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Topic: Quant computers in five years (Read 2246 times)

newbie
Activity: 29
Merit: 0
September 07, 2012, 11:27:19 PM
#22
develop bitcoin 2.0 then use bitcoin 1.0 to exchange bitcoin2.0 first
the people who accepted bitcoin1.0 will support bitcoin2.0 first
legendary
Activity: 1918
Merit: 1570
Bitcoin: An Idea Worth Spending
September 07, 2012, 10:57:13 PM
#21
Hate to break it to you all, folks, but BitcoinTalk has already broken the quantum barrier via its superposition bitcoiners and entanglement threads.

hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
September 07, 2012, 06:49:16 PM
#20
There are other important differences that make the Public-Key Quantum Money much more like digital cash than the current blinded signature cash schemes out there, particularly there is no need to negotiate with the issuer to verify the validity of the coins. This is important since it makes the fully-anonymous coins easily transferable like cash without leaving a network trail of who's transacting with who and etc. Bitcoin cannot do this easily, and Bitcoin can't do fully anonymous at all, pseudo-anonymity will always be Bitcoins deficiency. The market values fungibility, that much is evidentially known with certainty, so I'd argue PKQM is theoretically 'better' money than Bitcoin on those grounds at least.

Agreed, the potential full anonymity of the quantum system (which I failed to notice due to excessively quick skimming Wink), is a definite plus over Bitcoin.  In fact I consider the lack of automatic anonymity to be the single biggest long-term problem in Bitcoin, and I've always believed it will eventually need to be somehow solved at the protocol level, so that non-technical people can use Bitcoin via any client without inadvertently leaking personal financial metrics and relationships.  Undoubtedly, a blockchain/ledger system has definite pluses in some scenarios, but also noticeable unresolved minuses.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
September 06, 2012, 06:08:22 PM
#19
Actually, if realised quantum computing can theoretically supply better digital money than bitcoin ...

http://arxiv.org/abs/1004.5127

Specifically, Public-key Quantum Money without secrets becomes theoretically possible.

http://mags.acm.org/communications/201208?pg=90#pg93

Remember that Bitcoin is not just the ledger/validation/anti-counterfeiting capabilities, but also a set of rules controlling and decentralizing the issuance.  If I read your links correctly, the researchers are essentially proposing a system of digital/quantum monetary units that can be independently verified as genuine, thus leaving the issuance of money still in control of governments and banks.  It's basically a drop-in replacement for the existing monetary system, but made fully digital and non-counterfeitable.  So I'd argue that for most individuals, Bitcoin would still be better "money" if you valued features such as predictable and decreasing inflation or full decentralization.


Wow you must have read through those links quickly  Wink Actually the issuance of such money would be available to any entity in possession of the algorithm not just "still in the control of banks and government" ... big difference. There are other important differences that make the Public-Key Quantum Money much more like digital cash than the current blinded signature cash schemes out there, particularly there is no need to negotiate with the issuer to verify the validity of the coins. This is important since it makes the fully-anonymous coins easily transferable like cash without leaving a network trail of who's transacting with who and etc. Bitcoin cannot do this easily, and Bitcoin can't do fully anonymous at all, pseudo-anonymity will always be Bitcoins deficiency. The market values fungibility, that much is evidentially known with certainty, so I'd argue PKQM is theoretically 'better' money than Bitcoin on those grounds at least.

Quote
Possibly some really smart new Satoshi could merge this idea of independent quantum monetary units with self-verification (i.e. not needing a Blockchain), with some Bitcoin-like system to restrict and decentralize issuance.  In that case it could legitimately claim to be an improvement over the current Bitcoin.

We live in hope ... some of us may even be working on it, who knows? You are right that Satoshi has laid a groundwork for how it can be done and other technologies can incorporate whatever works best. The decentralised, restricted issuance, Open Source, network consensus part of Bitcoin technology is formidable to be sure.

hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 540
September 06, 2012, 12:43:21 PM
#18

It looks like a rumor spread by BFL ...

hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 500
September 06, 2012, 12:20:14 PM
#17
In 2001, the first (allegedly) quantum factoring was done, breaking 15 into 5 x 3.  Now, in 2012, a state of the art quantum computer has advanced to the point that it can factor 15 into 5 x 3, almost half of the time.  I think we have more than 5 years before QC starts threatening bitcoin.

exactly ....

Quantums will not be doing much in five years. But then bitcoin is not going to be finished until around 2140 or so.
full member
Activity: 136
Merit: 100
September 06, 2012, 10:00:40 AM
#16
There is a joke within many tech circles that anything that is stated to be out in "five years" is vaporware.

Seriously, for whatever reason everything is always just five years away.  It must be some magical time frame that is far enough in the future that no one expects you to have any actual evidence, but close enough for people to get excited about it.

this

certain things are always 3-5 years away

Haha!  IPv6 is coming "tomorrow" and has been since the early 90s.

But IPv6 is real working protocol, not a sci-fi HW :]
kjj
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1026
September 06, 2012, 09:58:33 AM
#15
There is a joke within many tech circles that anything that is stated to be out in "five years" is vaporware.

