Tottenham Hotspur have a pretty big goal difference compared to Arsenal, so I think Arsenal's chances of being in 4th place this season are very difficult. Arsenal still have games against Manchester United, Chelsea and of course the decisive match against Tottenham Hotspur, this is an important match for both teams to ensure a place in the Champions League next season. Next two match Tottenham Hotspur against with Brentford and Leicester City and I think on both match have chance for Spurs get 6 points.
Truth is it is not looking nice for Arsenal. Arsenal has to get atleast 6 points from Manchester United, Chelsea, and Tottenham itself. While Tottenham has to battle out Liverpool, Leicester and relegation teams. The big winner would have been Manchester United to take the 4th spot. They are clueless and out of form at the moment. My cards are on spurs to get the 4th spot
By the way, Arsenal still have one match yet to be played so if both of them consistently get full points, in the end Arsenal will be able to overtake Tottenham. But yes, it's just an analogy that basically Arsenal still have a chance to finish in 4th position, we realize for consistent results is hard work and difficult to achieve. But if we consider the inconsistency, then even if Arsenal have one match pending it will still be difficult for Arsenal. I personally see at the moment who their coach is and of course Conte is better, so I think Tottenham will be more consistent now until the end of the season compared to Arsenal who are likely to have lost more and left points behind for fourth place.
The team that can maintain the momentum now will be fourth on the table. This is a bit difficult for Arsenal. Because Arsenal will play 8 matches. The opponent of 4 matches is quite strong. Manchester United, Chelsea, West Ham and Tottenham. However, the Arsenal team is quite strong. My guess is that they will be able to win the remaining 3 matches except the match of Chelsea. And if they want to qualify for the Champions League, they have to win these 3 matches
Arsenal's performance was very disappointing in the last few games, they threw away 9 points in the last 5 matches. This finally made Tottenham,
who began to appear consistently, shift Arsenal's position at this time. Even though the current situation looks more favorable to Tottenham,
Arsenal still has a big chance of reclaiming the 4th position. Since Arsenal still have one game left to play, if Arsenal can win the game at least Arsenal
can match the points that are owned by Tottenham. But like you said, the team that Arsenal have to face is not easy in the remaining 8 matches.
There are still several strong teams that must be faced by Arsenal, including Arsenal will face Tottenham, so Arsenal's journey is indeed quite difficult.
But I believe Arsenal can replace Tottenham, the most important thing is Arsenal can beat Southampton in the next game. The victory is very important
for Arsenal can increase the confidence of Arsenal players, but if Arsenal fail to win against Southampton, Arsenal seems to have to forget to play
in the Champions League next season.