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Topic: Pirate@40 fined $40 million dollars (Read 2967 times)

legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1024
September 24, 2014, 11:21:29 AM
#39
...
I think in hindsight it was an obvious ponzi and I don't know how it was possible that it grew to such proportions.
...


Hindsight?!

It was obvious to probably the majority of people that it was a Ponzi from day-1. 7% weekly is obviously mathematically unsustainable. Plenty of people made this point over and over. The reality is that many of the "investors" knew it had to be a Ponzi, or highly suspected as much, and put money in anyway because they figured they could get out earlier than the next guy.
...

When the promised reward is high enough, people's emotions tend to override logical thought. So many people willingly accept almost any explanation for the exceptionally high reward because they want it to be true.

While it does not shift away the responsibility from the ponzi "investors", this emotional interface is exploited by a great number of ponzi schemes.

A gambling addict often can understand the irrationality of his behavior, but when confronted with a high potential reward his logic processor is deactivated by the positive emotionality of the possible future reward.

ya.ya.yo!
sr. member
Activity: 374
Merit: 250
September 22, 2014, 12:15:58 AM
#38
Some would say bitcoin's volatility makes us "gamblers" more than "investors."

I'm pretty sure that, at this stage of the game, that "some" is actually pretty much anybody.


Volatility doesn't define whether you can consider something an "investment" or not. Arguably the only reasonable definition is whether a decent case can be made that the position is positive-expectation, whatever the variance. There are plenty of decent theses for buying/holding bitcoin right now being +EV. Note that some may consider investments with variance beyond some threshold to be "bad investments" due to what they subjectively consider to be unacceptably-high volatility, which is a perfectly rational opinion to hold and definition to make.

By contrast, there was no reasonable thesis for the pirate scam to be long-run profitable for participants. Thus, it was a -EV position for participants, much like roulette is necessarily -EV at a casino, but poker is not (necessarily).
An investments' potential risk is sometimes measured by the volatility. If something has a high volatility then it it should only be purchased if the money used to invest will not be needed for a long time. At a point if the volatility is high enough, an investment will become nothing more then a gamble (regardless of it's EV).
 
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 250
September 20, 2014, 07:44:16 PM
#37
Some would say bitcoin's volatility makes us "gamblers" more than "investors."

I'm pretty sure that, at this stage of the game, that "some" is actually pretty much anybody.


Volatility doesn't define whether you can consider something an "investment" or not. Arguably the only reasonable definition is whether a decent case can be made that the position is positive-expectation, whatever the variance. There are plenty of decent theses for buying/holding bitcoin right now being +EV. Note that some may consider investments with variance beyond some threshold to be "bad investments" due to what they subjectively consider to be unacceptably-high volatility, which is a perfectly rational opinion to hold and definition to make.

By contrast, there was no reasonable thesis for the pirate scam to be long-run profitable for participants. Thus, it was a -EV position for participants, much like roulette is necessarily -EV at a casino, but poker is not (necessarily).
There are times when the EV of the powerball lottery in the US is positive because the jackpot has gotten to be so large. This does not mean that powerball lottery tickets are anything more then a gamble.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1003
September 20, 2014, 04:18:42 PM
#36
Some would say bitcoin's volatility makes us "gamblers" more than "investors."

I'm pretty sure that, at this stage of the game, that "some" is actually pretty much anybody.


Volatility doesn't define whether you can consider something an "investment" or not. Arguably the only reasonable definition is whether a decent case can be made that the position is positive-expectation, whatever the variance. There are plenty of decent theses for buying/holding bitcoin right now being +EV. Note that some may consider investments with variance beyond some threshold to be "bad investments" due to what they subjectively consider to be unacceptably-high volatility, which is a perfectly rational opinion to hold and definition to make.

By contrast, there was no reasonable thesis for the pirate scam to be long-run profitable for participants. Thus, it was a -EV position for participants, much like roulette is necessarily -EV at a casino, but poker is not (necessarily).
newbie
Activity: 33
Merit: 0
September 20, 2014, 04:08:07 PM
#35
Some would say bitcoin's volatility makes us "gamblers" more than "investors."

I'm pretty sure that, at this stage of the game, that "some" is actually pretty much anybody.
newbie
Activity: 50
Merit: 0
September 20, 2014, 03:20:40 PM
#34
...
I think in hindsight it was an obvious ponzi and I don't know how it was possible that it grew to such proportions.
...


Hindsight?!

It was obvious to probably the majority of people that it was a Ponzi from day-1. 7% weekly is obviously mathematically unsustainable. Plenty of people made this point over and over. The reality is that many of the "investors" knew it had to be a Ponzi, or highly suspected as much, and put money in anyway because they figured they could get out earlier than the next guy.

Frankly, it's a little hard to consider the vast majority of "investors" in this to be "victims". More accurately, they were gamblers who lost. This was not some well-hidden accounting-tricks/book-obfuscation thing that took diligent people by surprise...


tl;dr: The pirate scam was despicable, but its "investors" should probably be called "gamblers" more so than "victims".

Some would say bitcoin's volatility makes us "gamblers" more than "investors."
sr. member
Activity: 261
Merit: 250
September 20, 2014, 02:58:49 PM
#33
Glad to see court are willing to lay the civil suit smackdown on BTC related fraudsters.

