I partly agree, but it can't go on for years, Ukraine is simply too exhausted to continue this bloodbath for long. The main resource is soldiers and they're running out of them. You can't replenish killed and wounded troops instantly, not even in 5 or 10 years. You also can't import soldiers. In the few years population of Ukraine has gone down from 40 million to just 15 -20 million. The official estimate (which doesn't include the people who fled the country illegally is as follows:
Many politicians, experts and all sorts of visionaries really believe that the hot phase of Russia’s war in Ukraine should end next year, 2024, around the summer. But they do not connect this with the depletion of Ukraine’s military potential and its inability to conduct military operations. The current Russian aggression against Ukraine has sobered the countries of Europe and the United States so much that they have come to the conclusion that Russia must suffer a military defeat in this war and will continue to provide Ukraine with all possible assistance. And Russia has no chance to resist NATO’s military potential. The countries of Europe, especially Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia and Poland, are clearly aware that in the event of a military defeat of Ukraine, they will be next for the Russian invasion and therefore they are ready to provide Ukraine with maximum assistance so as not to fight themselves.
As for the United States, they are already saying that by spending only three percent of their defense budget, they, through the hands of Ukrainians, weakened the military power of Russia, their main potential military rival, by at least half, without losing a single soldier and consider this a good investment of their resources.
At the same time, Russia's military power is far from unlimited. It is already supplying almost a century-old military equipment to the front, taking everything it can from its warehouses, and also purchasing weapons from North Korea and Iran and trying to buy back from the countries the military equipment and weapons it had previously supplied.
In addition, potential human meat for war in the form of Russian conscripts may also rebel and not go to slaughter and die for unknown ideals in another country.
Summer 2024 is almost here.
No U.S. president will stop helping Ukraine, in the fight against Rashism.
And here it may not even be so much about love for Ukraine, or fulfillment of obligations under the Budapest Memorandum, or dislike of Kremlin terrorists. It's all of these things
Russia today is the key destabilizing factor in the world. it does it both on its own and by its "hand dogs" or friends in military and economic terrorism.
And by the looks of it, Russia is just fed up with it. But there is a nuance. As much as I, a resident of Ukraine, would like to see a real and quick collapse of Russia into a dozen independent, adequate (after a while) countries, this is most likely not going to happen in the near future. Nor will there be a global defeat and destruction of Russia. It sounds cynical, but it is true. The scenario I see now is that the West and some other countries (including China) using the situation want to:
- irreversibly weaken Russia. For the West - to reduce terrorist threats and terrorism as such, because it is no secret that Russia is the "mother of world terrorism" and a key sponsor and ideologue of terrorism on a global scale. For China - so that Russia would no longer think about changing its status as a raw material appendage and a guinea pig for China.
- But total defeat and collapse into separate countries is not favorable to either the West or China (as the owner of Russia). For the West, there is a risk in the proliferation of nuclear/chemical and other prohibited weapons, which with a non-zero probability will happen at the moment of Russia's collapse. For China - loss of control over regions that historically belong to China or are a zone of China's economic interests. For example, Baikal. Believe me - we will witness new conflicts over.... WATER. And China, being pragmatic and far-seeing, realizes that the problem of fresh water is "not far off".
Therefore, the process of strangulation and degradation of Russia will be somewhat stretched in time. But it is much better than if Rashism was not given any help
PS The fabulous 145 million, of course, it sounds ridiculous. It's like "unparalleled second army of the world" - the same fake
Objectively there are up to 100 million living there, not for nothing - there is no real census.
At the same time for the last decade, we see "successes of russia" in:
- population decline
- total degradation of regions
- high mortality rate
- low life expectancy, which continues to decline,
- global alcoholism, "leadership" in the spread of AIDS and venereal diseases, tuberculosis,....
- the rise in drug use
- global fertility decline
... and all this, officially recognized, has no effect on the official "population figures". And no one in Russia has any dissonance !
But at least it has an explanation - it will be necessary to recognize the TRUTH, and this is for Rashism as "incense for devils"