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Topic: Predictions for the next bubble - page 2. (Read 4933 times)

KFR
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
Per ardua ad luna
May 11, 2013, 01:35:59 PM
#44
It's not in any way a foregone conclusion that Bitcoin will fail. Bitcoin could evolve into it's own replacement.

Perhaps it already has.  e.g. Litecoin
legendary
Activity: 2097
Merit: 1070
May 11, 2013, 12:25:08 PM
#43
Never. The bitcoin experiment has ran it's course and will be replaced by better, more scalable, more stable, faster cryptocurrencies. Those left holding bitcoins into 2015 waiting for the next bubble will be the last suckers standing.

THIS

Since the bubble burst, we are in a long term bear market, ending with bitcoin eventually going to $0. Any short term rallies from here on are bear traps, beware!

My view is with BubbleBoy, the bubble has burst and is not coming back. Sorry guys. Anyone who bought high and is waiting, reduce your holdings dramatically now whilst we are in a short term bull market.

Bitcoin has had it's glory days. It will be replaced by something.

Once again we are in a bear market now. I predict further price declines over the coming weeks and monrths with the price eventually falling below $50 and eventually to $0. However, keep watching the cryptocurrency space for something better to emerge. Bitcoin has led the path to the future, but the future will not be bitcoin.

This.  BTC got millions of people thinking about cryptocurrencies.  In that respect, it was a resounding success.  However, I agree that it will be replaced within a few years.  I'm not sure what will take its place, but it will feature more de-centralization, less susceptibility to KP injections and 51% attacks, and (most importantly) will be readily convertible to some useful form to give it a minimum level of value.  Currently, it requires more faith than fiat.  Time will tell.


It's not in any way a foregone conclusion that Bitcoin will fail. Bitcoin could evolve into it's own replacement.

That's up to the dev team though.
newbie
Activity: 20
Merit: 0
May 11, 2013, 12:20:40 PM
#42
Never. The bitcoin experiment has ran it's course and will be replaced by better, more scalable, more stable, faster cryptocurrencies. Those left holding bitcoins into 2015 waiting for the next bubble will be the last suckers standing.

THIS

Since the bubble burst, we are in a long term bear market, ending with bitcoin eventually going to $0. Any short term rallies from here on are bear traps, beware!

My view is with BubbleBoy, the bubble has burst and is not coming back. Sorry guys. Anyone who bought high and is waiting, reduce your holdings dramatically now whilst we are in a short term bull market.

Bitcoin has had it's glory days. It will be replaced by something.

Once again we are in a bear market now. I predict further price declines over the coming weeks and monrths with the price eventually falling below $50 and eventually to $0. However, keep watching the cryptocurrency space for something better to emerge. Bitcoin has led the path to the future, but the future will not be bitcoin.

This.  BTC got millions of people thinking about cryptocurrencies.  In that respect, it was a resounding success.  However, I agree that it will be replaced within a few years.  I'm not sure what will take its place, but it will feature more de-centralization, less susceptibility to KP injections and 51% attacks, and (most importantly) will be readily convertible to some useful form to give it a minimum level of value.  Currently, it requires more faith than fiat.  Time will tell.
sr. member
Activity: 260
Merit: 250
May 11, 2013, 11:57:09 AM
#41
Never. The bitcoin experiment has ran it's course and will be replaced by better, more scalable, more stable, faster cryptocurrencies. Those left holding bitcoins into 2015 waiting for the next bubble will be the last suckers standing.

THIS

Since the bubble burst, we are in a long term bear market, ending with bitcoin eventually going to $0. Any short term rallies from here on are bear traps, beware!

My view is with BubbleBoy, the bubble has burst and is not coming back. Sorry guys. Anyone who bought high and is waiting, reduce your holdings dramatically now whilst we are in a short term bull market.

Bitcoin has had it's glory days. It will be replaced by something.

Once again we are in a bear market now. I predict further price declines over the coming weeks and monrths with the price eventually falling below $50 and eventually to $0. However, keep watching the cryptocurrency space for something better to emerge. Bitcoin has led the path to the future, but the future will not be bitcoin.
FNG
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
May 11, 2013, 11:18:08 AM
#40
The "bubble" I.E uptrend will resume within 96 hrs. That's my speculative prediction
copper member
Activity: 1428
Merit: 253
May 11, 2013, 10:55:57 AM
#40
Never. The bitcoin experiment has ran it's course and will be replaced by better, more scalable, more stable, faster cryptocurrencies. Those left holding bitcoins into 2015 waiting for the next bubble will be the last suckers standing.

yes, you are correct. you should move unto a different board since you are obviously done with bitcoins

Sorry, but IMO you're wrong... the alt crypto currencies won't get too far....
I'm yet to hear about ripple or LTC on TV! much less the other ones...
legendary
Activity: 2097
Merit: 1070
May 11, 2013, 11:08:17 AM
#39
We'll see after this bubble is finished.

This is not a bubble...  266 was a bubble, that went down to 55, then 160 and back down to 79... next bubble might hit $200 and then back down to $100 sometime in July.... the patterns are there for whoever wants to be objective. I laugh at the people that want to see $40 again...

That's what everyone was saying when it was going parabolic on the way to $266.

Never say never, this is Bitcoin.
copper member
Activity: 1428
Merit: 253
May 11, 2013, 10:54:42 AM
#39
We'll see after this bubble is finished.

