Post halving investing strategy. - page 3.

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Quote from: Wapfika on April 28, 2024, 11:07:03 AM

Quote from: Jon pyagbara on April 28, 2024, 01:52:35 AM

With the halving event come and gone, we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,

I don’t consider the current halving to give huge impact on decreased supply and increased the demand since the circulating supply of Bitcoin is already near the 100% circulation. We are just talking about 1M+ Bitcoin compared to the current circulation of 19.6M already. So the decrease on rewards is not that a huge impactful compared to the previous halving on the last ~14 years of Bitcoin existence.

I think the Bitcoin halving event is more on a symbolic event since it was often being use for price speculation for Bitcoin that makes the price move during this event. For me, Bitcoin is destined to growth steadily since the demand is increasing due to global adaptation and not because the block rewards is decrease because the remaining mineable coin is not that huge anymore.

That's what's going on, but many people don't seem to realize that there are only about 1 million unmined bitcoins left, and this number is so small compared to the amount of bitcoins circulating outside. Many people have never even checked the circulating bitcoin supply and how many bitcoins are unmined. They just rely on previous habits that halving will boost bitcoin price because supply in the market will be more scarce after halving.

The halving story has become so familiar to everyone, including newcomers, and everyone expects a bullish season after the halving, but when everything becomes too predictable. Will the bull season come after the halving like previous cycles? I bet that in the coming time, many people will get discouraged, disappointed and leave the market, which is inevitable if they are still too dependent on the halving.

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Quote from: Jon pyagbara on April 28, 2024, 01:52:35 AM

So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.

Prioritizing investing into Bitcoin is for me the best strategy when it comes to investing in crypto. The rewards are lower though, but the risk is lower as well. Based on the history of Bitcoin, its price goes up significantly 12-18 months after the halving event, and even though there are some who thinks that the event is causing its price increase, many believe that it is since the inflation goes down due to the rewards cut down to half hence, supply rate decreases.

Anyway, since we might be entering the bull market a few months from now, I guess it's worth risking some of your money into some lower market cap coins. What I mean when lower market cap coins are those that are at the top 51-100 in Coingecko. Right now, that's what I'm doing because I believe that altcoins are more volatile than Bitcoin thus, it gives higher reward than Bitcoin. I did some research of course, and for sure many can do the same as well.

Overall, risk management is always a factor when it comes to investing. If you can't handle the risk investing into some meme coins, shitcoins, or new projects out there, better invest into Bitcoin and other top altcoins. Learn when to sell as well, and have some selling targets.

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Quote from: Jon pyagbara on April 28, 2024, 01:52:35 AM

So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.

We've been telling that even before the halving happens and during the bear market. But how many are listening actually to these suggestions? I have no idea how many are. But it's not that everybody are going to sell all that they've got when we surge again and see BTC on another ATH, many are just going to stay and hold and do nothing even if the price is good to take profits. They've got a longer term and plan for BTC and holding it is the best option for them. Remember all of those whales btc addresses that didn't moved for a decade and the others for several years? They've got a long term plan for themselves and even reaching ATH after ATH, they remain steadfast and calm because they know what's going to happen and they're following their long game plan.

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Quote from: Marvelman on April 28, 2024, 02:23:12 AM

Quote from: Jon pyagbara on April 28, 2024, 01:52:35 AM

With the halving event come and gone, we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,

Hold on a sec, the halving doesn't exactly make the total supply of Bitcoin low, although it does slow down the creation of new coins. It's like turning down a faucet from full blast to a light trickle. This doesn't stop the flow completely and doesn't reduce the amount of water you already have in the bucket.

As far as I know the halving does not slow down the creation of a new coins but rather lower the reward per block which @OP is somehow correct since instead of the previous 6.25 to 3.125 so the reward does become lower which means the incoming supply of Bitcoin to become lower.

