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Topic: Russian Ruble Surpasses Brazil’s Real as Year’s Best-Performing Currency - page 4. (Read 609 times)

legendary
Activity: 2912
Merit: 6403
Blackjack.fun
You're looking at the graphs of a Potemkin currency and funny enough you're believing it.

First, just like other failed currencies from the Zimbabwe dollar to the Iranian rial and the Venezuelan bolivar, the exchange rate men's nothing since, you can't go to a bank and ask for dollars at that rate, making it even worse in Russia you can't even ask for dollars at all.

This is not something new it's the same thing as the Soviet ruble, you had three exchange rates
- the official at one rube to 1.35 dollars that stayed nearly the same for a decade despite the country going bankrupt at every step
- the same official rate for export and import companies and government officials where the rate was far lower but was still supported by the state
- the real rate that was sometimes x10 lower for any citizen that wanted to buy real $

This is again the same, they are trying to prop the currency to save face, you can't have a currency that is printed at 20% with bank deposit going up, everyone knows what happens when you do so, you have the Anchor/ Terra fiasco once more, the same insane rate with money that can't come from anywhere as there is no money left.

Well whoever have the energy resources will most likely going to rise up and Russia has the means to. The mainstream media are already realizing how misinformed we are when it comes to Russia's capacity. They were reluctant to publish these information before but now we are seeing it on Reuters. This network is known to rubbishly lie about everything we know about world issues but here they are. Gas and Oil made it happen as Putin asks to pay in rouble, its the law of supply and demand.

And despite having more gas and oil and getting paid in rubles the USSR still went down the drain.
So, what's the majik trick the country with one of the lowest GDP per capita in Europe, competing with Moldova and Montenegro will pull out of the hat this time?
hero member
Activity: 1694
Merit: 516

Where does this idea some have that russia's economy is doing poorly come from?


The idea of the Russian economy failing is coming from western economics who base their argumentation on the sanctions the West has against Russia. This is of course a bit misleading because Russia is trading with the whole world. And if countries like Holland or Poland are being cut off from the gas trade its not that Russia will sit on all the excess gas. The whole world needs energy and many countries are still friendly with Russia. If the price is right they will keep buying from them. I think that the initial shock on the Russian economy came from the fear of a war between Nato and Russia. But the Western countries made it clear they are not going to intervene on Ukraine. We will have to watch over the next 12 month how hard the Russian economy is being affected. The currency markets might be the wrong indicator with the high inflation we see right now.
hero member
Activity: 3038
Merit: 918
This is just made up by the Russian central bank.
The Russian currency market is totally manipulated and controlled by the Russian central bank and the Russian government.
The Russian ruble isn't freely convertible on the global currency markets, which means that the real market value cannot be determined.
Imagine having one currency market with 10 traders and 1000 daily transactions on the one side and another market with 10000 traders making 100K daily transactions on the other side. Which currency market will provide more accurate prices? The second one, of course.
The market for Russian rubles looks more like the first one. I'm not trying to shit over Putin's financial policies, but the so called "stability" and "best performance" of the ruble is going to be used mostly for Putin's propaganda.
member
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we don't know how the rubble will perform in the future .. in the short term the rubble's performance may be good but no one can guarantee the performance of this currency in the future .. especially when America manages to control their inflation and their economy starts to bounce back
full member
Activity: 1092
Merit: 227
Certainly this is a trick. In fact while reading all those thoughts were running through mind, how is it even possible when they are almost cut off by the world's leader in terms of financial aspect and also trade and businesses too. It's highly impossible to go 11% in just two days and moreover they have already lost so many contracts, then how they are getting paid anyways?

May be the news where they imposed only ruble payments for oil payment could have triggered the market surge. Its all mind game at this point, there is no possible way they would have gotten so much capital.
member
Activity: 65
Merit: 17
It is true that despite escalating sanctions and the bullish pace of the greenback, the Russian ruble has seen significant gains versus the US dollar nearly ten weeks into the war. The ruble was up 20.32 percent against the dollar as at the begining of the month, trading at $67.09, down from $84 a month ago.
Fears of a eurozone recession, along with the Euro's bearish trend, have also reignited the possibility of the currency reaching parity with the US dollar.

https://nairametrics.com/2022/05/04/russian-ruble-gains-20-against-the-dollar-within-a-month/

But inspite of the fact that the ruble is currently swinging in value versus the dollar, the Russian economy is significantly showing indications of deterioration. Russia's economy is experiencing a downturn unlike any it has ever seen, and this and many reasons has made many educated Russians to apparently abandoning the country. In a report, the Institute of International Finance stated, "The current crisis will wipe out 15 years of economic improvement."
hero member
Activity: 2800
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At the moment, the russian ruble is up 11% versus the US dollar and rated the #1 performing currency of the year.

Since what we have there is far from what we could call free market, since the ruble going up is a blatant scam/market manipulation, I don't know why we should compare that "performance" with anything else.
It's (yet another) highly cunning move from the Russians. Since some weaklings have accepted to pay in rubles for the already overpriced gas and oil, they'll pay even more, since the ruble is "strong". It would be funny if it wouldn't be so painfully sad. More money for Putin's war effort...

