Russia imports a lot of its food. So to see it cutting it ties with a lot of countries over the Ukraine. Is not a smart idea.
Yeah. It really sounds more like bluffing to me.
In a game of chess you can't bluff. Crimea is an autonomous region, if they vote to join Russia, they
rejoin Russia.(Or is a CIA funded coup more legitimate then a referendum?)
Personally I don't think that shit will hit the fan over this. The risk simply outweighs the reward.
"Distribution of costs and benefits deals with the outcomes of games. This leads to players bluffing in order to gain their desired outcome. There are two types of bluffing: cheap and costly. A cheap bluff is a bluff that costs the player nothing, such as rhetoric or hinted threats in official communiques. A costly bluff, which is more likely to be noticed by the other player or players, could be the mobilization of military forces or missile tests. The more costly the bluff, the more likely the other players will believe it."
Source: Advanced Analytic Techniques (8th April 2013). "Applications of Game Theory in Support of Intelligence Analysis". Blog. Online in
http://advat.blogspot.com/2013/04/applications-of-game-theory-in-support.htmlArticle 134. The Autonomous Republic of Crimea shall be an integral constituent part of Ukraine and shall resolve issues relegated to its authority within the frame of its reference, determined by the Constitution of Ukraine.
Source: Constitution of Ukraine - Title X. "The Autonomous Republic of Crimea Ukraine Government. Online in
http://www.president.gov.ua/en/content/chapter10.htmlWhere is your source of a CIA funded coup? Pravda? Syrian Free Press? Putin's mouth? Then, who are here taking those risks of such a bold statement made by Putin's adviser?