It was a stab in the dark tbh.
If it qualifies: 1N1FmjYhNTnW263RYzPpSxSmJMADCGkn2V
If not, no worries
Topic: Prediction Thread (PRIZES INSIDE!) (Read 2246 times)
I'm such a noob that I don't yet know how to check for certain volume trades
It was a stab in the dark tbh.
If it qualifies: 1N1FmjYhNTnW263RYzPpSxSmJMADCGkn2V
If not, no worries
It was a stab in the dark tbh.
If it qualifies: 1N1FmjYhNTnW263RYzPpSxSmJMADCGkn2V
If not, no worries
I'm not sure how to convert the times of the forum thread into the times seen on BitCoinCharts -- anyone know? Scott J would win on the volume of sell off post, though given he posted much later than others (and apparently right around the time of the 3824 coin trade -- though I'm not sure if he posted before or after), I'm not sure how to call that one. For the "settle price" I'd say my post is the closest, but we still haven't dropped to under 2.10 since this "contest" started.
If the 3837.4 BTC sell off counts, I was 162.6 out
Receiving address please. Who won the others? I'm lazy.
No Atlas, we will not take part in another lame contest..
That's awesome. You think I'm Atlas. xD
When you say "we" are you speaking for everyone else who already participated?
Thanks for your input.
-Jon
No Atlas, we will not take part in another lame contest..
If the 3837.4 BTC sell off counts, I was 162.6 out
Receiving address please. Who won the others? I'm lazy.
If the 3837.4 BTC sell off counts, I was 162.6 out
NP -- it was sort of a boring prediction, TBH. I think most of us were sure there would be a huge move sometime in the next day or two, and there really wasn't. I think if you had said an order of >10K BTC, it would be more interesting -- we're still waiting on that one.
So looking at the history, the next >2000 BTC selloff after 11/19/2011 6AM EST occurred on 11/19/2011 at 10:39:33pm EST; I'm not sure how that correlates to the time of this thread, so you'll have to do that math. The amount of the trade was 3837.4, though priced didn't actually drop so I'm not sure if that counts. As for "stable", we had >4 hours from 11/20/2011 at 5PM EST where the price was in a range of $2.17 to $2.2309; I'm not sure if there was an earlier time that qualified for "stable" or not, and we definitely haven't seen that drop to $1.7 (and may not ever see it).
Thanks for the input, Captain Hindsight. When time starts moving in reverse, you're going to make a killing!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyb1KYiFkBM
Oh man, I thought it was a different thread entirely. The 29 day thead, to be exact. My bad. Yeah so winners, step forward.
(trogdorjw73 - sorry for being a twat. I really thought we were in the other prediction thread)
-Jonathan
So looking at the history, the next >2000 BTC selloff after 11/19/2011 6AM EST occurred on 11/19/2011 at 10:39:33pm EST; I'm not sure how that correlates to the time of this thread, so you'll have to do that math. The amount of the trade was 3837.4, though priced didn't actually drop so I'm not sure if that counts. As for "stable", we had >4 hours from 11/20/2011 at 5PM EST where the price was in a range of $2.17 to $2.2309; I'm not sure if there was an earlier time that qualified for "stable" or not, and we definitely haven't seen that drop to $1.7 (and may not ever see it).
Thanks for the input, Captain Hindsight. When time starts moving in reverse, you're going to make a killing!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyb1KYiFkBM
So looking at the history, the next >2000 BTC selloff after 11/19/2011 6AM EST occurred on 11/19/2011 at 10:39:33pm EST; I'm not sure how that correlates to the time of this thread, so you'll have to do that math. The amount of the trade was 3837.4, though priced didn't actually drop so I'm not sure if that counts. As for "stable", we had >4 hours from 11/20/2011 at 5PM EST where the price was in a range of $2.17 to $2.2309; I'm not sure if there was an earlier time that qualified for "stable" or not, and we definitely haven't seen that drop to $1.7 (and may not ever see it).