This is not a bubble...  266 was a bubble, that went down to 55, then 160 and back down to 79... next bubble might hit $200 and then back down to $100 sometime in July.... the patterns are there for whoever wants to be objective. I laugh at the people that want to see $40 again...
donator
Activity: 848
Merit: 1078
May 11, 2013, 09:54:58 AM
#38
Its said the markets move by fear and greed. Given that the last bubble popped when mtgox had issues (greed turning into fear of losing money), my guess is whenever the price rises significantly again and get greedy.... I say itll take around 9 months.
full member
Activity: 218
Merit: 100
May 11, 2013, 08:00:21 AM
#37
Bubble 1 peaked June 8, 2011. Bubble 2 peaked April 10, 2013. 1 year, 10 months, 2 days separate these first two bitcoin bubbles.

Therefore I extrapolate from that evidence to predict that bitcoin bubble 3 will arrive in 672 days ...

Wednesday, February 11, 2015.

My hobby: extrapolation

http://xkcd.com/605/
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
Changing avatars is currently not possible.
May 11, 2013, 07:52:40 AM
#36
I wonder where the next peak will be.  $1000, $10000, $100000? Smiley

If it's anytime before the next reward halving, I couldn't see $10,000.  We would need some very strong news even to get near $1,000 right now, which is still a possibility.
sr. member
Activity: 504
Merit: 250
May 11, 2013, 06:43:57 AM
#35

every single "bear" rode the bubble up and shorted at the correct time. it's amazing at how they all get the timing perfectly right

To correctly ride the bubble on the upside I should have invested 100K last year and extract a few million dollars last month. Of course I did not do that, I only invested petty change in what I saw and still see as a high risk greater fool game. That being said, I'm happy with my analysis since 99 times out of 100 it will me keep from losing my shirt in shady investments. The bitcoin billionaires are exactly the type of suckers who usually fall for these schemes and they have little merit of being among the first suckers to head about bitcoin. Their long term success is completely dependent on the supply of future suckers.

To ride the bubble on the down slope there's no precise timing required: wait for the burst and a suckers rally, like that peaked on 160, short and hold for a few months. I can't daytrade and profit from the high volatility, but I'm pretty sure a few months from now the price will be much lower than 150$ where I shorted. Easy money.

@ineededausername: I see you found an older prediction of mine anticipating another bubble. So I'm the only poster in this thread that actually predicted something. So believe me when I tell you that this time really is different: due to significant competition and innovation spurred by Bitcoin's success, we will not see another bubble into 2015. XRP, Litecoin and many other improved currencies that are to be released in the immediate future will take care of that.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
May 10, 2013, 01:11:37 PM
#34
And by the way, I still don't think we're in a bubble. Just huge correction. If another 6 weeks will pass and stil downtrend, I'll accept the bubble theory. Until then, no way.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1001
May 10, 2013, 01:07:28 PM
#33
I think when the next big bankruptcy in the Eurozone happens, will see another bubble. It won't be a speculation-based bubble but more just a rapid increase in value, correcting to the next new plateau for BTC.

Hmm gonna say Spain will be the next big domino to fall in the completely unsustainable continued transfer of wealth from government social spending & taxes to the banking cartels. Gonna say Spain will be taking out further loans they can't pay, in August or September, around the that time the ASIC wave will hit, also really adding to the strength BTC.

short version:

Late August. BTC will go to 330 - 375 peak, will then go down to steady around 245 - 260, and will stabilize here on in to a steady incline up until start of 2014.



Interesting opinion. But if Spain enters crisis, so will the rest of PIGS. I think Greece will be first...
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1018
Buzz App - Spin wheel, farm rewards
May 10, 2013, 12:40:48 PM
#32
I think when the next big bankruptcy in the Eurozone happens, will see another bubble. It won't be a speculation-based bubble but more just a rapid increase in value, correcting to the next new plateau for BTC.

Hmm gonna say Spain will be the next big domino to fall in the completely unsustainable continued transfer of wealth from government social spending & taxes to the banking cartels. Gonna say Spain will be taking out further loans they can't pay, in August or September, around the that time the ASIC wave will hit, also really adding to the strength BTC.

short version:

Late August. BTC will go to 330 - 375 peak, will then go down to steady around 245 - 260, and will stabilize here on in to a steady incline up until start of 2014.

legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1005
May 10, 2013, 12:36:50 PM
#31
My guess would be anywhere from 6 to 18 months, peaking at anywhere from $500 to $1,500 USD.  With a crash to a bottom value of anywhere from $200-600.
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1002
May 10, 2013, 12:32:50 PM
#30
We will revisit double digits within this month and single digit next month. Cool
And singe digit difficulty also Grin, because all miners will turn off their rigs at this price.
member
Activity: 161
Merit: 11
May 10, 2013, 11:15:54 AM
#29
We will revisit double digits within this month and single digit next month. Cool
full member
Activity: 120
Merit: 100
May 10, 2013, 11:06:01 AM
#28
About 6 months, but I don't think it will be a bubble.  Near the end of the year we will see another massive uptick in the exchange rate, but it will hold.   
newbie
Activity: 39
Merit: 0
May 10, 2013, 02:45:50 AM
#27
EARTHQUAKE.... ... ... aftershock!

Bubbles not over, still experiencing aftershocks.
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