ciyams answer to everything. no real data, no real stats no real scenarios. just insulting anyone whos mindset is not in blockstreams corporate pockets.
guess what. ciyam actually debated 4mb before as a doomsdays scenario.. but as soon as it was realised that segwit(his gods plan) allowed for upto 4mb of data per block.. he changed his ways.
technology didnt change overnight. but the words of his gods bible did.
its funny, any idea that is not blockstreams must be insulted. not using real knowledge or data, but purely emotion.
i really wish he would take 5 minutes out to relax and have a coffee, cool down his emotion and reply using his knowledge. because until recently, he use to actually make logical sense.
for instance. in the last 20 minutes he has made a couple replies that are basically vapour arguments with alot of insults.
if he instead took a 5 minute break to gather his thoughts into an idea. and spent the remaining 15 minutes writing a proper reply that had context. then that reply would (maybe) have been a winning reply.
yet even after asking him many times on different topics to take a break and think up a genuine rebuttle. he does not.
now for my opinion.
bitcoin does not need to reach the scales of Visa by 2017.. bitcoin can achieve this over a 10-15 period. without issue.
and once you realise that a Xblocklimit growing over the years +segwit + sidechains can easily surpass visa worldwide in 15 years, where it took visa 60 years.
that said if we just concentrate on one ledger of visa and one ledger of bitcoin (not sidechain). then bitcoin with just 2mb+segwit
(to avoid manually repeating myself)
if we apply that average 40 transactions a year* to the 104million US visa card holders**, then that is an average of 4.160billion transactions a year
which if we take 2mb+segwit (8000tx per ten minutes) is 420million transactions a year.
so bitcoin with 2mb+segwit can handle 10% of visa americas ledger.
*http://www.statista.com/statistics/279275/average-credit-card-transaction-volume-per-card-worldwide/
**http://budgeting.thenest.com/percentage-americans-credit-cards-30856.html
so imagine in 15 years bitcoin was 20mb+segwit. that would be on par with visa USA
then imagine the sidechains had similar capacity each
sidechainA comparable to Visa Europe
sidechainB comparable to Visa Asia
sidechainC comparable to Visa australia
but sticking with 1mbsegwit, trying to push hard for sidechains is pushing people into a less secre network.
especially if blockstream only wants to double blocklimit every 8 years.
meaning 4mb+segwit+sidechains in 2026 and 8mb+segwit+sidechains in 2032.. meaning bitcoin wont be on par with visa america until
well into 2040 (24 years)