Quote from: Marvelman on April 28, 2024, 02:23:12 AM

This reduced flow, paired with steady or increasing demand, could theoretically drive prices higher over time. However whether that happens depends on many factors. Its not guaranteed.

True that, considering the law of supply and demand, if the market losses demand, even if the supply becomes lower, then it is not a guaranteed increase in price since the price is always proportional to the demand over supply.

But if we look at the previous Bitcoin cycle the halving event is one of the good entry point to Bitcoin investment because of the tendency of the market to surge and record new ATH after few months .

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First needs to understand what halving does first before one starts making investment decisions or creating strategies for it. The halving doesn't reduce the current circulating supply causing a steep rise in the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies but it reduces the block reward which means that the increasing supply reduces and not the current supply. So if anyone was expecting to see the market rising right after the halving event, they probably didn't have any knowledge about it or had studied the past of the market.

If the market starts going up right after the halving event or before it, it will only be because a lot of new investors might enter the market knowing that the market would go up after the halving and they will get profit from it, and it wouldn't be because of the halving event itself.

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What's new? Halving actually reduces adding new coins to the circulating supply, not the total supply anyway. It just reduces the mining rewards and, at the end of the day, less Bitcoin adds to the circulation than previous Halving. However, for Bitcoin investment, the DCA strategy would be a better option now. Because the market seems very volatile, we can't expect a sudden dump at this point. So keep accumulating on each dip you find. If you are lucky, you may get a good return in a short time; otherwise, just hold on until a great pump.

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Quote from: Jon pyagbara on April 28, 2024, 01:52:35 AM

After all the hypes leading to the previous halving event which drastically surge the price of Bitcoin at that time, investors are meant to invest before the halving and then sell after the demand, because demand Wil be high and supply will be low, which will aid the surge in price of BTC, thereby putting BTC in the bull direction, which will in turn affect other altcoins,

The problem is, in each bull run demand was speculative. It was not demand to use Bitcoin as a currency or as store of value, but demand demand to buy Bitcoin and sell it in a few months or a year at a higher price. This type of demand is unsustainable and eventually collapses, causing a bear market.

It's very likely that the bull run will resume, but the open question is how long will it last and how high it will get before crashing. There are optimists who say that there will be a supercycle and Bitcoin will get really high, but they say it all the time, the so-called permabulls. There's also a prediction that the price will peak lower than most people expect, because there's a trend of lower and lower relative increase of bull run peaks.

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Quote from: Ale88 on April 28, 2024, 10:26:47 AM

You're making some confusion when you talk about "low supply after the halving": the bitcoin's supply is always the same, what is changing after the halving is the reward for the miners, which is cut in half after every halving so what we are actually experiencing is a lower offer of "new" bitcoins because many miners need to sell part of the bitcoins they receive as reward to cover the mining costs and maintenance.

But post-halving also reduces the rate at which new coins are produced which reduces the supply of Bitcoin in the market leading to an increase in price.

Quote from: Wapfika on April 28, 2024, 11:07:03 AM

I don’t consider the current halving to give huge impact on decreased supply and increased the demand since the circulating supply of Bitcoin is already near the 100% circulation. We are just talking about 1M+ Bitcoin compared to the current circulation of 19.6M already. So the decrease on rewards is not that a huge impactful compared to the previous halving on the last ~14 years of Bitcoin existence.

The current price movement shouldn't be used to predict how high the price could get. It is generally known that Bitcoin price doesn't go high immediately after the halving. It will take some months for the market to begin to feel the impact. I am predicting that the impact of this current halving will be massive and my assumption is based on the fact that Bitcoin reached ATH even before the halving. I suspect that the increase in institutional investors will be one of the factors that will take Bitcoin at least $100k.

