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Topic: please delete - page 3. (Read 553 times)

hero member
Activity: 2114
Merit: 619
October 25, 2019, 01:01:50 PM
#5
What should the price of BTC actually be? Is there some tangible metric that we can identify as the basis of Bitcoin's value? It seems to me that the only tangible value of bitcoin is it's security- the fact that it can't easily be counterfeited. That's what makes it a reliable ledger of accountability. The security of bitcoin is directly tied to the hash rate of the Bitcoin network so that's what should determine the price, very precisely.

We can set the price to any hash rate but, in order to maximize the adoption of this pricing scheme, we need to set a price that is close to the current market price. According to blockchain.com, the last recorded hash rate was 90M TH/s and before that it was 125M TH/s. We can generalize it to 100M TH/s. The price has also moved around $10k so I'll use that.

(100M TH/s)/($10k) = 10k TH/s - and this becomes our standard unit. Now the price is directly tied to the hash rate.

What's the price of BTC? Simple- (current hash rate divided by 10k TH/s) * $1.

    ...

    at 1M TH/s, 1 BTC = $100

    at 10M TH/s, 1 BTC = $1k

    at 100M TH/s, 1 BTC = $10k

    at 1B TH/s, 1 BTC = $100k

    ...

Not only is this a fair and stable pricing scheme, it encourages mining, which increases the hash rate, which increases the price. And that's what we want because it will maximize security.
Thing is that even if we consider bitcoin as a security whose value can be measured then also there are a number of things that would effect it's value than merely the hash rate. Which are for example the buzz and demand created around in the market which could be channelized by Economic and political Situation. In case there is a Economic crash in fiat bitcoin could possibly become more popular which could lead to increased prices. Also last I heard someone even tried to value btc based on stock to flow approach but that would only work is an equivalent demand is generated.
legendary
Activity: 2030
Merit: 1189
October 25, 2019, 12:59:25 PM
#4
Personally, I don't think it has any relationship with the hash rate, I think that Bitcoin's value is mostly tied to its utility (or its potential utility at the moment).

Because Bitcoin doesn't have a huge amount of utility right now, and still more complicated than it should be to use, its price is suffering.

After all, there's less than half a bitcoin for every millionaire in the world right now. If it reaches peak saturation, it could be worth around $2 million each.

However, that's definitely quite a way off.
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1293
There is trouble abrewing
October 25, 2019, 12:57:52 PM
#3
your entire argument is flawed because security is not something that has levels (at least not in the way you are describing it). something is either secure or it is not. in case of bitcoin, it is either expensive enough to attack bitcoin which makes it secure or it is not which makes it insecure.

not to mention that in the end the only deciding factor is the demand for bitcoin. it can continue to have the same hashrate and as long as the demand continues rising the price will too. and vice versa, meaning if demand decreased, even if the hashrate remains the same, price will fall.
legendary
Activity: 2352
Merit: 6089
bitcoindata.science
October 25, 2019, 12:41:33 PM
#2
Every asset price is determined not only by fundamentals, balance of the company, or whatever metric. The price is determined mostly by investors expectations about the future.

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/marketsentiment.asp

For example, even if you metric is correct, but there is a strong felling that energy prices will go down, or that bitcoin will be banned in US, the price will fall.
jr. member
Activity: 49
Merit: 38
October 25, 2019, 12:12:21 PM
#1
nothing to see
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