Topic: PREVISION / INFLUENCIATION on Randomness / Randomised results (Read 320 times)

I have pretty much felt the same experience sometimes whenever I play, however, if you were to put it in an explanation based on various facts and the like, isn't it like putting off the idea itself? Basing it on scientific theory or idea is like saying luck can be quantified into numbers. Yes, games do that, but let's be real, life ain't a game. Besides, I don't know about you but experiencing it various times, the opposite could also be said the same. Having been in a focused state where I think the probability of me winning is pretty high, by the end of it all, I still lost quite a few times. Yes, you could say that it wasn't the "focused" state you were pertaining to, but who says that? Who says that your state was "focused" and mine wasn't right? Is it because I lost? Then that kind of puts the idea of a "focused" state in a bias judgment. I think.

No it doesn't work exactly like that.
In a provably fair game the outcome is a mathematical operation between the server seed (the value the house is playing) and the client seed(the value you are playing).
If you don't choose manually your (client) seed, your browser will put a random one and you won't see anything.
On freebitcoin for example, the outcome is computed like that (the nonce is just the number of your roll) :

Once you've played you can check it by doing the calculation yourself (you should also check if the hash of the server seed given before the roll is the right hash of the server seed given after the roll)
In short, manually choosing a client seed is like rolling the dices yourself, not choosing it is like letting a robot play for you...

Well, I do feel the same sometimes but I think it's because I am lucky at that time and It also makes me think too since I won but in the end I am just lucky at that time. So, I don't really think about it that much since I only depend on my decision making and determine if I am lucky today or not at all.

Do you understand, seeds are used just to sign and to ensure the privacy of the communication between the client an the server,


Better for you try guessing the results of the rolls,
And believe me, it is not impossible.

Or put a finger on the RNG of the server   Anyway that's what the OP is about 

It's not totally random anymore if your theory about the influence of the spirit is true. 
Personally if I heard or read a word that grabs my attention, or if a word comes to my mind, I play it as client seed on freebitcoin.
But I lose every time or I win very little amounts...

Do you mean that choosing client seed string in a certain manner could influence the results in your favor ?  
Whatever you choose it remains and is treated as random string used to just sign the randomness operation !

Yes that's why I'm asking you if you've ever try to use your power on client seeds of provably fair games.
Sometimes I'm doing it but it never works... 

I don't think it is anything more than an illusion or cognitive bias

We humans tend to see causal relationships in everything, even if there's none. This is how our mind works as it looks for plausible reasons and rational explanations. So if there is no apparent cause (a random event), we imagine one, join the dots, and then start to believe there is. Regarding how true your gut feeling is, it looks more like selection bias. Your mind has probably become very selective, and when your intuition proves correct, you remember this. When it doesn't, you don't. Just pay more attention when it actually fails you and see for yourself how often you lose

This mostly happens to me whenever i'm making a profit I get that feeling like i'm about to have a big losing streak if I continue and I agree on what Heisenberg pointed out this is because of past experiences. After getting those results I start to adapt by eventually expect the worse since the probability favors the casino. It would be great if that's the case with gambling but i'd rather not take the risk since it always comes the other way around for me.

Did you visted the links above ?!  


Client seed can be settled manually on some sites, like (Crypto-Games)  ..     



On the old roulette game on bitsler,  some time I gotten average results like (min) 3/2-times win or more betting on Red/Black, Odd/Even .. 

Do you use your skill to chose client seeds when you play provably fair games?

It is not question of mechanically predicting process, it's something (when you are lucky) that make you like can have feeling of somethings ..







Some claims that they do,
https://facebook.com/MajorEdDames/
http://www.thekillshot.com/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stargate_Project

It doesn’t work.From my latest experience in slot machines I thought I can predict sometimes when the bonus game would appear but I have lost big amount of money by doing so and I guarantee it doesn’t work even when playing dice games or any other luck related game.We are not smarter than the game algorithm since we can’t predict the future.

