Thank you for this post, you have made an extensive and interesting analysis. Personally I think that price for DeepOnion, as one of most common privacy coin like Zcash, Monero, Verge etc... will be determinated by the rules that countries will decide and the global regulation of crypto.... let's see...
I also think that regulations will play a role in general for cryptocurrencies. And the price of DeepOnion will of course depend a lot on BitCoin (especially in the coming year) since currently you pretty much must have BTC (or ETH/LTC) in order to get ALTs that means that these will probably stay the top dogs for the forseeable future. That also mean that if we have overall bear market then of course this will affect most (if not all) ALTs. Now people are talking about a shift in the trend towards bullsih, I am not sure I believe it 100% yet but of course I hope it is true.
And if the market would turn bullish then I think DeepOnion is in a good position to have some good gains. A clear bowl formation is forming, maybe sparking another bull-trend (in comparison to BTC price) for DeepOnion. I think what could set it off is if the BTC market starts to get even clearer bull-signals, like breaking 9k.
I still stand by my price prediciton for 2018, it was a long-term view since I figured there was probably going to be a eretracement at some point. But overall I am bullish on BTC and the crypto market in 2018 so I think that DeepOnion will once again go up to levels of ATH and even higher.
But everyone should do their own research and it is good to have many different views in a thread so it is great that you share your opinions (even if they differ from mine). And if you want to explain your reasoning a bit more that would be great, I always try to explain my view and see things from different prespectives and not get locked into a single view.
The reason my view on DeepOnion still stays the same is because, even though there has been a bear market and price has been dropping, development and growth of the community hasn't stopped. They have launched a bunch of new things in the last 3-4 months: Whitepaper, Updated Desktop Wallets with latest Tor integration (0.3.3.4-Alpha), Andorid Mobile Wallet. They are also going to release VoteCentral within a week followed by Deepvault Webapplication. I think this shows that they are hard at work and not stopping because of market fluctuations. Despite all this price have gone down but I think that is because market sentiment had turned bearish and ALTs wasn't the place where people wanted to invest their money. If/When this changes I think, since DeepOnion has shown great strength in development and continued growth, that this might start a jump in evaluation of this project.
This is all my personal opinions and please let me hear yours!