Recession and Bitcoin - page 2. | Bitcointalksearch.org

polynesia

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Quote from: DavidHume on July 21, 2014, 04:38:20 AM

The latest good news coming from DELL has close to 0 effect on price. I would considered this worrisome.

On the contrary, it could indicate that the price of bitcoin may be stabilizing.
Might not be good news for speculators, but great news for bitcoin adoption.

Ron~Popeil

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Quote from: DavidHume on July 21, 2014, 04:38:20 AM

Quote from: Benjig on July 19, 2014, 04:14:45 PM

It will either or stagnate or go up, i dont think it can go down with all those good news coming every day... in fact a fiat recession could be good for bitcoin.

The latest good news coming from DELL has close to 0 effect on price. I would considered this worrisome.

I a truly free market it is hard to identify all of the factors in the price. I suspect all the good news is either buoying up what would be a bear market or there are some whales keeping the price artificially low in order to acquire more bit coin. Or I could be completely wrong.

Yakamoto

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I'd say that Bitcoin may very well go up, since a lot of people would start buying higher than listed to get all their cash into coins before everyone else.

However it does depend on what type of recession, because a lot of it could end up with people selling their PCs and so to try and make end's meat, which would cause a slight drop in the price (or go up, since they're not technically in circulation) and then a lot of the coins would go cold.

A great way to capitalize off of that happening is buy cheap PCs, and set up "trade stations" whenever you can, where people can bring their coins to trade face-to-face (Or at least get internet access). I'd also recommend hiring a security guard, just to make sure things don't go out of hand.

And charge either entrance or usage fees, or a subscription like what gyms do. Then you can make money, probably pay off the security guard, and keep the Bitcoin economy flowing.

If people are exchanging that is.

WhatTheGox

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depends on what kind of recession Huh

painlord2k

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Quote from: DavidHume on July 21, 2014, 04:38:20 AM

The latest good news coming from DELL has close to 0 effect on price. I would considered this worrisome.

Zero speculative effect in the last few days following the announce.
Do you think someone at Dell knew and bought before the announce?
Like in June?
It need time to has an effects on the price and use of bitcoin.

You could know the cause-effect but it is difficult to pinpoint the time delay in-between

DavidHume

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Quote from: Benjig on July 19, 2014, 04:14:45 PM

It will either or stagnate or go up, i dont think it can go down with all those good news coming every day... in fact a fiat recession could be good for bitcoin.

The latest good news coming from DELL has close to 0 effect on price. I would considered this worrisome.

Benjig

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It will either or stagnate or go up, i dont think it can go down with all those good news coming every day... in fact a fiat recession could be good for bitcoin.

redskins49

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Quote from: Robert Paulson on July 19, 2014, 02:48:06 PM

the price will fall along with everything else.
but then the world's central banks will start printing money like crazy to stop the collapse, eventually driving the price to a new ATH.
this will probably continue until the world economy is completely ruined,
and politicians understand that having a small group of people centrally managing the interest rate and printing money does not work.

Prices do not usually fall in recessions, as there is usually still inflation, just at a lower rate then when the economy is doing well.

I would argue that the price would increase as people and companies seek to use forms of payment that cost less and would find bitcoin much cheaper then credit cards

Robert Paulson

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the price will fall along with everything else.
but then the world's central banks will start printing money like crazy to stop the collapse, eventually driving the price to a new ATH.
this will probably continue until the world economy is completely ruined,
and politicians understand that having a small group of people centrally managing the interest rate and printing money does not work.

Ron~Popeil

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Since it is still mostly a commodity you would probably see people cashing in bit coin to make ends meet. This would drive price lower. If it is widely accepted enough to use directly it could actually cause growth in bit coin due to more economic activity within the bit coin realm.

Erdogan

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Quote from: DavidHume on July 19, 2014, 08:09:32 AM

In time of recession, equity usually carries discount and cash carries premium.

If bitcoin is considered cash by majority, it will go up in price. If it is considered "property/asset" by majority, it will go down in price.

Correct.

Dalmar

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Life is short, practice empathy in your life

Quote from: MilesJohan on July 19, 2014, 07:46:18 AM

I would think if there is Recession, bitcoin price would go up since USD down?

In severe recessions like in 2008-2009 most commodities and stocks went down while USD went up. But shortly after in 2010-2011 when it finished people became frightened of the USD again and started panic buying assets.

This will likely happen to bitcoin as well, it will go down initially along with the general market, but will go up faster when things settle down.

Daniel91

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Quote from: buddhamangler on July 18, 2014, 11:53:07 PM

Bitcoin has yet to go through a period of recession of the global economy. How the price of Bitcoin reacts could have major implications for the question of "Store of Value".

Bitcoin is still not mainstream, so I don't think that we can apply usual recession rules here.
I think nobody can predict what happen with bitcoin in the case of recession.
Each scenario is possible.

DavidHume

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In time of recession, equity usually carries discount and cash carries premium.

If bitcoin is considered cash by majority, it will go up in price. If it is considered "property/asset" by majority, it will go down in price.

Erdogan

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Quote from: MilesJohan on July 19, 2014, 07:46:18 AM

I would think if there is Recession, bitcoin price would go up since USD down?

That is not sure, based on experience.

MilesJohan

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I would think if there is Recession, bitcoin price would go up since USD down?

Erdogan

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Quote from: buddhamangler on July 18, 2014, 11:53:07 PM

Bitcoin has yet to go through a period of recession of the global economy. How the price of Bitcoin reacts could have major implications for the question of "Store of Value".

There is no way to tell. The value seems disconnected from real world events.

buddhamangler

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Bitcoin has yet to go through a period of recession of the global economy. How the price of Bitcoin reacts could have major implications for the question of "Store of Value".

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