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Accumulation is the best post halving strategy. Problem here is with misconception and misunderstanding of how the market behave during halving. If we would look back previous Bitcoin halving, bullrun did not start the moment this event happened. It took place months or almost a year after halving. And if things would be the same with the recent halving, then we may expect for a correction or crash before the uptrend. Thus, this is the moment to invest and fill your bags in preparation to "true" bullrun. Personally, I am waiting for that moment to re-invest. However, we cannot blame people who would hesitate to also do so, simply because no one's certain of the market price action. DCAs would help but nothing's will be guaranteed as we all know.

Just know how much potential this industry is having and trust that potential. If you're too afraid then waiting for further market confirmation would be always an option. Always prioritize managing the risk no matter what. As cliché as it sounds, invest an amount you can afford to lose.

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Quote from: Jon pyagbara on April 28, 2024, 01:52:35 AM

With the halving event come and gone, we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,

I don’t consider the current halving to give huge impact on decreased supply and increased the demand since the circulating supply of Bitcoin is already near the 100% circulation. We are just talking about 1M+ Bitcoin compared to the current circulation of 19.6M already. So the decrease on rewards is not that a huge impactful compared to the previous halving on the last ~14 years of Bitcoin existence.

I think the Bitcoin halving event is more on a symbolic event since it was often being use for price speculation for Bitcoin that makes the price move during this event. For me, Bitcoin is destined to growth steadily since the demand is increasing due to global adaptation and not because the block rewards is decrease because the remaining mineable coin is not that huge anymore.

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Quote from: Jon pyagbara on April 28, 2024, 01:52:35 AM

With the halving event come and gone, we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,
After all the hypes leading to the previous halving event which drastically surge the price of Bitcoin at that time, investors are meant to invest before the halving and then sell after the demand, because demand Wil be high and supply will be low, which will aid the surge in price of BTC, thereby putting BTC in the bull direction, which will in turn affect other altcoins,
So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.

Investing in Bitcoin in my opinion is quite simple when investors have explored finding out about Bitcoin. When the exploring stage is complete and you know how Bitcoin is from many angles, there is no doubt about buying and holding.
For Bitcoin investors who have invested in Bitcoin for years and have experienced the benefits, I can be sure that it is no longer a priority but a necessity when all their basic needs are no longer disturbed.

2024 is the fourth halving based on a four-year cycle. Count back the years of the third, second and first halvings and note what the price of Bitcoin was at each halving.
In the process of achieving this fourth halving on 4/20, block height: 840000 and rewards: 3,125 BTC per block, institutions and large companies have started buying up Bitcoin in large amounts to include in their portfolios which are well known for receiving ETF approval.

The question is why they are willing to make such purchases on Bitcoin.
There's no way they would be stupid in doing that.

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Quote from: Jon pyagbara on April 28, 2024, 01:52:35 AM

With the halving event come and gone, we are now left to determine if the market now is going as predicted or not, with the reduction in mining rewards, which makes the supply of BTC low and demand high, investors can take advantages of this and adopt long positions and also invest in other altcoins,
After all the hypes leading to the previous halving event which drastically surge the price of Bitcoin at that time, investors are meant to invest before the halving and then sell after the demand, because demand Wil be high and supply will be low, which will aid the surge in price of BTC, thereby putting BTC in the bull direction, which will in turn affect other altcoins,
So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.

You're making some confusion when you talk about "low supply after the halving": the bitcoin's supply is always the same, what is changing after the halving is the reward for the miners, which is cut in half after every halving so what we are actually experiencing is a lower offer of "new" bitcoins because many miners need to sell part of the bitcoins they receive as reward to cover the mining costs and maintenance.

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Quote from: Jon pyagbara on April 28, 2024, 01:52:35 AM

So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.

Considering that the halving has been completed and a new ATH has been formed against Bitcoin, so personally of course there is no definite strategy for me in terms of investment, but if you look at trading it might be a good opportunity for the current situation, What is certain is that I don't dare to take risks in the current situation, of course the reason is based on previous experiences.

Bitcoin is indeed a good option to consider, whether it's investment, trading and so on, for me the risk is high for a situation like now, but if you are able to consider the risk, Of course you don't need to hesitate in your decision, you have choices for everything you have to do with your bitcoins.

