We should stop measuring success or failure in terms of the market price.
You could not be MORE wrong!!
At the moment Bitcoin as a whole is failing.
Bitcoin as financial transaction is not failing at all. It is actually thriving, it does exactly what it is supposed to do. It is a wonderful adaptation to our current transaction processes. If more and more people keep adopting its usage, it can only grow stronger.
The value of bitcoin however is failing drastically.
Why is the value so important? and how does this effect the overall success of bitcoin?
Very simple
Miners need a good value to make mining profitable, ( unless you know an electric company who accepts bitcoins as payments they need cash to pay the bills) if the value of the coin becomes so low it is no longer profitable to mine, BOOM instant failure, no miners means no transactions getting processed , if no one is processing transaction the coin fails.
So you see the value is just as important as the structure behind the transaction protocol
I would still say it's very hard to predict what is going to happen 5 or 6 months down the road even for a short period. Anything can still happen. The price might just collapse into the dumpster or very well shoot beyond expectation leaving everybody crying out in awe "i should have bought more". Anyway lets see what is going to happen before making a conclusion right now when things are still moving very very fast
Allow me to help you, by the end of December price will be below 100 dollars USD a coin, ( because of the bi-weekly merchant dumps that have been happening over the past 5+ months) at this point a your transactions will become much slower as a lot of the miners will have turned their machines off. This price will attract some of the idiot high dollar investors and by February we will be back close to 300 dollars again if we are lucky, at which time miners will begin to turn their machines back on.
Unfortunately this process will not fair well for bitcoin, if transaction times become longer it will begin to deter new users from keeping the coin after adopting it. It will give the coin a bad reputation and all this work people are putting in to getting the coin adopted by more merchants will be futile. This is not 5 years ago, Bitcoin is no longer in its infancy, this is the determining stages of the coins future. Difficulty is to high to play the same games the developers have played the past 5 years, if they dont get their heads out of their asses we are all going to lose.
Lets put more concentration on creating a real demand for the coin and not worry about more coin dumping merchants picking it up right now. If there is a true honest demand for the coin people are going to buy it faster than if they want a computer from dell who takes both cash or BTC. merchants do not secure its success, creating transactions can only go so far. having something no one else has and having to use bitcoins to get it, now thats a demand that makes people have to get bitcoins