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Topic: Russia vs Cyprus financial crisis - Bitcoin not getting any boost this time (Read 2388 times)

hero member
Activity: 815
Merit: 1000
Well I think I calculated that to sustain BTC price at 300$ you need ~0.6 billion dollars going into the Bitcoin system/year due to the mining of new coins.

At the prices we are at now its not enough to have something something going on in some country or some other speculation going on. Speculation and tech geek money has now been invested and is running thin.

To move further you need entire nations/companies going full Bitcoin - a massive shift.

Even if the ruble went to 0, it wouldn't necessarily mean that all Russians went Bitcoin or even most - most would likely buy land, stuff, food, gold and dollars above all.


Bitcoins world domination will come, but you really have to appreciate the scales, timeframes and consequences we dealing with now.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1014
it is politicians and banksters that give BTC a bad reputation, and also low acceptance, which results in too few people looking at BTC as a refuge or even a form of money

after the big crash, maybe?  Wink
hero member
Activity: 728
Merit: 500
How could someone connect btc directly with rubble or The Cyprus crisis?

As said earlier is just speculations.

The today's downhill is because of rubble?
full member
Activity: 196
Merit: 100
Hi
The situation is very different. In Cyprus, people were afraid that the government would seize all they had in their bank accounts. This should not happen in Russia. At least, that's what I hope.
I think it is more that the people of europe were afraid that the situation would spread accross europe, while this case is likely not going to spread outside of russia
member
Activity: 94
Merit: 11
Why the hell would Russians invest in bitcoin? They can invest in oil, silver, gold.. it 's more predictable and convenient when you have millions to invest.
Q7
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
Somehow all these has a correlation with movement of dollar. Look at Dollar Index measured against a basket of major currencies and you will see what I mean. If you analyze the price of btc against euro, it is actually gaining not going down.
legendary
Activity: 3066
Merit: 1047
Your country may be your worst enemy
The situation is very different. In Cyprus, people were afraid that the government would seize all they had in their bank accounts. This should not happen in Russia. At least, that's what I hope.
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
Roughly two years ago, Cyprus' banking system started imploding, leading to the first big price rally in bitcoin powered in large part by a surge in perceptions that it was a  safe alternative to the flawed banking system in crisis.

Well, something similar could be happening in Russia right now - with the rubble collapsing, inflation heading up (wiping out savers purchasing power) and growing talk that Russia will impose capital controls to prevent capital from fleeing (just like Cyprus did).

But bitcoin isn't benefiting from crisis this time. It's been sinking along with the ruble.

In fact, bitcoin doesnt seem to be benefiting at all from many signs the entire global financial system might be heading for another implosion.

Is bitcoin no longer viewed as a safe haven? I think its instability over the past year has really damaged its prospects of being viewed as a safe haven. Looks like it's being treated as anything but a safe haven. It's been behaving like just another pump and dump altcoin.


Even with Greece's financial system on the verge of potential collapse and Russia's in a tailspin, bitcoin's being treated like just another pump-and-dump altcoin now. All the big action is in shorting it.

Quite a difference from how it was treated during the Cyprus incident about a year ago.

A lot of people in a lot of places are looking for escape hatches, but not many apparently see bitcoin as a reliable one anymore.
legendary
Activity: 2226
Merit: 1052
Yah it may have been more generally FUD driven in the Eurozone.

I'm seeing Russia warming up on searches for bitcoin though.

Russia is already very much into crypto. If u look at the alexa of any bitcoin site, u'll find a dominance of Russia.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Hodl!
Yah it may have been more generally FUD driven in the Eurozone.

I'm seeing Russia warming up on searches for bitcoin though.
legendary
Activity: 2156
Merit: 1393
You lead and I'll watch you walk away.
Are you sure that enough Russians know what Bitcoin is to make a difference? I also can't find any proof online for your statement that the Cyprus financial problems were directly responsible for any increase in btc price. I read a bunch of speculation about it but no proof like a massive surge in client downloads in Cyprus or that this little island was buying all the Bitcoins.
sr. member
Activity: 534
Merit: 250
The Protocol for the Audience Economy
Last year this time the price did the exact same thing and dropped down from the $800 mark to about $500 until it started recovering around the 23rd of Dec. I like to believe that traders drop the price down with the use of the news and not that the news causes the price drop.

Q7
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
It's still too early to make a general assumption. The downward bitcoin price could be from other non-related factors if only we know what it was and not necessarily mean to say people have lost trust in bitcoin. Just give it time. It will rightfully adjust itself to reflect the real situation.
sr. member
Activity: 252
Merit: 250
i would sell all BTC now. no more safe haven!

Yeah. I'm glad I sold mine @500$, maybe buying back when it's under 50$ each  Smiley
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
Hodl!
Did the Russia forbidden bitcoin?

not yet. they want to make new laws in 2015 and forbid the use if cyrpto.



Though if rouble completely wipes out, I could see them doing a state cryptocurrency.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1014
In Satoshi I Trust
Did the Russia forbidden bitcoin?

not yet. they want to make new laws in 2015 and forbid the use if cyrpto.

hero member
Activity: 532
Merit: 500
 Did the Russia forbidden bitcoin?
sr. member
Activity: 326
Merit: 250
Atdhe Nuhiu
For Russian ppl is the safe currency USD/EUR. Cyprus was crisis of EUR.
hero member
Activity: 1680
Merit: 505
I think we are too early in crisis for bitcoin to benefit like it did in cyprus. When bitcoin was spiking during the cyprus crisis the worse was already here and people were fearing the situation would get worse.

Now in Russia, we are really only in the beginning stages of a probably crisis. Russia still have hundreds of billion dollars worth of foreign currency reserves that it can use to intervene to help support it's economy and the ruble
sr. member
Activity: 448
Merit: 250
Some ruskis might be selling btc to make up for the huge  devaluation (to just get enough cash in short term).
 
Or maybe the cbr is selling btc along with the other currencies to prop up the rouble ;p

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