Well, I experience similar thing too. When I am very focused and predict that I will catch some balls or stones I throw far up in the air, I tend to catch them. I even tend to be more effective when I don't think about what I am doing (especially in stuff I am already good at)
I think we just do better at predicting what we assume is random, when we are very focused.

First of all I want to mention that there is done a lot of math work behind every game that casino offerd and the reason they have house edge is to get rid of bankrupt and keep business running. So on long term casino is winnet.
To make everything clear, in this case you are in a game of math, a numbers where it controls space and everything. You can't win against numbers on long term, you can attack it hardly and gain advantage in which I mean the case when you somehow quickly win huge money. But as time goes, it becomes like you cut one head but two grows. So finally you are the only one left without chance.
Also keep in mind that every bet is unique and has no link to previous one which means your luck is restarted, a brand new on every bet you make. It's not that hard to analize, that's why you have to play for fun, not for profit.
But there are games based on strategy and great example of this is chess. Mixture of luck and strategy is poker. With strategy you can lie players and make them think the way you wish. But without cards you depend on thin air. That's why this game is mixture of luck and strategy, sometimes your weakness can turn into advantage, sometimes even inattentive behavior can become advantage and sometimes even smartness can affect everything in a bad way.

So in reality if you think on it, events, even the events smallest as imperceptible are in link with other events, influence them and act on the way that they going to turn to, In a way we can say that almost all the events in the univers are linked together.
But if you think more on this, there can be outlets where the distant effects cause issues inconsistent and conflicting that can't possibly occur together in regards of the global matrix and the other events, the global interaction between the events..

So in a first case, the solution is just that the "event" don't happen. Just like something that is expected to occur doesn't happen and there is no explanation why it's taking this way

In the second case, think of when these issues arise (each in opposite side of the matrix),
here the issue can be explained by just two scenarios,
-the Mulivers theory of Hug Everett where the univers is divided to multiple versions
-or some interventions/managements like the ones presented on the movie.

I've had similar experiences but I will never credit my focus or my mind's power for it. I mean I wanted or even willed to win but we all know that in terms of random gambling, however focused you may be, the result is always beyond our mind's influence. Make no mistake, I believe in the power of the mind but to actually put it to use is another story. So I guess, those were coincidences or strokes of luck.


I've watched that film. That was a great movie. But that was hard to believe to be happening in the real world.

I think you mixed up two things. "Provably fair" means, that a player can check the fairness of the outcome of a wager by himself. Take a look at bustadice for example, they offer a service to check your bets online: bustadice wager verifier. You simply have to input your seeds (server and client) and the site lists the outcome of your played games. The verifier is hosted at github and open source so everyone can review the source code and see that it is legit.

But "Provably fair" has nothing to do with one side winning as often as the other.
If that were the case, casinos would be bankrupt immediately, no casino would be able to survive that for a long time. The outcome of our bets are therefore favouring Casinos at a very low percentage, this is the so-called "house edge", which is usually between 1-5% depending on the side:

This  simply means that the casino has a 1% higher chance of winning, for example.
If you think of a roulette there is not only red and black, but also the green 0, in which case that would be exactly the small advantage that the casino needs to remain viable. If the House Edge were at 0, no employees, servers and co. could be paid anymore

Do you have watched  
( https://imdb.com/title/tt1385826/ The Adjustment Bureau (With Matt Damon) )  ?

I mean, There is a cause-effect pattern linking between almost everything!

Honestly, l feel the same several times but I won't apply some theoretical, scientific and mathematical relations between possible interactions of previsions with the physical game system that affects the future result. I mean how?

I'm pretty sure there no link between these but what I'm seeing here, once our brain reacts if we focus, alongside with other things we have on mind, it makes us feel positive to the point that if we nailed a bet, it will make us think they are correlated and we can actually influence the site's algorithm. Aside from that, playing from strategy-based games, our analysis contributed to our winning chance.

Actually, this isn't happening just in my gambling activity. It also happens in my online game activity especially with the feature of refining items or something along those lines. The success chance here (RNG) is much worst compared to a 0.5-1% house of dice site but when I feel lucky, I'm hitting it everytime.