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Topic: Q4 -Quarter 4 speculation thread, where will 2019 end, join the LIST - page 3. (Read 6536 times)

legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
STT
legendary
Activity: 4060
Merit: 1448
Sounds sensible

Not that it necessarily matters more then a month from now but BTC seems to be respecting the boundaries of recent prior pricing.   Hence 7500 top and 6500 bottom could repeat, hence I still have hope for my bearish guess though its very slim chance with not much more then 24hr left.
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 13168
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Just to the winner of the game, I have always been very known for very fast payment.... Though the 31st at 00.00 is a moment where I probably cannot say my own name anymore etc

So I will look on the forum, cheer for the winner and pay the day after max two days (if i'm that F***ed up)...

I hope this is reasonable
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 13168
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
I have created an auto-updated leaderboard page for this competition - https://tiramisu77.github.io/bct-game-leaderboard/

It takes the entries from the second post of this thread, calculated the delta - how close the prediction is to the current price, then sorts the whole list and displays it, with each predictions delta added as a second column.

Please do use this Witchery on the next game as well..... Its really awesome!!!
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 13168
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
legendary
Activity: 1652
Merit: 4392
Be a bank
Normally you would be happy for anyone to win one of these games that mic is so kind to sponsor, except maybe a scammer but mercifully they don't seem to join.

But I'd hate for one of these arrogant-assed TA soi disant experts to win a goddam penny. They are useless at predicting price, they never admit when they are wrong which is way more than half the time otherwise they'd be quiet and would've fucked off.

If they win one of these it will be pure coincidence and annoying.

'Oh I'm doing it to help you (poor souls), you need to learn my method'

er no we need you to fuck off and learn humility for the next 17 years then don't bother coming back.


present your TA, fine, but do it without your arrogance.

be like water my friend
full member
Activity: 994
Merit: 117
competition is very tight at this time anyone can be a winner
is it only the first-ranked person to get this prize ??
I hope there are also consolation prizes for ranks 2 and 3  Grin
legendary
Activity: 3808
Merit: 1723
I am glad this thread got bumped, I was actually thinking about it a few days ago, had to check what my prediction was ($6000) and it seems I wasn't too far off.

What is really crazy is this, there was 181 people who participated and going by todays price of $7350, about 25 people predicted it would be lower and the rest 156 predicted it would be higher. It crazy how fast the sentiment changed when in Oct 2019 (when this thread was created) the price was around the same ($7800 or so), however people back then were more bullish than today.

I wonder if another thread was made, "What will BTC be at price of halving", then most people will probably (>75%) will probably post a lower price than a higher price.
copper member
Activity: 2898
Merit: 1465
Clueless!
Still drangonvslinux leading the game

GL everyone, final days !!!

My TA is always leading the game  Tongue
I think my chances increased slightly now we've dipped down and popped back up. Trying to hold this $100 lead for the next 50 hours will be a challenge though!




Well, this may be a bit of a stretch on my $11,111.12 usd, what a lame ass-guess.

I plan on 're-submitting' this amount on every one of these in the future till:

(a) I win!

(b) The BTC price frigging blows by the above amount and I won't care a hoot about this contest anymore!

Again, less than 3 days to go!

So my odds are essentially the same as being Natalie Portman's Love Puppet! Good to see I've not lost any ground there.

Brad
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 2213
Still drangonvslinux leading the game

GL everyone, final days !!!

My TA is always leading the game  Tongue
I think my chances increased slightly now we've dipped down and popped back up. Trying to hold this $100 lead for the next 50 hours will be a challenge though!
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 13168
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Still drangonvslinux leading the game

GL everyone, final days !!!
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
^
Never said or argue that though the definition of a free-roll is participate with only a chance to win something and no chance of losing anything..... so for a participant it’s for free, it never had to be free for the host, that also never been said....... come on JJG you’re smarter  Kiss

I don't know why you want to argue publicly about this?  But you keep bringing it up for some strange reason?




 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 13168
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
^
Never said or argue that though the definition of a free-roll is participate with only a chance to win something and no chance of losing anything..... so for a participant it’s for free, it never had to be free for the host, that also never been said....... come on JJG you’re smarter  Kiss
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"


hahahahaha

Something like that.


Talky talky talk. Where is your entry?

That man is to good for a free-roll entree......


Try doing the guessing game(s) for "real" free and don't give out any bitcoins and find out what happens?



legendary
Activity: 2674
Merit: 13168
BTC + Crossfit, living life.
Talky talky talk. Where is your entry?




That man is to good for a free-roll entree......
legendary
Activity: 1722
Merit: 2213
Back to the top to the dollar Cool Now just to hold this for 5 days, or pump up further $7.6-$7.8K, then correct back down to $7375 "new support" and sorted  Roll Eyes



legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
Talky talky talk. Where is your entry?

Problematic thinking Globb0.  You seem a tad bit distracted, for some reason.  Might need to bring batman out for this one.   Wink  Merry Christmas.

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

legendary
Activity: 2702
Merit: 2053
Free spirit
Talky talky talk. Where is your entry?


legendary
Activity: 3892
Merit: 11105
Self-Custody is a right. Say no to"Non-custodial"
^
But but what if a 3K sudden pump occurs??

I wouldn’t mind at all  Cool

Hahaha, I wouldn't mind either  Cheesy Cheesy
5 days to go....

I'll place my bet on you @dragonvslinux

$7187 on bitstamp atm.

Back upto 3rd place I see  Cool



Source: https://tiramisu77.github.io/bct-game-leaderboard/

Like dragonvslinux asserted it seems very difficult that BTC prices are going to stay flat for nearly another week at this time of the year, but you really never know with Bitcoin. 

Also, remains much easier to attempt to bet on the possible winners when we are in the last lap of the race rather than nearly three months earlier, and frequently if we are in some kind of holding pattern, there can be some confidence to assert that the holding pattern is going to continue to hold, but there could be some whales who are waiting and waiting and waiting to pounce, and even they cannot really be certain that they are going to end up being correct when the do attempt to pounce.

I would say that betting nearly three months ago was a much larger crap shoot, but surely retrospectively seems reasonable that BTC prices have done a considerable correction down from their 3.5x jump earlier in the year (April to June).  Frequently, the BTC price moves can be described as "retrospectively reasonable" when we look at them much later, as compared to when we are caught in the midst of them... when as mere small fishes (speaking for myself and likely the vast majority of posters on this forum) it can frequently be difficult to see our hands in front of our faces.
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