If I trusted you, citing your sources would not be necessary. I do not trust you.
...
I'm going to stick with my 3% average annual loss to fraud number.
Fine, whatever. But In just the past 24hrs, ignoring my advice has cost you ~5%, or 2% more than CC fraud losses.
Only because we had more good news. Time publishing now takes bitcoin too. Step 1, make bitcoin actually useful enough for normal people to bother obtaining, by making them be able to spend it on stuff. That will obviously drive down prices, since now early investors and hodlers can spend it on stuff. Step 2, now, is to get more normal people to adopt it. That's where merchant discounts (and currency controls by failing nations) come in.
TL;DR: Your sources were trash, your math was wrong. While we were having this chat, Bitcoin continued to tank, dropping in price by ~11%.
Get past denial, time to move on.