Thanks for the input, Captain Hindsight. When time starts moving in reverse, you're going to make a killing!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jyb1KYiFkBM
So looking at the history, the next >2000 BTC selloff after 11/19/2011 6AM EST occurred on 11/19/2011 at 10:39:33pm EST; I'm not sure how that correlates to the time of this thread, so you'll have to do that math. The amount of the trade was 3837.4, though priced didn't actually drop so I'm not sure if that counts. As for "stable", we had >4 hours from 11/20/2011 at 5PM EST where the price was in a range of $2.17 to $2.2309; I'm not sure if there was an earlier time that qualified for "stable" or not, and we definitely haven't seen that drop to $1.7 (and may not ever see it).
next big sell off: 4000 BTC
time of that selloff: in 24 hours
price settle: 1.80 USD
time of that selloff: in 24 hours
price settle: 1.80 USD
If it reaches 1.70 the price would temporarily settle at around 1.85 before it hit there.
no big selloff but a slow creep, volume 116000
duration 10 days
endpoint before crash below 1.7: 1.9
duration 10 days
endpoint before crash below 1.7: 1.9
it is offcourse pretty randomly predicted
i was thinking about posting some pseudocode to show how random my "predictions" are. i mean.. lol, how should i know how big the next selloff gonna be unless it is myself who sells the coins? and then again: somebody will probably be stop-loss'ed and sell with me and bla bla bla.. very random!
only think i am quite confident about: the price will go down on the shortterm.
i was thinking about posting some pseudocode to show how random my "predictions" are. i mean.. lol, how should i know how big the next selloff gonna be unless it is myself who sells the coins? and then again: somebody will probably be stop-loss'ed and sell with me and bla bla bla.. very random!
only think i am quite confident about: the price will go down on the shortterm.
saved
next big selloff: 9000 BTC
time of that selloff: in 3 days
pricesettle: 1.89 USD
next big selloff: 9000 BTC
time of that selloff: in 3 days
pricesettle: 1.89 USD
next big selloff: 9000 BTC
time of that selloff: in 3 days
pricesettle: 1.89 USD
saved
1. Accurately predict the time of the next sell off ( > 1000 coins) - 1 Bitcoin
2. Accurately predict the volume of the sell off - 1 Bitcoin
3. Accurately predict where the price will temporarily settle before it hits $1.7 - 1 Bitcoin
1. Time: 38 hours from the time of this post
2. 8,500 BTC
3. Price will settle at $2.15 for several days to a week, then will drop to $1.90 for about a week, then will drop to $1.70. There may be brief uptrends during this movement.
2. Accurately predict the volume of the sell off - 1 Bitcoin
3. Accurately predict where the price will temporarily settle before it hits $1.7 - 1 Bitcoin
1. Time: 38 hours from the time of this post
2. 8,500 BTC
3. Price will settle at $2.15 for several days to a week, then will drop to $1.90 for about a week, then will drop to $1.70. There may be brief uptrends during this movement.
1. Accurately predict the time of the next sell off ( > 1000 coins) - 1 Bitcoin
2. Accurately predict the volume of the sell off - 1 Bitcoin
3. Accurately predict where the price will temporarily settle before it hits $1.7 - 1 Bitcoin
1. Time: 38 hours from the time of this post
2. 8,500 BTC
3. Price will settle at $2.15 for several days to a week, then will drop to $1.90 for about a week, then will drop to $1.70. There may be brief uptrends during this movement.
2. Accurately predict the volume of the sell off - 1 Bitcoin
3. Accurately predict where the price will temporarily settle before it hits $1.7 - 1 Bitcoin
1. Time: 38 hours from the time of this post
2. 8,500 BTC
3. Price will settle at $2.15 for several days to a week, then will drop to $1.90 for about a week, then will drop to $1.70. There may be brief uptrends during this movement.
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