Seriously, for whatever reason everything is always just five years away.  It must be some magical time frame that is far enough in the future that no one expects you to have any actual evidence, but close enough for people to get excited about it.

this

certain things are always 3-5 years away

Haha!  IPv6 is coming "tomorrow" and has been since the early 90s.
full member
Activity: 168
Merit: 100
September 06, 2012, 09:54:45 AM
#14
There is a joke within many tech circles that anything that is stated to be out in "five years" is vaporware.

Seriously, for whatever reason everything is always just five years away.  It must be some magical time frame that is far enough in the future that no one expects you to have any actual evidence, but close enough for people to get excited about it.

this

certain things are always 3-5 years away
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
September 06, 2012, 08:58:09 AM
#13
There is a joke within many tech circles that anything that is stated to be out in "five years" is vaporware.

Seriously, for whatever reason everything is always just five years away.  It must be some magical time frame that is far enough in the future that no one expects you to have any actual evidence, but close enough for people to get excited about it.
hero member
Activity: 588
Merit: 500
September 06, 2012, 08:36:51 AM
#12
Actually, if realised quantum computing can theoretically supply better digital money than bitcoin ...

http://arxiv.org/abs/1004.5127

Specifically, Public-key Quantum Money without secrets becomes theoretically possible.

http://mags.acm.org/communications/201208?pg=90#pg93

Remember that Bitcoin is not just the ledger/validation/anti-counterfeiting capabilities, but also a set of rules controlling and decentralizing the issuance.  If I read your links correctly, the researchers are essentially proposing a system of digital/quantum monetary units that can be independently verified as genuine, thus leaving the issuance of money still in control of governments and banks.  It's basically a drop-in replacement for the existing monetary system, but made fully digital and non-counterfeitable.  So I'd argue that for most individuals, Bitcoin would still be better "money" if you valued features such as predictable and decreasing inflation or full decentralization.

Possibly some really smart new Satoshi could merge this idea of independent quantum monetary units with self-verification (i.e. not needing a Blockchain), with some Bitcoin-like system to restrict and decentralize issuance.  In that case it could legitimately claim to be an improvement over the current Bitcoin.

legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
September 06, 2012, 08:17:51 AM
#11
In 2001, the first (allegedly) quantum factoring was done, breaking 15 into 5 x 3.  Now, in 2012, a state of the art quantum computer has advanced to the point that it can factor 15 into 5 x 3, almost half of the time.  I think we have more than 5 years before QC starts threatening bitcoin.

exactly ....
kjj
legendary
Activity: 1302
Merit: 1026
September 06, 2012, 08:07:46 AM
#10
In 2001, the first (allegedly) quantum factoring was done, breaking 15 into 5 x 3.  Now, in 2012, a state of the art quantum computer has advanced to the point that it can factor 15 into 5 x 3, almost half of the time.  I think we have more than 5 years before QC starts threatening bitcoin.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
September 06, 2012, 07:50:30 AM
#9
Actually, if realised quantum computing can theoretically supply better digital money than bitcoin ...

http://arxiv.org/abs/1004.5127

Specifically, Public-key Quantum Money without secrets becomes theoretically possible.

http://mags.acm.org/communications/201208?pg=90#pg93
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 250
September 06, 2012, 07:05:10 AM
#8
Even if, bitcoin will just switch to quantum resistant cryptography and everything will be fine.
sr. member
Activity: 451
Merit: 250
September 06, 2012, 07:04:43 AM
#7
Biggest threat to bitcoin and any other financial service in the world: quant compuets are here in five years.

http://www.pcpro.co.uk/news/security/376693/q-a-silicon-success-brings-quantum-computers-closer/2#ixzz25ZkV6PsV

I guess NSA will have the prototypes a couple of years before the technology gets main stream.


That is a poor article.  It doesn't name the person making the predictions.  The basis of the predictions is an analogy to the development of transistors.  Something like, "Transistors make computers, our devices will make computers."  Nothing in that article about how to build a quantum computer.  If you are going to make one in 5 years you should be able to articulate why.

It is still not known what will become of quantum computing.
legendary
Activity: 1221
Merit: 1025
e-ducat.fr
September 06, 2012, 07:04:23 AM
#6
The problem with this kind of predictions is that it can only be formulated by people with a vested interest in their realization. Reading the article, left me with the question: where are the facts ?
member
Activity: 112
Merit: 10
September 06, 2012, 06:57:44 AM
#5
This is the same guy who has been overhyping this for the last few days. I have seen no new data (silicon photonics have been used before to create qubits already in the past, before this guys jan 2012 in an obscure journal) or newly published papers. This is merely an advertising blitz probably trying to secure some funding for his research group/center. Take everything this guy is saying with a grain of salt.
full member
Activity: 136
Merit: 100
September 06, 2012, 06:51:59 AM
#4
look here, interesting comments - http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/zb6qu/first_quantum_chip_announced/

More likely they will be used to dominate the bitcoin mining.
Mining: CPU -> GPU -> FPGA -> ASIC -> QUANTUM  muhehehe  Grin
sr. member
Activity: 434
Merit: 250
In Hashrate We Trust!
September 06, 2012, 06:49:37 AM
#3
More likely they will be used to dominate the bitcoin mining.

Im afraid NSA will use their quant computers to destroy the bitcoin network before we will be able to buy them for mining....
One quant processor is enough to compete with thousands of ASICs
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