Pages:
Author

Topic: satoshi dice lol - page 2. (Read 7901 times)

legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
October 15, 2012, 04:47:43 PM
#23
Guess not

Wow impatient much?

http://www.satoshidice.com/lookup.php?tx=

^^^ that lets you lookup the status of a transaction. You can click the details link and all the info is there to verify that the roll was pre-determined legitimate but you have to understand some of the hash stuff to do that.

In other words, it's impossible for the system to cheat people, because people could check bets after they were made and discover the cheating.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
October 15, 2012, 04:37:07 PM
#22
Guess not
Post your transaction ID's.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 15, 2012, 04:24:48 PM
#21
Guess not
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 15, 2012, 04:08:10 PM
#20
You cant possibly think that its random lol

Yes I do.  

Why not play the 97% chance to win constantly and become a millionaire then?

It doesn't work that way.  You have a 97% chance to win a single bet, but look at how low your percentage of payout is.  This still gives the house an edge.  You will ultimately lose doing this.  

Why is noone doing extremly large bets on that odd once then? a 07% chance to win is extremely high probability in any case. The anser is because they know when they do the big bet that the number 65000 will come out. Like usual.

Some people do.  And most people win that single bet.  

I guess im that unlucky guy that loses 25 times in a row on a 91% chance to win game the day after winning large sums in the same game.

If you in deed lost 25 times in a roll on the 91% chance bet, then I agree, that's pretty improbable (though still possible). Please show me proof that it happened.

How can I show the proof? IS there somewhere I can look up the records??
legendary
Activity: 1806
Merit: 1003
October 15, 2012, 04:07:18 PM
#19
You cant possibly think that its random lol

Yes I do.  

Why not play the 97% chance to win constantly and become a millionaire then?

It doesn't work that way.  You have a 97% chance to win a single bet, but look at how low your percentage of payout is.  This still gives the house an edge.  You will ultimately lose doing this.  

Why is noone doing extremly large bets on that odd once then? a 07% chance to win is extremely high probability in any case. The anser is because they know when they do the big bet that the number 65000 will come out. Like usual.

Some people do.  And most people win that single bet.  

I guess im that unlucky guy that loses 25 times in a row on a 91% chance to win game the day after winning large sums in the same game.

If you in deed lost 25 times in a roll on the 91% chance bet, then I agree, that's pretty improbable (though still possible). Please show me proof that it happened.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
October 15, 2012, 04:03:56 PM
#18
You cant possibly think that its random lol

Yes I do.  

Why not play the 97% chance to win constantly and become a millionaire then?

It doesn't work that way.  You have a 97% chance to win a single bet, but look at how low your percentage of payout is.  This still gives the house an edge.  You will ultimately lose doing this. 

Why is noone doing extremly large bets on that odd once then? a 07% chance to win is extremely high probability in any case. The anser is because they know when they do the big bet that the number 65000 will come out. Like usual.

Some people do.  And most people win that single bet. 

I guess im that unlucky guy that loses 25 times in a row on a 91% chance to win game the day after winning large sums in the same game.
They do call it luck for a reason...
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
October 15, 2012, 04:03:17 PM
#17
You cant possibly think that its random lol

Yes I do.  

Why not play the 97% chance to win constantly and become a millionaire then?

It doesn't work that way.  You have a 97% chance to win a single bet, but look at how low your percentage of payout is.  This still gives the house an edge.  You will ultimately lose doing this. 

Why is noone doing extremly large bets on that odd once then? a 07% chance to win is extremely high probability in any case. The anser is because they know when they do the big bet that the number 65000 will come out. Like usual.
Because on that 3% chance that they do lose, they lose everything.  Some people don't want to take that sort of chance.

Try it this way:
- Create a new Excel document.
- In A2, type "=RANDBETWEEN(0,65536)"
- In B1, type "1000", or whatever starting Bitcoin balance you want to simulate.
- In B2, type "=IF(A2<64000,B1*1.004,0)"
- Now, copy A2 and B2 downward as far as you want, to simulate as many bets as you want.
- To refresh with a new set of random numbers, just click on an empty cell, and push the Delete key on your keyboard.
- You will soon find out why no one does extremely large bets on that odd.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
Who shot who in the what now?
October 15, 2012, 04:02:12 PM
#16
Level of hiding behind "questions" while not having the balls to file an official scam accusation: ryann.

Also, you might have a gambling problem.
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 15, 2012, 03:58:41 PM
#15
You cant possibly think that its random lol

Yes I do.  

Why not play the 97% chance to win constantly and become a millionaire then?

It doesn't work that way.  You have a 97% chance to win a single bet, but look at how low your percentage of payout is.  This still gives the house an edge.  You will ultimately lose doing this. 