I don't really know how our laws are structured in these matters. But in my mind, justice should have been served through criminal prosecution, not civil. It seems quite simple to me. Shavers employed fraud to steal from people. Steal. Criminal.
Criminal prosecution is more difficult because there is a higher standard of proof in order for the government to win it's case. If the case were to be tried criminally then there would be a greater chance he be found not guilty and double jeopardy would prevent anyone from suing him for any losses. A civil case on the other hand only requires "preponderance of the evidence" to win a case and the end result is that investors would see some recovery.
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 1003
September 20, 2014, 02:52:06 PM
#32
...
I think in hindsight it was an obvious ponzi and I don't know how it was possible that it grew to such proportions.
...


Hindsight?!

It was obvious to probably the majority of people that it was a Ponzi from day-1. 7% weekly is obviously mathematically unsustainable. Plenty of people made this point over and over. The reality is that many of the "investors" knew it had to be a Ponzi, or highly suspected as much, and put money in anyway because they figured they could get out earlier than the next guy.

Frankly, it's a little hard to consider the vast majority of "investors" in this to be "victims". More accurately, they were gamblers who lost. This was not some well-hidden accounting-tricks/book-obfuscation thing that took diligent people by surprise...


tl;dr: The pirate scam was despicable, but its "investors" should probably be called "gamblers" more so than "victims".
hero member
Activity: 910
Merit: 530
$5 24k Gold FREE 4 sign-up! Mene.com/invite/h5ZRRP
September 20, 2014, 02:44:48 PM
#31
^ Awesome. So much better as epic Horatio tagline.
legendary
Activity: 2786
Merit: 1031
September 20, 2014, 02:40:05 PM
#30
Well, I guess now it's pirate at 40 million dollars debt!

legendary
Activity: 3024
Merit: 1640
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
September 20, 2014, 02:36:00 PM
#29
Glad to see court are willing to lay the civil suit smackdown on BTC related fraudsters.

I don't really know how our laws are structured in these matters. But in my mind, justice should have been served through criminal prosecution, not civil. It seems quite simple to me. Shavers employed fraud to steal from people. Steal. Criminal.
legendary
Activity: 1792
Merit: 1000
September 20, 2014, 10:23:44 AM
#28
Glad to finally see some justice, even if it is mostly ineffectual.

Even is he somehow paid the $40 million, would the SEC even try to distribute to victims.

It's a fine rather than an order to pay people back.
tss
hero member
Activity: 742
Merit: 500
September 20, 2014, 10:13:19 AM
#27
ahh.. ponzi after ponzi.  we all know how to spot them yet we're still participating and advertising for them.  some things never change.
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1090
Learning the troll avoidance button :)
September 20, 2014, 03:45:37 AM
#26
They finally went and fined Trendon Shavers
Took long enough

But according to the decision, Shavers used new bitcoin to repay earlier investors, diverted some to personal accounts at the now-bankrupt Mt. Gox exchange and elsewhere, and spent some investor funds on rent, food, shopping and casino visits.

Ah Gox RIP.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
Calling out scams, one HYIP at a time...
September 20, 2014, 03:42:27 AM
#25
Glad to see court are willing to lay the civil suit smackdown on BTC related fraudsters.
hero member
Activity: 576
Merit: 514
September 20, 2014, 03:12:18 AM
#24
Well many BCST investors went indirectly through passthroughs because they were getting better rates at up to 7% a week. The problem is that many of the passthrough operators were anonymous and are now long gone. I just don't see how these investors could ever make a claim and get something back as Pirate does not have their individual records.
Many, not all. The operator of the biggest one (BitcoinMax) is known. I wonder if Ian is still thinking that burying the head in the sand is a long-term solution.
legendary
Activity: 3024
Merit: 1640
lose: unfind ... loose: untight
September 19, 2014, 11:45:19 PM
#23
What are the prospects for recovering any funds?

Does he claim to have access to the private keys for these coins?

There are no funds. No keys. No coins. All gone. Finito. Think through the mechanics of how a Ponzi scheme operates.
full member
Activity: 221
Merit: 100
September 19, 2014, 09:41:53 PM
#22
What are the prospects for recovering any funds?

Does he claim to have access to the private keys for these coins?
donator
Activity: 1616
Merit: 1003
September 19, 2014, 07:41:06 PM
#21
I don't think the victims will see a penny

That depends, does the court appoint a receivership yet?If it has , chances are  the victims can get some of their monies back if they file claims.In the ASD ponzi case , all the victim that filed claim with the receivership got back 100% of their money back And the Zeek reward receivership is set up to give favourable returns to the victims( judging by the clawback infos).
Well many BCST investors went indirectly through passthroughs because they were getting better rates at up to 7% a week. The problem is that many of the passthrough operators were anonymous and are now long gone. I just don't see how these investors could ever make a claim and get something back as Pirate does not have their individual records.
BCB
vip
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1002
BCJ
September 19, 2014, 07:11:27 PM
#20
not to be blinded by greed.

Famous last words.   The history books are filled with stories of men who have been brought down by greed.
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