But you also need to consider information and advice from Bitcoin experts that you know near you, so that you will be more comfortable investing in Bitcoin.

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I agree that you should always invest in BTC and it's never going to be a wrong move IMO. Having that volatility would be even great if you trade it and make sure that you are buying the right thing. I believe that if you can see how BTC would go in the long run, you will know that it can be the right time to always buy.

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The strategy is just keep DCA-ing until you run out of your cash, thank me later in Q4 2024 - Q1 2025. Cool

Quote from: Zoomic on April 28, 2024, 08:43:43 AM

Investing in altcoins is not a bad idea but what the investor should consider is his motive for investing. Investing in altcoins because you think bitcoin price might not appreciate soon is a wrong motive.

And invest in altcoins because you believe Bitcoin price will spikes is strange, there's no guarantee when people are buying Bitcoin, they will buy altcoins. Take a look with the current condition, even Bitcoin stay at $63K-$64K, altcoins keep declining without any reason.

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Quote from: kryptqnick on April 28, 2024, 09:03:30 AM

People didn't expect the bull market and a new ATH to be established prior to halving, so things are going differently, in an unexpected way. But there's no problem with the price temporarily going down. It's less than 15% below the ATH point, actually. And I think we can still expect a stronger bull run in the future. For those who want a lower price to invest, I think there will be an opportunity in the future at some point. But also, I don't think this Bitcoin has reached its ceiling this time around in terms of a bull run.

If you look at it the market is definitely moving in a little bit different direction than the previous pre and post halving periods. In the past the bitcoin is normally bearish pre halving and gets to start a bull run months post halving but a look at what happened before this halving shows that the market was in a bull run which was not the case. So right after the halving the correct started to happen and we are in it phase currently.

For me this is a perfect opportunity to accumulate before the full blown bull run starts, my advice for newbies is not to wait longer for any correction but rather to use DCA method to buy what they can afford to buy and then hold in patience. Right after this correction I see the market climbing up again.

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Post halving strategy is quite simple, for me it's keep accumulating, thanks to this short term Bitcoin price dip, I know that reaching the peak of bull run can not happen on the short term, so it's accumulate and hodle. As for altcoins, I'd say do you research first before buying any of them to avoid many scam projects that'll take advantage of the bull run to scam unsuspecting investors, you can however hold reputable top altcoins, they're most likely to be bullish after Bitcoin.

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Quote from: kryptqnick on April 28, 2024, 09:03:30 AM

People didn't expect the bull market and a new ATH to be established prior to halving, so things are going differently, in an unexpected way. But there's no problem with the price temporarily going down. It's less than 15% below the ATH point, actually. And I think we can still expect a stronger bull run in the future. For those who want a lower price to invest, I think there will be an opportunity in the future at some point. But also, I don't think this Bitcoin has reached its ceiling this time around in terms of a bull run.

Although your prediction may be correct, I think on the contrary, if newbies want to invest, now is the best time. Bitcoin is correcting and if lower prices are not established in the coming days then I believe there will be no second chance this year. This could be bitcoin's final correction before we enter the official bull season.

Investing in bitcoin, we should not bargain too much because the market is unpredictable, just because of bargaining for 10-15%, we will have to pay the price later for missing the x2 x4 bullet train. So invest as soon as possible.

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Quote from: Jon pyagbara on April 28, 2024, 01:52:35 AM

So in summary investing in BTC at this point in time should be our priority and other promising altcoins. And also taking Risk management strategies just incase the market becomes unfavourable.

The bull run is right before us but it does not mean we are never going to lose any money so it is still best if we stay vigilant and keep our money safe as much as possible. Upon the increase of bitcoin’s price it is expected for altcoins to follow suit. Although still choose the best possible altcoin because not all altcoins will be able to follow bitcoin’s success.

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