Why is noone doing extremly large bets on that odd once then? a 07% chance to win is extremely high probability in any case. The anser is because they know when they do the big bet that the number 65000 will come out. Like usual.

Some people do.  And most people win that single bet. 

I guess im that unlucky guy that loses 25 times in a row on a 91% chance to win game the day after winning large sums in the same game.
newbie
Activity: 41
Merit: 0
October 15, 2012, 03:58:24 PM
#14
Not sure if OP is a big troll or just a 6 year old kid that doesn't yet understand the math...

If I'm not mistaken satoshidice uses mental poker strategies. Study up.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Whoa, there are a lot of cats in this wall.
October 15, 2012, 03:55:56 PM
#13
You cant possibly think that its random lol

Yes I do.  

Why not play the 97% chance to win constantly and become a millionaire then?

It doesn't work that way.  You have a 97% chance to win a single bet, but look at how low your percentage of payout is.  This still gives the house an edge.  You will ultimately lose doing this. 

Why is noone doing extremly large bets on that odd once then? a 07% chance to win is extremely high probability in any case. The anser is because they know when they do the big bet that the number 65000 will come out. Like usual.

Some people do.  And most people win that single bet. 
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 15, 2012, 03:54:50 PM
#12
You cant possibly think that its random lol

Yes I do.  

Why not play the 97% chance to win constantly and become a millionaire then?

It doesn't work that way.  You have a 97% chance to win a single bet, but look at how low your percentage of payout is.  This still gives the house an edge.  You will ultimately lose doing this. 

Why is noone doing extremly large bets on that odd once then? a 07% chance to win is extremely high probability in any case. The anser is because they know when they do the big bet that the number 65000 will come out. Like usual.
legendary
Activity: 1400
Merit: 1005
October 15, 2012, 03:52:58 PM
#11
"satoshi dice lol" indeed... I laughed!
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Whoa, there are a lot of cats in this wall.
October 15, 2012, 03:52:19 PM
#10
You cant possibly think that its random lol

Yes I do.  

Why not play the 97% chance to win constantly and become a millionaire then?

It doesn't work that way.  You have a 97% chance to win a single bet, but look at how low your percentage of payout is.  This still gives the house an edge.  You will ultimately lose doing this.  

Example:  How many times do you expect to win out of 100 on this bet?  97.  You expect to lose 3 times.  This will give the house a profit of about 2% and you a loss of about 2% due to the payout structure of the 97% bet.  
Quote
lessthan 64000   97.6563%   1.004x   1.900%   98.100%   0.0010   250.0000
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 15, 2012, 03:51:24 PM
#9
You cant possibly think that its random lol

Yes I do. 

Why not play the 97% chance to win constantly and become a millionaire then?
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 15, 2012, 03:50:55 PM
#8
The math on SatoshiDICE is absolutely fair and transparent. The whole point is that if you don't trust the site, you can check it using the hashes of the transactions (it's a bit complicated to do this but many have done it).

Not only is SatoshiDICE fair, it is -provably- fair, and is one of the first online games in the world to be able to prove its fairness (one more awesome benefit of Bitcoin).

Im not following. How can you prove that the numbers generated are actually random just from hashes?
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Whoa, there are a lot of cats in this wall.
October 15, 2012, 03:50:49 PM
#7
You cant possibly think that its random lol

Yes I do.  

member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
October 15, 2012, 03:49:45 PM
#6
Im not talking about 1 bet at 91% chance im talking multiple bets over the course of a day and eventually losing all your money. Thats statistically improbable yet it happens all the time. I especialy love when i do a big bet with the less than 60 000# and the I lose because the number that come out is 60 008. You cant possibly think that its random lol
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
October 15, 2012, 03:49:09 PM
#5
The math on SatoshiDICE is absolutely fair and transparent. The whole point is that if you don't trust the site, you can check it using the hashes of the transactions (it's a bit complicated to do this but many have done it).

Not only is SatoshiDICE fair, it is -provably- fair, and is one of the first online games in the world to be able to prove its fairness (one more awesome benefit of Bitcoin).
full member
Activity: 784
Merit: 101
October 15, 2012, 03:45:05 PM
#4
Does anyone actually believe Satoshi and their odds? I do believe the game is completely rigged. I had a great run up 70btc in 2 days. Then lost it all while betting only 91% chance to win games. Im new to this stuff but what are your thoughts?

I don't think it is purposely rigged but I have noticed that there are lucky periods and unlucky periods. I don't know if it is still true, but it seems that if you play 5 times per transaction and the first bet wins, they all win.

Pages:
Jump to: