As of now, Korean exchange BTC trading at 22.7K while the international market is trading at 16K
If a war broke out
1. NORTH KOREA:Kim would buy MORE bitcoin because he knows he will almost lose for sure. The only way for Kim to preserve his wealth is probably by buying a bit of everything but mostly things like bitcoin. He could run away and hide in somewhere in China after NK loses.
How can he buy BTC if he is not trading outside of his country? Does NKW have any worth on other countries? He is only trading with China and China ban trading their bitcoin to other countries.
2. South Korea would panic BUY bitcoin because Korean Won value would probably depreciate by 50% overnight. Also, if South Koreans were to run away from Korea the only quickest viable way to protect their wealth is to buy bitcoin - then take the hardware wallet with you to another country
I think that's what happening right now, some people are trying to protect their Won and is converting it to bitcoin for future withdrawal.
3. Japenese average Joe would also BUY bitcoin beacuse they fear the war would drag down Yen's value and they would rush to preserve their wealth
This is right whenever the war begin almost all of the countries in the SE will be affected by the war since investment on their country will drop.
4. In general all East and SE Asian currencies will face downward pressure pushing people to hedge by buying BTC
No comment on this one.
5. If China supports NK in the war, it will be a war between China and US. China+ NK probably will lose, this will induce a huge instability within China and Chinese will again, flock to bitcoin to hedge against it.
Thoughts?
I don't think that us will defeat China that easily in war, China's army size is massive than US and they also have a lot of armaments.