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Topic: Prediction Markets for Political Betting - page 2. (Read 364 times)

legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1500
October 31, 2018, 05:02:46 AM
#10
I think it is too risky. Gambling should not be something that much emotionally invested in. We are voting for someone and than also gambling to hope that same person (or bet on the other person if you believe whoever wins) would win. Gambling should never be really based on politics or anything remotely emotionally invested thing. We are talking about having a person run a country for some years that would definitely make some part of a country really upset and sad which you expect them to also put gambling on top of that.

I guess we should keep it based on gambling casino games or if its sportsbook type thing than let it be just "sports"book and nothing further. Any real life decisions to be made should not become part of a gambling topic people would bet on.

I too agree with you but for the below mentioned betting scenario, I can bet my fortune against Trump!

https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-trump-still-be-president-in-2019-3842

Trump is not going to make it to White House in 2019 again!
legendary
Activity: 1554
Merit: 1054
October 26, 2018, 03:16:55 PM
#9
I think it is too risky. Gambling should not be something that much emotionally invested in. We are voting for someone and than also gambling to hope that same person (or bet on the other person if you believe whoever wins) would win. Gambling should never be really based on politics or anything remotely emotionally invested thing. We are talking about having a person run a country for some years that would definitely make some part of a country really upset and sad which you expect them to also put gambling on top of that.

I guess we should keep it based on gambling casino games or if its sportsbook type thing than let it be just "sports"book and nothing further. Any real life decisions to be made should not become part of a gambling topic people would bet on.
legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1441
October 25, 2018, 09:04:19 PM
#8
There are mainstream gambling sites like 5dimes.eu that accept bitcoin deposits and cater to US residents. (Just to give you another option and different perspective on things)

There used to be a bitcoin website that allowed users to create events to bet for or against but that site seems to have died awhile ago. A lot of attempts at being innovative or progressive in crypto that seemed like good ideas, for whatever reason, didn't pan out.

Having used bitcoin gambling sites since 2011 or 2012, there have definitely been a lot of them that folded. It could be #worth it to stick to tested and tried sites that have been in operation for awhile.
legendary
Activity: 1678
Merit: 1011
OneHash.com - Bitcoin Casino
October 25, 2018, 03:02:56 AM
#7
Morning!

Thank you for brining us into the subject. As mentioned, OneHash offers the political (and events in general) betting options.

Since we operate as a mutual betting, the odds can change over time, but the trends make them more attractive than in regular bookies most of the time.
Also, the experience shows us, that if 1 big player comes in, he brings others to the table who want to bet with/against him Smiley
Trump-Clinton 26.5 BTC in pool  https://www.onehash.com/event/special_events/usa_presidential_election_2016/12867

Are there any events you'd like to see and bet on? Write in this thread or click "suggest event" on our website.

Good day and big wins!
Eric from OneHash
 
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
Up to 300% + 200 FS deposit bonuses
October 24, 2018, 07:51:55 PM
#6
Basically depending on what type of political betting it is, there will be many options as the time gets near.

I remember during the Hilliary and Trump election, the forum was filled with people wanting to take private bets and people wanting to act as escrow for these dealings. That and there was almost a bunch of crypto and non-crypto betting website which were playing the odds on who would win.

If you actually bet on Trump the day prior or the hours leading up to his victory, you had a good risk/reward ratio because I remember at the time, Hilliary was in the lead and most people were betting on her. However we all saw what quick turn that took.

I also remember that the markets went crazy when Trump won the election. Mostly the Crypto markets were dead but all of a sudden the forex and stock indicies went crazy, and I basically could tell right then and there who won.
sr. member
Activity: 449
Merit: 250
October 24, 2018, 04:52:14 PM
#5
Thanks for the replies. I wound up putting in a bet on BetMoose because they had the volume to handle my wager.

On One Hash, the volume was so low, that my bet would crush their odds.

Nitrogen only had bets on US Senate Races, which I am not interested in.

Good luck, everyone!
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1130
Bitcoin FTW!
October 24, 2018, 04:20:48 PM
#4
I know OneHash provides a place for political betting, but volume on the site seems pretty low currently as well as historically; I'm pretty sure betmoose is much more popular than onehash for political betting, as I recall the volume was relatively high during the last American election.

OneHash has a relatively long Bitcointalk thread, and the account for OneHash is actually in the green for DT trust, so there aren't any major issues with the site. Generally speaking, most crypto gambling sites have a thread somewhere in the Gambling section, and you'll be able to find any positive or negative reports there. I use the format "(Site Name) Bitcointalk" on google, and I can usually find a main thread for the site in question using this.
legendary
Activity: 3080
Merit: 1500
October 24, 2018, 03:31:37 PM
#3
Apart from the above mentioned website, I know one more website that accepts bitcoins for betting on literally anything in the world. I have seen few politics related betting options as well in that website,

https://www.betmoose.com/

Betting link of US presidential election: https://www.betmoose.com/bet/will-trump-still-be-president-in-2019-3842

Hope this helps!
member
Activity: 416
Merit: 27
October 24, 2018, 02:48:37 PM
#2
I would like to bet on the mid-term elections in the USA. Are there any long-running legit prediction markets that are somewhat liquid where I can do this?

I haven't paid attention to the Bitcoin gambling space for a while, so I am out of touch with the scene. How can I vet the site that I bet on? There seem to be a few Bitcoin betting review sites, but they all have affiliate links, so it looks like they will shill for just about anyone that gives them an affiliate deal.
this is the only one i am aware of right now
https://nitrogensports.eu/sport/specials/us-midterm-elections
Nitrogensports in itself is very trusted and always pays out

and then theres
https://www.onehash.com/category/special_events/politics
but their betting is mutual, so that means the odds change depending on peoples bets there
sr. member
Activity: 449
Merit: 250
October 24, 2018, 02:31:34 PM
#1
I would like to bet on the mid-term elections in the USA. Are there any long-running legit prediction markets that are somewhat liquid where I can do this?

I haven't paid attention to the Bitcoin gambling space for a while, so I am out of touch with the scene. How can I vet the site that I bet on? There seem to be a few Bitcoin betting review sites, but they all have affiliate links, so it looks like they will shill for just about anyone that gives them an affiliate deal.
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