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Topic: Permanent inflation or "just temporary" - page 5. (Read 558 times)

legendary
Activity: 3668
Merit: 6382
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October 06, 2021, 04:32:48 AM
#7
A few leaders of OCDE countries are speaking wishfully about inflation, stating that this is just "a temporary peak". However this may or may not be the case. Even the people with best information (CEOs of large companies and perhaps some ministers) are unclear about how long do we have to endure inflation.

My translation for this is "we do not know if we can effectively pass the burden of all the money we printed onto the labour or the salaries will rise paving way for sustained high inflation in two years".

The inflation is the speed of decreasing the value of the currency. While the value will most probably never increase back, the speed of decreasing the value will slow down.. sooner or later, possibly after a complete crash and recovery of markets though.
When will that happen? Nobody knows. Not too soon, though. There are far too many variables and although the declarations go towards having low inflation, politicians have to spend in order to keep their voters happy.

About the salaries, the things go even more interesting: from time to time the syndicates decide to come back into the game and ask for salary rises, covering the inflation (sometimes better sometimes worse) for some of the workers. Of course, some others will suffer; of course, this can lead to even more inflation.. it's a cat and mouse game. And while it can slow down now and then, it won't stop.

Now, with all that printed money, with the pandemic far from end, the politicians are trapped by their exaggerated optimism in spending funds: they have to spend even more and don't know how to do that nicely. So for short and medium term the inflation is bound to rise.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1159
October 06, 2021, 04:24:46 AM
#6
The infrastructure bill within the US aims to begin a spree of government expenses and absorb all of this newly printed money. It'll create the usual trickle down to local businesses, contractors and workers.

There is a potential case for launch of newer technologies and newer spending opportunities (some forced and some wishful) for the wage earners. Whether it is the en masse switch to electric cars or some form of AR/ VR based gadgets that end up becoming a source of expenditure. Considering such things, there can be a view that we are at the cusp of an explosion in growth as well as spending that will absorb all of this newly launched money.

The last pandemic we had gave rise to the Model T and the roaring 20s. The Great depression followed quickly and so did the wars. Yet, I think humanity has taken enough experience and the bad effects can be delayed this time around. Then there is the obvious trend of the crypto economy coming up and more and more people will be locking up funds in virtual properties. In short, it may not be as bad as it seems.
full member
Activity: 1442
Merit: 153
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October 06, 2021, 04:17:42 AM
#5
This really might not be a temporary rise in inflation. We have already been waiting for a global economic recession for a long time. And I believe that it will happen in the near future. And these might be little signs of it. As long as FED continues to print money like there is no tomorrow, it will cause dollar to lose in value a lot in time. And this will not affect only the USA of course.
That's how inflation works, it will continue to rise. It's not a bad thing though as a normal inflation of around 2% is actually a sign of growth in the economy for some economists. We won't be able to stop them from printing because they need to replace the bills that's estimated to be lost every day or every year.
hero member
Activity: 1890
Merit: 831
October 06, 2021, 04:16:54 AM
#4
A few leaders of OCDE countries are speaking wishfully about inflation, stating that this is just "a temporary peak". However this may or may not be the case. Even the people with best information (CEOs of large companies and perhaps some ministers) are unclear about how long do we have to endure inflation.

My translation for this is "we do not know if we can effectively pass the burden of all the money we printed onto the labour or the salaries will rise paving way for sustained high inflation in two years".

Inflation in terms of food can be *temporary*.
Inflation in terms of general products can be *temporary as well* for example:- toilet paper, the cost was very high therefore I do think that it can be both temporary and permanent.

- The permanent inflation can be for things like *healthcare*, *medicines*, *some products which are factory made*

It also depends on where we are analyzing the situation, if you do consider countries like UK and USA, they would be able to recover fast and the government might provide sustainable development for the people but we don't see that happening at the moment, but with countries like Afghanistan where due to Wars and everything, people are struggling everyday and they don't really have a good stable economy, they might never come out if this deep hole so fast. What's needed is, " support and recovery time for them*.

So this particular statement might have a lot of answers for a lot of situations and countries. Plus focusing on each and everyone is very necessary.
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 4795
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October 06, 2021, 03:59:28 AM
#3
My translation for this is "we do not know if we can effectively pass the burden of all the money we printed onto the labour or the salaries will rise paving way for sustained high inflation in two years".
In my country, there will be inflation, it is what has been happening when fiat was created and used as legal tender in countries. And as usual it is, later the fiat will be devalued in order to reduce the purchasing power parity while workers salaries will be increased but which has no significance as a result of reduction in purchasing power parity.
sr. member
Activity: 1666
Merit: 304
kycfree
October 06, 2021, 03:51:09 AM
#2
This really might not be a temporary rise in inflation. We have already been waiting for a global economic recession for a long time. And I believe that it will happen in the near future. And these might be little signs of it. As long as FED continues to print money like there is no tomorrow, it will cause dollar to lose in value a lot in time. And this will not affect only the USA of course.
legendary
Activity: 2366
Merit: 1624
Do not die for Putin
October 06, 2021, 03:42:18 AM
#1
A few leaders of OCDE countries are speaking wishfully about inflation, stating that this is just "a temporary peak". However this may or may not be the case. Even the people with best information (CEOs of large companies and perhaps some ministers) are unclear about how long do we have to endure inflation.

My translation for this is "we do not know if we can effectively pass the burden of all the money we printed onto the labour or the salaries will rise paving way for sustained high inflation in two years".
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