective bottomline cheapest way to acquire bitcoin on the planet(below market rate) meaning no one wants to sell below that amount because no one on the planet can acquire bitcoin via mining, otc trading or CEX trading to get bitcoin any cheaper. so no one on planet will sell below that. which is where the bottomline support steps in to re-inforce that cex markets never correct all the way down to that level
once you know the number. you can then be rest assured that unless bitcoin really breaks you have a minimum value for your "savings" and anything else the speculative market wants to sell for is a bonus above the savings