there is only 1 analysis that is necessary: there is too much analysis
there are still too many people interested in bitcoin, too much hope and too much false optimism around. that's all you need to know. forget the astrology, "indicators", moving average hype bullshit.
bitcoin has had its day, and its day was in november 2013. that day has now passed and it's a long way down.
dont waste your time with any of this "TA". the only relevant fact is that bitcoin is over-traded and under-utilized. that means its a prime short.
call me falling ok, but that's my position
you're in for some surprises if you expect bitcoin to fade away like that