Well whoever have the energy resources will most likely going to rise up and Russia has the means to. The mainstream media are already realizing how misinformed we are when it comes to Russia's capacity. They were reluctant to publish these information before but now we are seeing it on Reuters. This network is known to rubbishly lie about everything we know about world issues but here they are. Gas and Oil made it happen as Putin asks to pay in rouble, its the law of supply and demand.

Brazil is also one of the biggest in Latin countries which Russia and Brazil is among the founding countries in the block called BRICS, its an economic block consisting Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa.
legendary
Activity: 3668
Merit: 6382
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At the moment, the russian ruble is up 11% versus the US dollar and rated the #1 performing currency of the year.

Since what we have there is far from what we could call free market, since the ruble going up is a blatant scam/market manipulation, I don't know why we should compare that "performance" with anything else.
It's (yet another) highly cunning move from the Russians. Since some weaklings have accepted to pay in rubles for the already overpriced gas and oil, they'll pay even more, since the ruble is "strong". It would be funny if it wouldn't be so painfully sad. More money for Putin's war effort...
copper member
Activity: 2100
Merit: 903
White Russian
It is an illusion..
When in Argentina and Turkey they tried to make the same illusion with similar methods, they did not succeed.
legendary
Activity: 2688
Merit: 1192

....


Someone said russia is headed towards ruin and being outperformed by the united states economy.

At the moment, the russian ruble is up 11% versus the US dollar and rated the #1 performing currency of the year.

Meanwhile in the united states retailers are bracing for bad earnings reports due to inflation:

https://www.reuters.com/business/wall-st-week-ahead-retailers-set-earnings-stage-after-inflation-sparked-market-2021-05-14/

Evidence appears to suggest the US economy is weakening while the russian economy and its native currency is becoming stronger.

Where does this idea some have that russia's economy is doing poorly come from?

It is an illusion, Putin wanted the rouble to be propped up after it collapsed but as always this has unintended consequences - the central bank of Russia is dropping interest rates because a strong rouble means it buys less foreign currency. There are currency controls in place preventing free market corrections, foreign companies who want to escape are currently tied in from selling any assets at the best price (which is why ridiculous nationalisation plans are being drawn up). All of these are the actions of incredibly weak and short sighted politicians.

While it may generate huge sums from selling energy and have a nice reserve of funds, it is still a basketcase economy. This is what happens when corruption infects every part of a society and people do not have the structures around them that encourage innovative thoughts. It will survive in the short to medium term being economically isolated, but it has the potential to be so much greater if it had a better government.

The graph you posted effectively tracks the price of oil movements over the same timeframe - if the rest of the world fell into recession, the price of oil dropped, then Russia's undiversified economy would suffer among the worst.

legendary
Activity: 2562
Merit: 1441
Quote
(Bloomberg) -- Capital controls imposed by Russia have turned the ruble into the world’s best performing currency this year, though not many people can pocket a profit on the rally.



image link:  https://i.ibb.co/TtBp8hY/russian-ruble.jpg

The ruble resumed its advance against the dollar on Wednesday as the Moscow Exchange reopened after two days of public holiday. It’s now up more than 11% against the US dollar since the start of the year, surpassing the real’s 9% advance to become the top gainer among 31 major currencies tracked by Bloomberg. The offshore rate is up even more, about 12%.

The ruble’s gains result from a series of measures taken by the government to defend the battered currency in the aftermath of Western sanctions. On top of imposing capital controls, Russia has forced exporters to sell foreign-exchange and is demanding its natural gas be paid for in rubles. Strategists say the rally isn’t credible as many currency-trading shops have stopped dealing in the ruble on the grounds that its value seen on monitors is not the price it can be traded at in the real world.

Still, the irony of the ruble performing so well while at war is remarkable, especially as other countries that imposed capital controls in the recent past have not achieved the same results. Turkey and Argentina tried similar measures when they faced a horde of sellers in the past few years with disastrous consequences for the lira and the peso, which reached fresh all-time lows and never recovered.

The ruble took over from the real as the world’s best performer as the end looms for Brazil’s monetary tightening, which is weighing on the currency. After raising the benchmark rate by 1,075 basis points since early 2021, policy makers in the Latin American nation have signaled a slowdown in the pace of hiking, as well as their intention to wrap up the cycle soon. While the real’s carry will remain high, the spread to US rates will likely shrink as the Federal Reserve keeps raising borrowing costs at an aggressive pace.



https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ruble-surpasses-brazil-real-best-162446964.html


....


Someone said russia is headed towards ruin and being outperformed by the united states economy.

At the moment, the russian ruble is up 11% versus the US dollar and rated the #1 performing currency of the year.

Meanwhile in the united states retailers are bracing for bad earnings reports due to inflation:

https://www.reuters.com/business/wall-st-week-ahead-retailers-set-earnings-stage-after-inflation-sparked-market-2021-05-14/

Evidence appears to suggest the US economy is weakening while the russian economy and its native currency is becoming stronger.

Where does this idea some have that russia's economy is doing poorly come from?


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