What decides what is and isn't currency? For me currency is something you can use to buy goods and services. Doesn't bitcoin meet this criteria? You can use it to buy stuff, and you can use it to hold it long term.
Wine is then a currency too. I could exchange a certain number of famous wine bottles for, say, a sportscar. Collector stamps too. Silver. Iridium. Famous paintings. Anything that has value and can be bartered for something else, can then be seen as a "currency". True.
But to be called a currency, it normally also has to be able to act as a "unit of account". Now, people pretend that bitcoin is a unit of account, and express relative prices in BTC (like other crypto). But in reality, BTC is not a unit of account. From beginning of 2014 to 2015, it fell a factor of 6 in value. The last year, it rose a factor of 5 or so. You can't write a contract in such a "unit of account". In another thread, I gave the example of a cleaning company, and an another company, the other company making a contract to clean their offices for the next 5 years with the cleaning company, for a price of $5000,- a month, say. This contract cannot be signed when the price is said to be 3 BTC a month. Because nobody knows what value BTC will have during these 5 years. If it rises like crazy, the company will have its offices cleaned for the highest amount in town. If BTC crashes, the cleaning company will clean the other office for near to nothing.
BTC is not a unit of account, because there is no mechanism that tries to keep the inflation/deflation of its price within reasonable boundaries (on the contrary: BTC is designed to be extremely deflationary).
However, it for sure is a mobile value that can be transacted relatively easily, subdivided in fractions, and is relatively fungible for the moment. So it does display certain monetary aspects. But it is not a genuine currency, because you cannot express prices in it without referring to a real unit of account (such as $).
Again, the big demand for crypto will come once governments ban all physical cash. But you can't say there's no demand, there's already demand, people use it to hedge against fiat currencies, and stuff that brings uncertainty (like Trump, Lepen, banking crisis in general etc)
Nope. You shouldn't confound a greater-fool game with "hedging against fiat currencies". And using crypto to replace physical cash is going to be much more difficult than you think, because you will still need to go through exchanges and the banking system ; and whenever "legal" companies accept crypto, they will have to report your crypto transaction, and you will potentially be asked to explain where your crypto came from. In other words, to replace cash with crypto, you will have to have a closed economic cycle, entirely based upon dark commerce. If you will go to a legal shop that accepts crypto, and you want, say, to buy an i-phone with bitcoin, you will be requested to give all your ID information, linked to that transaction. Whenever you do your tax declaration, authorities will know that you spent such a bitcoin, and so you will have to have explained how you got it in a previous declaration. If ever you pay with a bitcoin that you didn't declare as an income before, you will have to explain and pay a fine.
The only thing that you truly can do with crypto, is to buy stuff on dark markets, and sell stuff on dark markets. For instance, maybe you want to buy drugs, and maybe you are willing to sell the service of homicide. If for a killing, you can get, say, 100 BTC, then you can use those to buy drugs on dark markets. Because then, the dark economy is entirely closed. But once you will use it in the "white circuit", you're just as screwed with crypto than you are with a bank account.
And anon coins won't help, because it is not the chain that will be analysed: it is the act of buying that will automatically be linked to you (AML/KYC), and you will have to explain how you got it, which is necessarily a form of income.
People also use it to buy stuff on the darknet.
This, to me, is the ONLY TRUE crypto currency application that makes sense.
There's a certain demand, and we needed something like bitcoin. A coin that somehow has the same price always wouldn't cut it, we needed a digital gold to store wealth. You happen to be able to move it too and use it as currency with bitcoin. Who cares how satoshi marketed it, let's focus on what we have and how to make it better.
A currency has to be a unit of account in the short term ; a store of value needs to be a unit of account in the long term. BTC is neither. It is a highly speculative asset where the hope of the participants is that it is going to be eternally deflationary. This is known as a greater-fools game. But that game can take a very long time, and in the mean time, it is a very beneficial speculative asset.
But the thing it has been doing well since many years, is exactly that: a highly speculative asset.