I don't agree with OP that this is a very close fight. This is a Joshua fight. Although Franklin has a decent record, it's just a record. He's not a star. I think this is a way for Joshua to redeem himself. He's given an easy opponent this time around. He could still be defeated of course especially if his back to back losses are still in his head, but he is fighting against a nobody. Joshua should be 100% ready for this fight and be able to knock Franklin out cold.
Somewhat I agree with OP I know where his analysis comes from, boxing is not only a physical sport its also a mindset sport, for a boxer it's hard to accept that you are on top of the world and then you lose back-to-back this will question your level of skill, this is the reason why Joshua keeps changing his trainers, he needs to find the missing link to get back in contention.
Franklin knows that he has nothing to lose here and he knows that Joshua's motivation is at its lowest he already has a peek or insight into how Joshua lost those fights to fighters that were considered underdogs when they fought.
Fights could go either way, I like to make predictions a few days before they fight, probably in their press conferences, where we can see Joshua's appearance and motivation in this fight.
Although it seems Franklin has nothing to lose here, it is actually a huge opportunity for him to defeat Joshua. Joshua is coming from a back-to-back loss and Franklin is coming from his one and only loss which is controversial. Franklin will have to grab this opportunity not only to recover from his majority decision loss but also to make a bigger name by defeating Joshua. Joshua may not anymore be as shining as he once was but he's still popular. And Franklin is young. He could still climb up the ladder in the heavyweight division.
If I remember it right, Usyk was the favorite and Joshua the underdog the second time they fought.
I don't agree with OP that this is a very close fight. This is a Joshua fight. Although Franklin has a decent record, it's just a record. He's not a star. I think this is a way for Joshua to redeem himself. He's given an easy opponent this time around. He could still be defeated of course especially if his back to back losses are still in his head, but he is fighting against a nobody. Joshua should be 100% ready for this fight and be able to knock Franklin out cold.
Actually not a nobody based on the stats above you can see that their stats were close to each other, though we know that this match would be for Joshua but we can't just ignore the fact that he can still lose if he gets too comfortable or too much confidence. The odds were actually in favor of Joshua but there's no harm placing a little bet to Franklin after all that was a x7 win.
Stats don't mean everything. If you look closer, Franklin hasn't really accomplished much despite his previously undefeated record.
It is still possible an upset could happen. If you think of that possibility and the betting odds of it, a small bet on Franklin may be good.