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Topic: PnF TA - page 89. (Read 190664 times)

sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
June 16, 2015, 07:17:15 AM
#77
@TPTB_need_war : how big of a bounce are we talking about ? If there really is a massive surge into safe haven assets as Greece defaults or exits we could go at least to 300, dont you think ?
He did get the collapse to 150+ right!...

And did you forget the first collapse from $600ish to $300 (it was in rpietila's thread) and then again the drop from the second rise up to that (you should remember kLee).
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
June 16, 2015, 07:15:55 AM
#76
@TPTB_need_war : how big of a bounce are we talking about ? If there really is a massive surge into safe haven assets as Greece defaults or exits we could go at least to 300, dont you think ?

I don't know. Haven't really studied to try to figure that out. But just looking at the chart that kLee linked to, yes I been thinking perhaps a revisit to test $320ish, but please don't hold me to that. I haven't done any detailed technical analysis. I am basing my hypothesis on Armstrong's model of timing and the international capital flows due to sovereign debt crisis contagion (and the shift from public to private assets in waves over time).
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 16, 2015, 07:14:16 AM
#75
@TPTB_need_war : how big of a bounce are we talking about ? If there really is a massive surge into safe haven assets as Greece defaults or exits we could go at least to 300, dont you think ?
He did get the collapse to 150+ right!...
hero member
Activity: 723
Merit: 503
June 16, 2015, 07:12:34 AM
#74
@TPTB_need_war : how big of a bounce are we talking about ? If there really is a massive surge into safe haven assets as Greece defaults or exits we could go at least to 300, dont you think ?
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 16, 2015, 07:08:07 AM
#73
I appended to my post. Re-read.
Yes, I am just commenting it!
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 16, 2015, 07:06:09 AM
#72
One more X, 3 left for liftoff:




Or doom if we fail here...

Why doom specifacily and not a minor dump at this point ?

Didn't we find the ground ?
Because it is time for a big move...

Both of us want this for sure.

But how is this decided ?

And you mean it's either doom or gloom with no middle ground, right bro ?
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.11506171

Careful. Notice those rises are getting smaller, so expect to break $250, yet still expect to break down again to lower lows < $155.

Why? Because it is not yet time for the bottom. Remember private assets won't be ready for prime time until after Oct 2015 according to Armstrong's model.
If we breakout above 250 and then still collapse lower, I will admit Armstrong's model is the real deal!...  Cool

EDIT: This scenario (bull trap) is a valid one you know, BTC whales love to do these kind of stuff! The last P&F movements are full of bull/bear traps..
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
June 16, 2015, 07:04:29 AM
#71
One more X, 3 left for liftoff:




Or doom if we fail here...

Why doom specifacily and not a minor dump at this point ?

Didn't we find the ground ?
Because it is time for a big move...

Both of us want this for sure.

But how is this decided ?

And you mean it's either doom or gloom with no middle ground, right bro ?
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.11506171

Careful. Notice those rises are getting smaller, so expect to break $250, yet still expect to break down again to lower lows < $155.

Why? Because it is not yet time for the bottom. Remember private assets won't be ready for prime time until after Oct 2015 according to Armstrong's model.

There will be a massive surge into safe haven assets as Greece defaults or exits. Initially this will drive up gold (and thus Bitcoin), but as the liquidity contagion ignites as of October, then people have to sell their most liquid assets, e.g. gold. This is what happened in 2007-2008, where silver made a high at $21 in early 2008, then dumped into the shitter < $9. It is slightly different now because silver peaked in 2011 and has already declined significantly. So we are just looking for the final capitulation.
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 16, 2015, 06:59:24 AM
#70
Opened a small short just in case...
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 16, 2015, 03:46:21 AM
#69
kLee I warned you...

check out of the gold collapse

I told you all upthread there would likely be a bounce this June in both gold and BTC but the final lows are still coming.

I continue (via Armstrong) to predict every price move. Yet I (and he) get no acknowledgement.
Not disagreeing mate Wink

I bought some at 223 and I wait for signal to sell...

I see too a pump and new low but only if we fail to violate 250. Then I will short it hard!

EDIT: I don't expect lower lows (<155) if we break 250
sr. member
Activity: 420
Merit: 262
June 16, 2015, 03:42:12 AM
#68
kLee I warned you about shorting near-term...

check out of the gold collapse

I told you all upthread there would likely be a bounce this June in both gold and BTC but the final lows are still coming.

I continue (via Armstrong) to predict every price move. Yet I (and he) get no acknowledgement.
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 16, 2015, 03:34:07 AM
#67
One more X, 3 left for liftoff:




Or doom if we fail here...

Why doom specifacily and not a minor dump at this point ?

Didn't we find the ground ?
Because it is time for a big move...

Both of us want this for sure.

But how is this decided ?

And you mean it's either doom or gloom with no middle ground, right bro ?
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.11506171
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1027
Permabull Bitcoin Investor
June 16, 2015, 02:45:16 AM
#66
One more X, 3 left for liftoff:




Or doom if we fail here...

Why doom specifacily and not a minor dump at this point ?

Didn't we find the ground ?
Because it is time for a big move...

Both of us want this for sure.

But how is this decided ?

And you mean it's either doom or gloom with no middle ground, right bro ?
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 16, 2015, 02:23:05 AM
#65
One more X, 3 left for liftoff:




Or doom if we fail here...

Why doom specifacily and not a minor dump at this point ?

Didn't we find the ground ?
Because it is time for a big move...
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1027
Permabull Bitcoin Investor
June 16, 2015, 01:27:36 AM
#64
One more X, 3 left for liftoff:




Or doom if we fail here...

Why doom specifacily and not a minor dump at this point ?

Didn't we find the ground ?
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 16, 2015, 01:17:58 AM
#63
One more X, 3 left for liftoff:




Or doom if we fail here...
full member
Activity: 280
Merit: 100
June 15, 2015, 07:12:28 AM
#62
This can get really ugly IF we break 210 for good (207-208) and/or close below 215.

and we will break 210 for sure
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 15, 2015, 06:41:17 AM
#61
This can get really ugly IF we break 210 for good (207-208) and/or close below 215.

Why bro ?

and thanks for the elaboration, apperciated.
Gravity
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1027
Permabull Bitcoin Investor
June 15, 2015, 06:28:00 AM
#60
This can get really ugly IF we break 210 for good (207-208) and/or close below 215.

Why bro ?

and thanks for the elaboration, apperciated.
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 15, 2015, 05:46:07 AM
#59
This can get really ugly IF we break 210 for good (207-208) and/or close below 215.
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
June 15, 2015, 05:41:20 AM
#58
Into the war zone!



Real battle for the bulls just begins...

Kindly elaborate more as I'm a Bull Smiley
It means that we have reached the big resistance zone (235-240) - up to now resistance was moderate..

What are our chances to pass this resistance zone ?

And if we passed, what would be the next resistance zone we would face ?
If we spike above 250 we have probably started a new bull market IMO.
Confirmation would be to close at least 1d above 300 and spike at 350.

This is a medium term view, short term we have resistances everywhere up to 300.

EDIT: Don't know about the chances though...
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